Golden State Valkyries Edge Atlanta Dream in Close Contest
Saturday, October 17, 2026, 3:30 PM ET · Chase Center
Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?
Golden State Valkyries beat Atlanta Dream 68-64 at Chase Center on October 17, 2026.
Who was favored in Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?
Golden State Valkyries were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup at Chase Center, the Golden State Valkyries secured a narrow victory against the Atlanta Dream, finishing with a score of 68 to 64. This win marks the Valkyries' dominance in the series, as they have now won all three meetings against the Dream this season, extending their head-to-head record to 4-2 in favor of the Valkyries over the last two seasons.
Both teams entered the game with impressive records, with the Valkyries boasting a home record of 32-12 and the Dream at 30-14. The Valkyries were riding a four-game winning streak, having won eight of their last ten games, averaging 83.2 points scored while allowing 76.7 points per game. Their recent form included victories over the Las Vegas Aces, where they won 87-77 in their last outing on October 10, and they had a perfect home record in their last five games.
On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream came into the game with a remarkable ten-game winning streak, having not lost in their last ten games. They averaged 93.9 points scored and allowed 78.5 points per game during that stretch. Their last game was a hard-fought win against the New York Liberty, where they triumphed 85-83 on October 9.
The Valkyries' home performance has been particularly strong, as they maintained an unblemished home record of 6-0 in their last ten games. Conversely, the Dream also held a solid away record of 4-0, showcasing their ability to compete on the road. However, the Valkyries' home-court advantage proved crucial in this matchup.
In terms of injuries, the Valkyries had Tiffany Hayes listed as day-to-day due to a head issue, while Iliana Rupert was out for non-injury-related reasons. The Dream faced significant challenges with Matilde Villa and Brionna Jones both sidelined, the latter due to a leg injury and Villa due to a coach's decision. These absences likely impacted the Dream's performance as they faced a formidable Valkyries squad.
The betting market reflected the competitiveness of the matchup, with DraftKings setting the spread at Golden State -2.5 and the total at 153.5. The odds indicated a closely contested game, and the Valkyries ultimately lived up to that expectation by narrowly securing the win.
The game itself was characterized by a series of tense scoring plays in the fourth quarter. The Valkyries found themselves trailing at times but managed to rally back. Key moments included Gabby Williams making crucial free throws, which helped the Valkyries regain the lead and maintain their advantage as the clock wound down. The final moments saw the Valkyries capitalize on their free-throw opportunities, with Williams contributing significantly to the scoreline.
As the game concluded, the Valkyries' home win probability stood at 1.0, reflecting their strong performance and ability to close out the game effectively. This victory not only solidified their standing in the league but also showcased their resilience and determination to continue their winning ways as the season progresses.
What we said beforehand
The Golden State Valkyries will take on the Atlanta Dream at Chase Center on October 17, 2026, in a highly anticipated matchup. The Valkyries have dominated this series recently, winning all three previous meetings this season, including a notable victory on July 4, 2026, where they triumphed 88-83. The Valkyries hold a strong overall record of 32-12, while the Dream are close behind at 30-14, making this a crucial game for playoff positioning.
In their last five games, the Golden State Valkyries have shown impressive form, winning four out of five matches. They recently faced the Las Vegas Aces, securing three consecutive victories against them, with scores of 71-60, 83-81, and 87-77. Their scoring average in these last five games stands at 82.0 points per game, while they have allowed an average of 76.2 points. At home, the Valkyries have been particularly strong, boasting a record of 6-0 in their last six home games and an overall home record of 8-2 in their last ten games, averaging 83.2 points scored and 76.7 points allowed.
On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream enter this game riding a remarkable ten-game winning streak, with their last five games yielding an average of 92.6 points scored and 83.0 points allowed. They recently defeated the New York Liberty in three consecutive games, with scores of 92-82, 101-98 in overtime, and 85-83. The Dream have also excelled on the road, maintaining a perfect away record of 4-0 in their last four games and an overall away record of 10-0 in their last ten.
