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MLB · Final

Braves Edge Dodgers in Thrilling Playoff Showdown

Sunday, October 4, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Dodger Stadium

Atlanta Braves 3, Los Angeles Dodgers 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Atlanta Braves beat Los Angeles Dodgers 3-2 at Dodger Stadium on October 4, 2026.

Who was favored in Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Los Angeles Dodgers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -213 (about 68% implied). The underdog won.

In a closely contested playoff matchup, the Atlanta Braves triumphed over the Los Angeles Dodgers with a final score of 3-2 at Dodger Stadium, taking a crucial lead in the best-of-five series, now leading 2-1. This victory was particularly significant as it marked the Braves' first win in the series after the teams had split the first two games, setting the stage for an intense battle in the postseason.

The Dodgers entered the game with a strong home record of 100-62, showcasing their dominance at Dodger Stadium with a recent form of 8-2 over their last ten games, including a four-game winning streak. They averaged 4.8 runs scored per game while allowing 3.5 runs, reflecting their solid performance both offensively and defensively. Conversely, the Braves, with a record of 94-68, had a mixed recent form of 5-5 in their last ten games, currently on a one-game losing streak. They averaged 4.2 runs scored and allowed 3.8 runs during that stretch, indicating a slight struggle in maintaining consistency.

The game began with the Braves striking first in the first inning when Dubón reached on an infield single, allowing Acuña Jr. to score. The Dodgers responded in the fourth inning with a homer from Freeman, leveling the score at 1-1. However, the Braves regained the lead in the fifth inning, as Harris II scored twice on wild pitches by Bubic, bringing the score to 2-1. In the seventh inning, Harris II doubled to right, scoring Olson and extending the Braves' lead to 3-1.

The Dodgers fought back in the ninth inning with a homer from Muncy, narrowing the gap to 3-2, but ultimately fell short. This game highlighted the intense rivalry between these two teams, as the Dodgers had previously dominated their head-to-head matchups, winning all six encounters in the last two seasons leading up to this game.

In terms of injuries, the Dodgers were missing several key players, including Will Klein, Gavin Stone, Jake Cousins, Ben Casparius, and Brusdar Graterol, all on the 60-day injured list. The Braves also faced challenges, with Reynaldo Lopez on the 15-day injured list and Joe Jimenez on the 60-day injured list. Tyler Mahle, Martin Perez, and Bryce Elder were also dealing with injuries, which could have impacted their performance.

The betting odds from DraftKings favored the Dodgers at -213, indicating a strong belief in their ability to win at home, while the Braves were listed at +174. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Dodgers, with a total of 7.5 runs for the game.

Overall, this game showcased the high stakes of playoff baseball, with both teams displaying their strengths and weaknesses. Fans can expect more thrilling moments as the series continues, with the Braves now holding the upper hand.

What we said beforehand

The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the series against the Atlanta Braves 1-0, setting the stage for an exciting matchup at Dodger Stadium on October 5, 2026. The Dodgers, with a season record of 100-62, have shown their dominance, particularly at home, where they have an impressive 8-2 record over their last ten games. They are currently on a four-game winning streak, averaging 4.8 runs scored and allowing just 3.5 runs per game during this stretch. In their most recent game, they defeated the Braves 5-3, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure.

On the other hand, the Braves, who finished the season with a record of 94-68, have had a mixed performance lately, going 5-5 in their last ten games. They are coming off a loss to the Dodgers, which ended their hopes of gaining momentum in the series. Atlanta's recent average of 4.2 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed indicates a competitive edge, but they will need to find a way to overcome their recent struggles against Los Angeles.

Historically, the Dodgers have had the upper hand in their recent encounters with the Braves, winning all six of their last meetings, including the last five in a row. This trend adds an extra layer of pressure on the Braves as they look to break the streak and level the series. The last five games have seen the Dodgers consistently outperform the Braves, which could play a significant role in the players' mental approach to the game.

