Cincinnati Reds Defeat Toronto Blue Jays 5-1
Saturday, September 26, 2026, 3:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Quick answers
Who won Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Cincinnati Reds beat Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 at Rogers Centre on September 26, 2026.
Who was favored in Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Toronto Blue Jays were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -168 (about 63% implied). The underdog won.
In a decisive matchup at Rogers Centre, the Cincinnati Reds triumphed over the Toronto Blue Jays with a final score of 5-1. This victory allowed the Reds to take a 2-1 lead in the series, showcasing their offensive strength and strategic play against a struggling Blue Jays team. The Reds' performance was highlighted by a strong showing in the early innings, where they built an insurmountable lead. In the second inning, Bleday homered to center, marking the beginning of a series of runs that would put the Reds ahead. By the third inning, they had extended their lead to 3-0, with key contributions from Stewart and Suárez, who helped drive in runs through strategic plays and errors from the Blue Jays' defense.
The Reds continued their offensive momentum into the fifth inning, where Rodríguez tripled to center, scoring two more runs. The Blue Jays managed to get on the board in the seventh inning with a run from Okamoto, but it was too little, too late. The Reds' pitching staff held the Blue Jays to just one run, demonstrating a solid defensive effort throughout the game.
Analyzing the recent form of both teams, the Blue Jays entered the contest with a record of 4-5-1 over their last ten games, averaging 3.8 runs scored and allowing 4.0 runs per game. Their most recent game resulted in a narrow 6-5 victory over the Reds just a day prior, showcasing their potential but also highlighting their inconsistency. In contrast, the Reds had a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, averaging 3.5 runs scored while allowing 4.7 runs. Their recent performance included a win against the Atlanta Braves, but they were unable to sustain that momentum against the Blue Jays until this game.
At home, the Blue Jays have struggled with a record of 3-2 in their last five games, while the Reds have been more effective on the road with a 2-2 record in their last away games. This matchup was particularly interesting as it was the third meeting between these two teams in a short span, with the series tied at 1-1 before this game.
In terms of injuries, the Blue Jays were notably impacted by the absence of several key players, including Shane Bieber, who is on the 15-Day Injured List due to a shoulder issue, and Rudy Martin Jr., who is also on the 10-Day IL with a hamstring injury. Other notable absences included Jonatan Clase, Luis Urias, and Cody Ponce. The Reds were not without their own injury concerns, featuring players like Tony Santillan and Spencer Steer on the IL, which could have influenced their performance.
The betting market had the Blue Jays favored at -168 according to DraftKings, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0. The odds indicated a belief in the Blue Jays' ability to perform well at home, but the Reds' victory proved the odds to be misleading in this instance.
Weather conditions during the game were typical for late September in Toronto, with clear skies and moderate temperatures, providing an ideal setting for baseball. Fans and viewers were treated to a competitive game, with the Reds demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opportunities and the Blue Jays struggling to find their rhythm.
As the game concluded, the Reds' victory not only shifted the series in their favor but also highlighted the challenges the Blue Jays face as they navigate injuries and inconsistent performances. The Reds will look to build on this momentum, while the Blue Jays will need to regroup and address their shortcomings as they head into the final stretch of the season.
What we said beforehand
The Toronto Blue Jays will face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Rogers Centre on September 26, 2026, marking the second game of their series. The Blue Jays currently lead the series 1-0 after a narrow victory over the Reds, winning 6-5 in their last encounter on September 25. This matchup is particularly noteworthy as both teams are navigating challenging seasons, with the Blue Jays holding a record of 78-82 and the Reds at 74-86.
In their recent form, the Blue Jays have struggled, going 4-5-1 over their last ten games. They are currently on a one-game winning streak after defeating the Reds, but prior to that, they lost three consecutive games to the Baltimore Orioles. The Blue Jays have averaged 3.8 runs scored per game while allowing 4.0 runs during this stretch. At home, they have a record of 3-2 in their last five games, scoring an average of 3.6 runs and allowing 3.0.
Conversely, the Reds are also facing difficulties, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games and currently on a one-game losing streak after the recent defeat to the Blue Jays. Their scoring average has been lower than that of the Blue Jays, with 3.5 runs scored per game and 4.7 runs allowed. On the road, they have managed a 2-2 record in their last four games, averaging 3.8 runs scored and allowing 4.8.
Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in their recent meetings with the Reds, winning three out of the last four matchups. In addition to the latest game, they also secured victories in two high-scoring games earlier in the 2025 season, winning 13-9 and 12-9, while the Reds managed to win one game in that stretch with a score of 5-4.