In terms of injuries, the Valkyries will be without Iliana Rupert, who is out for non-injury-related reasons. The Dream face a more significant challenge with Allisha Gray (hand), Matilde Villa (coach's decision), and Brionna Jones (leg) all ruled out for this matchup, which could impact their offensive strategy.
The betting market reflects the competitive nature of this game, with DraftKings pricing the Valkyries as 2.5-point favorites. The total points line is set at 154.5, with odds of -105.0 for the over and -115.0 for the under. The moneyline shows the Valkyries at -135.0 and the Dream at 114.0, indicating a closely contested matchup.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the performance of key players. For the Valkyries, Gabby Williams leads the team with an average of 14.4 points per game, while Veronica Burton contributes significantly with 5.7 assists per game. On the Dream's side, the absence of Allisha Gray, who averages 19.0 points, could be pivotal. Jordin Canada, who averages 7.3 assists, will need to step up in her absence, while Angel Reese, averaging 12.1 rebounds, will be crucial in controlling the boards.
With both teams showcasing their strengths and facing challenges, this matchup promises to be an exciting encounter as the Valkyries look to extend their series dominance and the Dream aim to maintain their winning streak.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | GS -2.5 | 153.5 o -112 / u -108 | Atlanta Dream +120 · Golden State Valkyries -142 |
Injury report
- Tiffany HayesDay-To-DayHeadGolden State Valkyries
- Iliana RupertOutNot Injury RelatedGolden State Valkyries
- Matilde VillaOutCoach's DecisionAtlanta Dream
- Brionna JonesOutLegAtlanta Dream
Leaders
- PointsGabby Williams26Golden State Valkyries
- AssistsTiffany Hayes4Golden State Valkyries
- ReboundsKaila Charles10Golden State Valkyries
- PointsAllisha Gray19Atlanta Dream
- AssistsJordin Canada7Atlanta Dream
- ReboundsAngel Reese12Atlanta Dream
Recent form
Golden State Valkyries
Last 10: 8-2Streak W483.2 scored · 76.7 allowed per game6-0 at home
- W87-77at Las Vegas AcesOct 10
- W83-81vs Las Vegas AcesOct 8
- W71-60vs Las Vegas AcesOct 4
- W77-73vs Dallas WingsOct 3
- L100-108at Dallas WingsOct 1
- W104-80vs Dallas WingsSep 28
- W76-75at Los Angeles SparksSep 25
- L82-90at Portland FireSep 23
- W70-57vs Seattle StormSep 20
- W82-66vs Portland FireSep 19
Atlanta Dream
Last 10: 10-0Streak W1093.9 scored · 78.5 allowed per game4-0 away
- W85-83at New York LibertyOct 9
- W101-98vs New York LibertyOct 7
- W92-82vs New York LibertyOct 4
- W93-75at Washington MysticsSep 30
- W92-77vs Washington MysticsSep 27
- W83-65at New York LibertySep 24
- W95-84at New York LibertySep 22
- W106-81vs Chicago SkySep 19
- W103-59vs Connecticut SunSep 17
- W89-81vs Minnesota LynxAug 30
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 14 | W5 | .682 | 30 |
| Washington | 2 | 16 | W4 | .636 | 28 |
| Indiana | 2 | 16 | L1 | .636 | 28 |
| New York | 4 | 18 | L2 | .591 | 26 |
| Chicago | 14 | 28 | L1 | .364 | 16 |
| Toronto | 19 | 33 | L8 | .250 | 11 |
| Connecticut | 19 | 33 | W1 | .250 | 11 |
| Minnesota | - | 11 | W1 | .750 | 33 |
| Golden State | 1 | 12 | W1 | .727 | 32 |
| Las Vegas | 2 | 13 | W7 | .705 | 31 |
| Dallas | 6 | 17 | W1 | .614 | 27 |
| Portland | 16 | 27 | W1 | .386 | 17 |
| Los Angeles | 17 | 28 | L2 | .364 | 16 |
| Phoenix | 17 | 28 | L1 | .364 | 16 |
| Seattle | 25 | 36 | L5 | .182 | 8 |
Box score
| Stat | Atlanta Dream | Golden State Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 21-64 | 25-78 |
| Field goal % | 33 | 32 |
| Three-pointers | 4-25 | 7-33 |
| Three-point % | 16 | 21 |
| Free throws | 18-21 | 11-16 |
| Free throw % | 86 | 69 |
| Rebounds | 35 | 41 |
| Offensive rebounds | 7 | 12 |
| Defensive rebounds | 28 | 29 |
| Assists | 15 | 15 |
| Steals | 5 | 7 |
| Blocks | 5 | 10 |
| Turnovers | 12 | 8 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 1 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 17 | 8 |
| Fast-break points | 11 | 6 |
| Points in the paint | 30 | 32 |
| Fouls | 14 | 13 |