In terms of injuries, the Dodgers are facing challenges with several key players on the 60-Day Injured List, including Will Klein, Gavin Stone, Jake Cousins, Ben Casparius, and Brusdar Graterol. The Braves also have notable absences, with Reynaldo Lopez on the 15-Day IL and Joe Jimenez on the 60-Day IL, while Tyler Mahle is listed as Day-To-Day with an abdominal issue. The impact of these injuries could affect the depth and performance of both teams as they aim for a crucial win.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the odds with the Dodgers favored at -213 on the moneyline, indicating a strong belief in their chances to win. The spread is set at -1.5, with a total of 7.5 runs for the game. These odds reflect the Dodgers' home advantage and recent form, but the Braves will be looking to defy expectations and capitalize on any opportunities.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 97°F and no precipitation forecasted. Wind gusts of up to 14 mph could also play a role in the game, potentially affecting pitching and hitting dynamics.

Viewers should watch for the performances of key players, including Freddie Freeman, who leads the Dodgers with a batting average of .288, and Shohei Ohtani, who has hit 30 home runs this season. For the Braves, Michael Harris II boasts a .294 batting average, while Matt Olson has been a standout with 41 home runs and 93 RBIs. The matchup between these offensive stars could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.

As the Dodgers and Braves prepare to face off, the stakes are high, and both teams will be looking to assert their dominance in this playoff series.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsLAD -213 7.5 o -117 / u -103 Atlanta Braves +174 · Los Angeles Dodgers -213

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Will Klein60-Day-ILElbowLos Angeles Dodgers
  • Gavin Stone60-Day-ILShoulderLos Angeles Dodgers
  • Jake Cousins60-Day-ILElbowLos Angeles Dodgers
  • Ben Casparius60-Day-ILShoulderLos Angeles Dodgers
  • Brusdar Graterol60-Day-ILBackLos Angeles Dodgers
  • Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILShoulderAtlanta Braves
  • Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
  • Tyler MahleDay-To-DayAbdomenAtlanta Braves
  • Martin Perez15-Day-ILBackAtlanta Braves
  • Bryce Elder15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves

Recent form

Los Angeles Dodgers

Last 10: 8-2Streak W44.8 scored · 3.5 allowed per game5-1 at home

  • W5-3vs Atlanta BravesOct 3
  • W5-3at Seattle MarinersSep 28
  • W3-2at Seattle MarinersSep 27
  • W5-4at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 25
  • L4-5at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 24
  • W7-5vs San Francisco GiantsSep 21
  • W6-3vs San Francisco GiantsSep 20
  • W2-1vs San Francisco GiantsSep 19
  • W5-0vs Philadelphia PhilliesSep 18
  • L6-9vs Philadelphia PhilliesSep 17

Atlanta Braves

Last 10: 5-5Streak L14.2 scored · 3.8 allowed per game0-1 away

  • L3-5at Los Angeles DodgersOct 3
  • W6-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesOct 2
  • L3-4vs Philadelphia PhilliesSep 30
  • W5-3vs Philadelphia PhilliesSep 29
  • W4-1vs Pittsburgh PiratesSep 28
  • L1-3vs Pittsburgh PiratesSep 27
  • L3-9vs Pittsburgh PiratesSep 26
  • L3-4vs Washington NationalsSep 24
  • W3-2vs Washington NationalsSep 23
  • W11-5vs Washington NationalsSep 22

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-68L1.58094
Philadelphia674W1.54388
Miami1482W1.49480
Washington1785W1.47577
New York2088L1.45774
Los Angeles-62W3.617100
San Diego971W2.56291
Arizona1476L2.53186
San Francisco3597L5.40165
Colorado42104L1.35858

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning1-0Dubón reached on infield single to shortstop, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies to second, Olson to third.
  2. 4th Inning1-1Freeman homered to right (375 feet).
  3. 5th Inning2-1Harris II scored on Bubic wild pitch.
  4. 5th Inning2-1Harris II scored on Bubic wild pitch.
  5. 7th Inning3-1Harris II doubled to right, Olson scored.
  6. 9th Inning3-2Muncy homered to right center (397 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Los Angeles Dodgers, below favours Atlanta Braves.

Venue

  • Dodger StadiumLos Angeles, California
  • Attendance50729
  • OfficialsChris Guccione, James Hoye, Tripp Gibson, Jim Wolf, Mike Estabrook, Roberto Ortiz

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.