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MLB · Final

Marlins Edge Orioles in Close Contest at Home

Thursday, May 7, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · loanDepot park

Miami Marlins 4, Baltimore Orioles 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins?

Miami Marlins beat Baltimore Orioles 4-3 at loanDepot park on May 7, 2026.

Who was favored in Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins?

Miami Marlins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -126 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested game at loanDepot park, the Miami Marlins emerged victorious against the Baltimore Orioles with a final score of 4-3. This match was significant as it marked the conclusion of a three-game series, with the Orioles having won the series 2-1. Both teams entered the game with identical records of 17-21, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.

The Marlins have struggled in their recent outings, recording a 3-7 record over their last ten games, and they were on a four-game losing streak prior to this victory. Their average runs scored in this stretch was 4.0, while they allowed an average of 4.6 runs per game. At home, the Marlins had a disappointing record of 1-5 in their last six games, with an average of 3.4 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed in their last five home games.

Conversely, the Orioles have shown a slightly better form lately, with a record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games and a two-game winning streak leading into this contest. They averaged 4.4 runs scored but faced a higher average of 6.1 runs allowed during this period. The Orioles' recent away performance was less than stellar, with a 2-4 record in their last six away games.

In terms of head-to-head encounters, this game continued a trend of close contests between the two teams. In their previous five meetings, the Marlins had a 2-3 record against the Orioles. Notably, the Marlins had lost the first two games of this series, with scores of 4-7 and 7-9, before finally turning the tide in this matchup.

Injury concerns were evident for both teams. The Marlins were missing several key players, including Anthony Bender (15-Day-IL, lower leg), Pete Fairbanks (15-Day-IL, hand), Xavier Edwards (10-Day-IL, thumb), Max Meyer (15-Day-IL, neck), and Ronny Henriquez (60-Day-IL, elbow). The Orioles were also impacted by injuries, with Tyler O'Neill (10-Day-IL, shoulder), Felix Bautista (60-Day-IL, shoulder), Christian Franklin (10-Day-IL, hand), Ryan Helsley (60-Day-IL, elbow), and Ryan Mountcastle (60-Day-IL, oblique) unavailable for this game.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Marlins favored at -126 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.5 runs. The odds for the over were -105.0, while the under was priced at -115.0, indicating a competitive expectation for the game.

Conditions at loanDepot park were conducive for baseball, and the atmosphere was charged as fans witnessed a thrilling game. The scoring plays were a testament to the back-and-forth nature of the contest. The Marlins took an early lead in the first inning when Hicks homered to right center, scoring Norby. The Orioles responded in the third inning with Henderson's single, bringing Mayo home, followed by Norby's single that scored Sanoja, putting the Marlins ahead again.

The Orioles managed to tie the game in the eighth inning when Alonso's single scored Ward. However, the Marlins clinched the victory in the ninth inning when Mack scored due to an error by the Orioles' third baseman, Mayo, sealing the game at 4-3.

Fans should have kept an eye on the dynamics of the game, particularly how the Marlins managed to capitalize on the Orioles' defensive errors, which proved crucial in the final moments. The Marlins' ability to maintain composure under pressure ultimately led them to this hard-fought win, marking a much-needed boost for their morale after a challenging stretch.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIA -126 8.5 o -105 / u -115 Baltimore Orioles +104 · Miami Marlins -126

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
  • Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
  • Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
  • Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
  • Tyler O'Neill10-Day-ILShoulderBaltimore Orioles
  • Felix Bautista60-Day-ILShoulderBaltimore Orioles
  • Christian Franklin10-Day-ILHandBaltimore Orioles
  • Ryan Helsley60-Day-ILElbowBaltimore Orioles
  • Ryan Mountcastle60-Day-ILObliqueBaltimore Orioles

Recent form

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 3-7Streak L44 scored · 4.6 allowed per game1-5 at home

  • L4-7vs Baltimore OriolesMay 6
  • L7-9vs Baltimore OriolesMay 5
  • L0-1vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 4
  • L2-7vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 3
  • W4-0vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 2
  • L5-6vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 1
  • W2-1at Los Angeles DodgersApr 29
  • L4-5at Los Angeles DodgersApr 28
  • L3-6at San Francisco GiantsApr 26
  • W9-4at San Francisco GiantsApr 25

Baltimore Orioles

Last 10: 4-5-1Streak W24.4 scored · 6.1 allowed per game2-4 away

  • W7-4at Miami MarlinsMay 6
  • W9-7at Miami MarlinsMay 5
  • L1-12at New York YankeesMay 4
  • L3-11at New York YankeesMay 3
  • L4-9at New York YankeesMay 2
  • L2-7at New York YankeesMay 1
  • W10-3vs Houston AstrosApr 30
  • D0-0vs Houston AstrosApr 29
  • W5-3vs Houston AstrosApr 28
  • L3-5vs Boston Red SoxApr 26

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-56L1.59783
New York3.560W2.57180
Boston8.565L2.53675
Toronto14.571W1.49369
Baltimore14.571L2.49369
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning0-2Hicks homered to right center (386 feet), Norby scored.
  2. 3rd Inning1-2Henderson singled to center, Mayo scored, Henderson to second, Jackson to third.
  3. 3rd Inning1-3Norby singled to left, Sanoja scored, Lopez to second.
  4. 4th Inning2-3O'Neill singled to right, Basallo scored.
  5. 8th Inning3-3Alonso singled to center, Ward scored, Beavers to second.
  6. 9th Inning3-4Mack scored on error, Sanoja safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Mayo.

Win probability

Above the line favours Miami Marlins, below favours Baltimore Orioles.

Venue

  • loanDepot parkMiami, Florida
  • Attendance8588
  • OfficialsWillie Traynor, Alan Porter, Roberto Ortiz, Alex Mackay

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.