| Largest lead | 9 | 5 |
| Lead changes | 7 | 7 |
| Time in front | 79 | 15 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Quarter37-32Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Quarter37-33Laeticia Amihere makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Quarter37-35Kaila Charles makes driving layup
- 2nd Quarter37-37Gabby Williams makes driving layup
- 2nd Quarter37-40Gabby Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tiffany Hayes assists)
- 2nd Quarter37-42Gabby Williams makes running layup
- 2nd Quarter38-42Allisha Gray makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Quarter39-42Allisha Gray makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter42-42Rhyne Howard makes 27-foot running jump shot (Allisha Gray assists)
- 3rd Quarter43-42Allisha Gray makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter44-42Allisha Gray makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter44-44Gabby Williams makes 21-foot pullup jump shot
- 3rd Quarter46-44Rhyne Howard makes 7-foot two point shot
- 3rd Quarter48-44Jordin Canada makes driving layup (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 3rd Quarter50-44Isobel Borlase makes 9-foot two point shot (DeWanna Bonner assists)
- 3rd Quarter50-46Laeticia Amihere makes tip shot
- 3rd Quarter50-49Kaila Charles makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tiffany Hayes assists)
- 3rd Quarter50-51Laeticia Amihere makes layup (Kaitlyn Chen assists)
- 3rd Quarter52-51Allisha Gray makes 8-foot turnaround jump shot
- 3rd Quarter53-51Jordin Canada makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter54-51Jordin Canada makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter56-51Allisha Gray makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 4th Quarter57-51Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter58-51Rhyne Howard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter58-52Cecilia Zandalasini makes free throw flagrant 3 of 3
- 4th Quarter58-55Tiffany Hayes makes 26-foot three point jumper (Kaila Charles assists)
- 4th Quarter60-55Naz Hillmon makes layup
- 4th Quarter60-57Kaila Charles makes running layup
- 4th Quarter60-59Kiah Stokes makes tip shot
- 4th Quarter62-59Jordin Canada makes 13-foot two point shot
- 4th Quarter62-61Gabby Williams makes running layup (Tiffany Hayes assists)
- 4th Quarter63-61Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-61Rhyne Howard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-62Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-63Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-64Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-65Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-66Kiah Stokes makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-67Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter64-68Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Golden State Valkyries, below favours Atlanta Dream.
Venue
- Chase CenterSan Francisco, CA
- Attendance18064
- OfficialsAngelica Suffren, Randy Richardson, Ashley Gloss, Maj Forsberg
Elsewhere
- WNBA Finals 2026: Valkyries vs. Dream schedule, scores, more
- Cathy Engelbert reflects on WNBA's growth, says job requires 'thick skin'
- Tiffany Hayes tops fashionable arrivals ahead of Game 1 of WNBA Finals
- WNBA Finals live: Valkyries-Dream Game 1 analysis, updates and highlights
- Dream's Allisha Gray available to play in Game 1 of WNBA Finals
- Dream's Angel Reese won't 'shy away' from big stage of WNBA Finals
- Ranking Angel Reese and the top 15 players in the WNBA Finals
- 2026 WNBA Finals feature record African representation as Golden State, Atlanta chase first title
WNBA rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Valkyries Edge Dream in Close ContestOct 31, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Defeats Golden State Valkyries 80-69Oct 29, 2026
- Valkyries Defeat Dream in WNBA ShowdownOct 26, 2026
- Golden State Valkyries Edge Atlanta Dream 67-62Oct 24, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Dominates Golden State Valkyries 97-71Oct 21, 2026