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MLB · Final

Cubs Clinch Series with Win Over Reds

Saturday, July 11, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Chicago Cubs 5, Cincinnati Reds 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?

Chicago Cubs beat Cincinnati Reds 5-3 at Great American Ball Park on July 11, 2026.

Who was favored in Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Chicago Cubs defeated the Cincinnati Reds with a final score of 5-3 at Great American Ball Park. This victory allowed the Cubs to secure the series 2-1 against the Reds. The game featured several key moments, including multiple home runs that shifted the momentum throughout the innings.

The Reds entered this game with a home record of 43-51 and had recently shown mixed results, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, with an average of 3.1 runs scored and 3.9 runs allowed per game. They had a slight positive trend, winning their previous game against the Cubs 4-0 on July 10, 2026, but the overall form reflected a team struggling to find consistency. In their last five games, the Reds managed a record of 3-2, with an improved scoring average of 3.8 runs per game.

On the other hand, the Cubs came into this game with a better away record of 53-42 and had a record of 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 4.1 runs scored while allowing 5.0 runs. However, they were on a two-game losing streak, having lost their last game against the Reds and the one prior against the Baltimore Orioles. Their recent performance had seen them scoring 3.2 runs in their last five games, which was lower than their season average, indicating a need to regain offensive momentum.

Historically, the matchup between these two teams has been competitive, with the Cubs holding a slight edge in their head-to-head record of 9-8 against the Reds over the past two seasons. The Reds had previously won the most recent game 4-0, but prior to that, they had lost four consecutive meetings against the Cubs in the 2026 season, showcasing the back-and-forth nature of this rivalry.

In terms of injuries, the Reds were missing several key players, including Graham Ashcraft, who is on the 60-day injured list due to an elbow issue, and Eugenio Suarez, who was listed as day-to-day for personal reasons. Additionally, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia were all on the 10-day injured list with various ailments. The Cubs also faced injury challenges, with Edward Cabrera on the 15-day injured list due to a finger issue and Shelby Miller on the 60-day injured list with an elbow problem. Jacob Webb and Pedro Ramirez were both day-to-day, adding uncertainty to their lineup.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Reds at -118 on the moneyline, indicating a slight favoritism towards the home team, while the Cubs were at -102. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 9.5 runs for the game, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair.

The conditions at Great American Ball Park were conducive to baseball, with clear skies and a temperature that favored offensive play. Fans and viewers were treated to a game that saw several standout performances, particularly in the fourth and sixth innings, where multiple home runs were hit. Notably, Lowe and Suárez both homered for the Reds, giving them an early lead, but the Cubs responded with a series of hits that ultimately secured their victory.

In the fourth inning, Lowe homered to right field, followed by Suárez's home run that extended the Reds' lead to 2-0. However, the Cubs began their comeback in the fifth inning with Suzuki's single that brought Amaya home, narrowing the gap to 2-1. The sixth inning was pivotal, as Kelly homered to tie the game at 2-2, and Happ's double later allowed Busch to score, giving the Cubs a 3-2 lead. Bleday then tied the game again with a home run for the Reds, but Bregman's homer in the seventh inning sealed the deal for the Cubs, bringing Suzuki home and establishing a 5-3 lead.

This game highlighted the competitive nature of the MLB, with both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses. The Reds will need to address their injury issues and find consistency in their lineup as they move forward, while the Cubs will look to build on this victory and regain their offensive rhythm.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCIN -118 9.5 o -118 / u -102 Chicago Cubs -102 · Cincinnati Reds -118

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Edward Cabrera15-Day-ILFingerChicago Cubs
  • Shelby Miller60-Day-ILElbowChicago Cubs
  • Jacob WebbDay-To-DayArmChicago Cubs
  • Pedro RamirezDay-To-DayBackChicago Cubs
  • Gavin Hollowell15-Day-ILShoulderChicago Cubs

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 3-7Streak W13.1 scored · 3.9 allowed per game3-4 at home

  • W4-0vs Chicago CubsJul 10
  • L0-1vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 9
  • W11-5vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 8
  • L1-4vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 7
  • W3-2vs Baltimore OriolesJul 5
  • L5-8vs Baltimore OriolesJul 4
  • L0-3vs Baltimore OriolesJul 3
  • L2-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 2
  • L2-7at Milwaukee BrewersJun 30
  • L3-5at Milwaukee BrewersJun 29

Chicago Cubs

Last 10: 6-4Streak L24.1 scored · 5 allowed per game4-2 away

  • L0-4at Cincinnati RedsJul 10
  • L2-3at Baltimore OriolesJul 9
  • W9-7at Baltimore OriolesJul 8
  • W5-2at Baltimore OriolesJul 7
  • L0-3vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 5
  • L1-17vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 3
  • W9-7vs San Diego PadresJul 1
  • W3-2vs San Diego PadresJun 30
  • W4-3at Milwaukee BrewersJun 28
  • W8-2at Milwaukee BrewersJun 27

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 4th Inning0-1Lowe homered to right (381 feet).
  2. 4th Inning0-2Suárez homered to right center (370 feet).
  3. 5th Inning1-2Suzuki singled to center, Amaya scored, Crow-Armstrong to third.
  4. 6th Inning2-2Kelly homered to center (410 feet).
  5. 6th Inning3-2Happ doubled to left, Busch scored.
  6. 6th Inning3-3Bleday homered to right (379 feet).
  7. 7th Inning5-3Bregman homered to left (354 feet), Suzuki scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Chicago Cubs.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance34199
  • OfficialsDan Merzel, Alex Mackay, Roberto Ortiz, Jim Wolf

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.