Royals Edge Guardians in Close Contest at Kauffman Stadium
Sunday, September 27, 2026, 3:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City Royals 3, Cleveland Guardians 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?
Kansas City Royals beat Cleveland Guardians 3-2 at Kauffman Stadium on September 27, 2026.
Who was favored in Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?
Kansas City Royals were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -111 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested game at Kauffman Stadium, the Kansas City Royals triumphed over the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 3-2. This victory marks a significant moment for the Royals, who have struggled throughout the season, finishing with a home record of 69-93. The win against the Guardians, who concluded their season with an away record of 85-77, reflects the Royals' potential to compete despite their overall performance this year.
The Royals entered this game with a recent form that had seen them lose three consecutive games, contributing to a disappointing record of 2-8 over their last ten outings. Their average runs scored during this stretch was 5.1, but they allowed an average of 7.4 runs, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, the Guardians were riding a wave of success, boasting a record of 9-1 in their last ten games, with an average of 5.8 runs scored and only 3.5 runs allowed. This stark difference in form set the stage for an intriguing matchup.
In terms of home and away performance, the Royals had a home record of 1-4 in their last five games, while the Guardians were a formidable 5-0 in their last five away games. This disparity suggested that the Guardians would have the upper hand, especially given their recent successes against the Royals in previous meetings. In their last three encounters leading up to this game, the Royals had lost all, including a pair of defeats just the previous days, with scores of 5-11 and 9-12.
The injury situation for the Royals was notably challenging, with several players unavailable. Steven Cruz and Nick Loftin were both out due to personal matters, while Craig Kimbrel was also absent for bereavement. Additionally, Connor Seabold was on the 60-day injured list due to a lat injury, and Tony Gonsolin was on the 15-day injured list due to illness. The Guardians were not without their own injury concerns, with Rhys Hoskins on the 10-day injured list due to a back issue and Colin Holderman on the 15-day injured list with a wrist injury. These absences undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and lineups.
The market's perspective on the game, as provided by DraftKings, indicated a competitive matchup, with the Royals listed at -111 on the money line and the Guardians at -109. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 8.0 runs for the game. The odds for the over were -115.0, while the under was priced at -105.0, reflecting the expectation of a closely fought contest.
Conditions at Kauffman Stadium were conducive to baseball, with clear skies and moderate temperatures, allowing for a good atmosphere for the fans. The game featured several key moments, particularly in the scoring plays. The Royals took an early lead in the first inning when Salvador Perez singled to left, allowing Garcia to score and Caglianone to advance to third base. The Guardians responded in the third inning with a home run from Schneemann, leveling the score at 1-1.
The back-and-forth continued as Vinnie Pasquantino hit a home run to center field in the fifth inning, putting the Royals ahead 2-1. However, the Guardians answered in the sixth inning with a home run from Adell, tying the game once more at 2-2. The decisive moment came in the eighth inning when Pasquantino struck again, hitting another home run, this time to right field, bringing the score to 3-2 in favor of the Royals.
As the game concluded, the Royals' victory not only provided a much-needed boost to their morale but also showcased their ability to compete against a strong team like the Guardians. The Royals' home win probability at the end of the game was recorded at 1.0, indicating their control over the final moments of the contest. This game highlighted the unpredictability of baseball and the potential for teams to deliver surprising performances, even in challenging seasons.
What we said beforehand
The Kansas City Royals will face off against the Cleveland Guardians at Kauffman Stadium on September 27, 2026, with the Guardians currently leading the series 2-0. This matchup is particularly noteworthy as the Royals look to break a three-game losing streak, while the Guardians aim to extend their winning ways.
In their last five games, the Royals have struggled significantly, recording a 1-4 record. Their recent results include losses to the Cleveland Guardians, where they fell 12-9 and 11-5, as well as a loss to the Chicago White Sox, where they lost 9-1. On average, the Royals have scored 6.2 runs while allowing 10.0 runs in their last five games. At home, their overall record stands at 1-4 in their last five games, with an average of 5.1 runs scored and 7.4 runs allowed.
