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MLB · Final

Reds Edge Orioles in Close Contest at Home

Sunday, July 5, 2026, 1:05 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds 3, Baltimore Orioles 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds beat Baltimore Orioles 3-2 at Great American Ball Park on July 5, 2026.

Who was favored in Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds?

Baltimore Orioles were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested game at Great American Ball Park, the Cincinnati Reds managed to secure a narrow victory over the Baltimore Orioles with a final score of 3-2. This match was significant as it marked the conclusion of a three-game series, which the Orioles had previously won 2-1. The Reds, who have struggled recently, snapped a six-game losing streak with this win, improving their record to 41-48. Meanwhile, the Orioles fell to 42-49, continuing their mixed form.

The Reds entered this game with a disappointing recent record of 2-8 over their last ten games, including a streak of six consecutive losses. They averaged 3.6 runs scored per game while allowing 5.5 runs during this stretch. Their home record was particularly concerning, with the team having lost all four of their last home games. In contrast, the Orioles had a more balanced recent performance, going 5-5 in their last ten games and riding a three-game winning streak into this matchup. They averaged 3.9 runs scored and allowed 4.0 runs per game during this period.

In terms of home and away performance, the Reds have struggled at home, while the Orioles have fared better on the road, boasting a 3-1 record in their last four away games. The Reds' recent losses included two defeats to the Orioles earlier in the series, where they lost 5-8 and 0-3. Historically, the Reds had a 2-3 record against the Orioles over their last five meetings, with a notable 24-2 victory for the Orioles in April 2025 being a standout performance.

Injuries played a role in this game, particularly for the Reds, who were missing several key players. Graham Ashcraft was on the 60-day injured list due to an elbow issue, while Eugenio Suarez was day-to-day for personal reasons. Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia were all on the 10-day injured list with various ailments. The Orioles were also dealing with injuries, including Tyler O'Neill and Felix Bautista on the 10-day and 60-day injured lists, respectively.

The betting lines from DraftKings indicated a competitive matchup, with the Orioles favored at -118, while the Reds were priced at -102. The total for the game was set at 10.0 runs, with the over at -106 and the under at -113. This reflected the expectation of a close game given both teams' recent scoring trends.

The game conditions were typical for a summer evening in Cincinnati, providing a fitting backdrop for a crucial contest. Fans were treated to a display of resilience from the Reds, who managed to capitalize on their scoring opportunities. The Reds took the lead in the fifth inning when Steer homered to right center, scoring Suarez, which put them ahead 2-0. The Orioles responded in the sixth inning with a single from Mayo that brought Ward home, narrowing the gap to 2-1.

In the eighth inning, the Reds extended their lead to 3-1 when Stewart doubled to left, scoring Arroyo. The Orioles made a late push in the ninth inning, with Henderson hitting a sacrifice fly that allowed Beavers to score, bringing the game to a tense 3-2. However, the Reds held on for the victory, showcasing their determination to turn their season around.

This game highlighted the importance of capitalizing on scoring opportunities, as the Reds managed to do just enough to secure the win despite their recent struggles. The victory may serve as a much-needed boost for Cincinnati as they look to build on this success moving forward.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsBAL -118 10 o -106 / u -113 Baltimore Orioles -118 · Cincinnati Reds -102

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Tyler O'Neill10-Day-ILShoulderBaltimore Orioles
  • Felix Bautista60-Day-ILShoulderBaltimore Orioles
  • Christian Franklin10-Day-ILHandBaltimore Orioles
  • Ryan Helsley60-Day-ILElbowBaltimore Orioles
  • Ryan Mountcastle60-Day-ILObliqueBaltimore Orioles

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 2-8Streak L63.6 scored · 5.5 allowed per game0-4 at home

  • L5-8vs Baltimore OriolesJul 4
  • L0-3vs Baltimore OriolesJul 3
  • L2-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 2
  • L2-7at Milwaukee BrewersJun 30
  • L3-5at Milwaukee BrewersJun 29
  • L4-9at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 28
  • W9-7at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 27
  • W6-4at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 26
  • L5-6vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 24
  • L0-2vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 23

Baltimore Orioles

Last 10: 5-5Streak W33.9 scored · 4 allowed per game3-1 away

  • W8-5at Cincinnati RedsJul 4
  • W3-0at Cincinnati RedsJul 3
  • W6-1vs Chicago White SoxJul 1
  • L3-9vs Chicago White SoxJun 30
  • L2-8vs Chicago White SoxJun 29
  • L4-6vs Washington NationalsJun 28
  • L3-4vs Washington NationalsJun 27
  • W3-1vs Washington NationalsJun 26
  • L1-5at Los Angeles AngelsJun 24
  • W6-1at Los Angeles AngelsJun 23

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-56L1.59783
New York3.560W2.57180
Boston8.565L2.53675
Toronto14.571W1.49369
Baltimore14.571L2.49369
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 5th Inning0-2Steer homered to right center (374 feet), Suárez scored.
  2. 6th Inning1-2Mayo singled to left, Ward scored.
  3. 8th Inning1-3Stewart doubled to left, Arroyo scored.
  4. 9th Inning2-3Henderson hit sacrifice fly to left, Beavers scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Baltimore Orioles.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance17601
  • OfficialsBrian O'Nora, Chris Segal, Laz Diaz, Erich Bacchus

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.