In terms of injuries, the Blue Jays will be without several key players, including Shane Bieber (shoulder, 15-Day IL), Rudy Martin Jr. (hamstring, 10-Day IL), Jonatan Clase (foot, 60-Day IL), Luis Urias (quadriceps, 10-Day IL), and Cody Ponce (knee, 60-Day IL). The Reds are also dealing with injuries, having Tony Santillan (hip, 15-Day IL), Spencer Steer (wrist, 60-Day IL), Chase Burns (groin, 15-Day IL), Julian Garcia (elbow, 15-Day IL), and Michael Toglia (shoulder, 60-Day IL) unavailable.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the Blue Jays as favorites with a moneyline of -167, while the Reds are priced at +138. The spread is set at -1.5 for the Blue Jays, with a total of 8.0 runs for the game. The odds for the over are -118, and for the under, they are -102.
Weather conditions for the game are not detailed in the provided facts, but fans can expect a lively atmosphere at Rogers Centre as the Blue Jays look to build on their recent win against the Reds. Viewers should watch for the performance of key players, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the Blue Jays with a batting average of .262, and Kazuma Okamoto, who has hit 33 home runs and driven in 92 runs this season. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz boasts a batting average of .285, while Sal Stewart leads the team with 32 home runs and 111 RBIs. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest as both teams seek to end their seasons on a high note.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOR -168 | 8 o -118 / u -102 | Cincinnati Reds +139 · Toronto Blue Jays -168 |
Injury report
- Shane Bieber15-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Rudy Martin Jr.10-Day-ILHamstringToronto Blue Jays
- Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Cody Ponce60-Day-ILKneeToronto Blue Jays
- Tony Santillan15-Day-ILHipCincinnati Reds
- Spencer Steer60-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
- Chase Burns15-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
- Julian Garcia15-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
- Michael Toglia60-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
Recent form
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 4-5-1Streak W13.8 scored · 4 allowed per game3-2 at home
- W6-5vs Cincinnati RedsSep 25
- L2-4at Baltimore OriolesSep 23
- D0-0at Baltimore OriolesSep 22
- L3-4at Baltimore OriolesSep 21
- W7-2at Texas RangersSep 20
- L1-7at Texas RangersSep 19
- W5-1vs Detroit TigersSep 16
- L1-10vs Detroit TigersSep 15
- L5-6vs Detroit TigersSep 14
- W8-1vs Baltimore OriolesSep 13
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 4-6Streak L13.5 scored · 4.7 allowed per game2-2 away
- L5-6at Toronto Blue JaysSep 25
- W7-6at Atlanta BravesSep 24
- L2-3at Atlanta BravesSep 23
- W4-0at Atlanta BravesSep 22
- L1-9vs Chicago CubsSep 20
- L2-5vs Chicago CubsSep 19
- W6-4vs Chicago CubsSep 18
- L2-8vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 17
- W6-2vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 16
- L0-4vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 15
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | - | 59 | W3 | .631 | 101 |
| Chicago | 13.5 | 73 | L2 | .547 | 88 |
| Pittsburgh | 20.5 | 80 | L2 | .503 | 81 |
| St. Louis | 24 | 83 | L2 | .481 | 77 |
| Cincinnati | 26.5 | 86 | W1 | .466 | 75 |
| Tampa Bay | - | 63 | W1 | .606 | 97 |
| New York | 4.5 | 68 | W1 | .578 | 93 |
| Boston | 10.5 | 74 | W2 | .540 | 87 |
| Baltimore | 18.5 | 82 | L1 | .491 | 79 |
| Toronto | 19.5 | 83 | L1 | .484 | 78 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning1-0Bleday homered to center (413 feet).
- 3rd Inning2-0Stewart grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, McLain scored, Jorge safe at third on fielding error by shortstop Giménez.
- 3rd Inning3-0Suárez doubled to left, Jorge scored, Stewart to third.
- 5th Inning5-0Rodríguez tripled to center, Bleday scored and Stephenson scored.
- 7th Inning5-1Giménez grounded out to second, Okamoto scored, Smith to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Toronto Blue Jays, below favours Cincinnati Reds.
Venue
- Rogers CentreToronto, Ontario
- Attendance42482
- OfficialsPaul Clemons, John Bacon, Quinn Wolcott, Adrian Johnson
Elsewhere
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Game Highlights
- Bleday hits 24th homer, Lowder pitches 6 innings for first win since August as Reds beat Blue Jays
- Justin Verlander makes teary farewell to 21-year career as Tigers rally to beat Pirates 4-3
- Juan Soto exits Mets' win after HBP; X-rays negative
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers: Game Highlights
- Tigers' emotional Justin Verlander leaves final career start to hugs
Picks for MLB
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These two, other days
- Blue Jays Secure Series Win Over RedsSep 27, 2026
- Blue Jays Edge Reds in Thrilling FinishSep 25, 2026
- Blue Jays Edge Reds in High-Scoring AffairSep 3, 2025
- Blue Jays Edge Reds in High-Scoring AffairSep 2, 2025
- Reds Edge Blue Jays in Thrilling FinaleSep 1, 2025