Conversely, the Cleveland Guardians have been in impressive form, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games. They recently secured victories against the Royals and the Boston Red Sox, including a 3-2 win and a 1-0 win against Boston. The Guardians have averaged 5.4 runs scored and allowed only 3.4 runs in their last five games. Their away record has been strong as well, with a 4-1 mark in their last five away games.
Historically, the Royals have had a tough time against the Guardians, with a head-to-head record of 9-14-1 in their last meetings. The most recent encounters have not favored the Royals, as they have lost the last three games against the Guardians this season. In their previous meetings this season, the Royals lost 12-9 and 11-5 at home, and earlier in August, they suffered a significant 1-11 defeat while playing away.
In terms of injuries, the Royals will be missing several key players. Steven Cruz and Nick Loftin are both out due to personal reasons, while Craig Kimbrel is also unavailable due to bereavement. Connor Seabold is on the 60-Day Injured List with a lat injury, and Tony Gonsolin is on the 15-Day Injured List due to illness. The Guardians will be without Rhys Hoskins, who is on the 10-Day Injured List with a back issue, and Colin Holderman, who is on the 15-Day Injured List with a wrist injury.
The betting odds from DraftKings reflect the competitive nature of this matchup, with the Royals priced at -111 on the money line and the Guardians at -109. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 8.0 runs for the game. The over odds are -115.0, while the under odds are -105.0.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 72°F, a 34% chance of precipitation, and gusts reaching 9 mph. This could play a role in how the game unfolds, particularly in terms of pitching and hitting conditions.
Fans tuning in should watch for the performance of key players. For the Royals, Jac Caglianone leads with a batting average of .287, while Carter Jensen has been a standout with 27 home runs and 81 runs batted in. On the Guardians' side, Chase DeLauter also boasts a batting average of .287, and Angel Martinez has contributed 18 home runs, while Brayan Rocchio has 73 runs batted in.
As the Royals look to turn their fortunes around at home, the Guardians will be eager to maintain their momentum and secure another victory in this crucial matchup.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | KC -111 | 8 o -115 / u -105 | Cleveland Guardians -109 · Kansas City Royals -111 |
Injury report
- Steven CruzPaternityPersonalKansas City Royals
- Craig KimbrelbereavementPersonalKansas City Royals
- Connor Seabold60-Day-ILLatKansas City Royals
- Nick LoftinpaternityPersonalKansas City Royals
- Tony Gonsolin15-Day-ILIllnessKansas City Royals
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Colin Holderman15-Day-ILWristCleveland Guardians
Recent form
Kansas City Royals
Last 10: 2-8Streak L35.1 scored · 7.4 allowed per game1-4 at home
- L5-11vs Cleveland GuardiansSep 26
- L9-12vs Cleveland GuardiansSep 25
- L1-9vs Chicago White SoxSep 24
- W5-4vs Chicago White SoxSep 23
- L11-14vs Chicago White SoxSep 22
- L3-4at Pittsburgh PiratesSep 20
- L5-6at Pittsburgh PiratesSep 19
- L5-8at Pittsburgh PiratesSep 18
- W5-2at Houston AstrosSep 17
- L2-4at Houston AstrosSep 16
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 9-1Streak W35.8 scored · 3.5 allowed per game4-1 away
- W11-5at Kansas City RoyalsSep 26
- W12-9at Kansas City RoyalsSep 25
- W1-0at Boston Red SoxSep 24
- L0-1at Boston Red SoxSep 23
- W3-2at Boston Red SoxSep 22
- W1-0vs AthleticsSep 20
- W12-6vs AthleticsSep 19
- W5-3vs AthleticsSep 18
- W6-3vs Chicago White SoxSep 16
- W7-6vs Chicago White SoxSep 15
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | - | 77 | L1 | .525 | 85 |
| Chicago | 1.5 | 78 | L1 | .516 | 83 |
| Minnesota | 8.5 | 85 | L1 | .472 | 76 |
| Detroit | 8.5 | 85 | W2 | .472 | 76 |
| Kansas City | 16 | 93 | W1 | .426 | 69 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning0-1Perez singled to left, Garcia scored, Caglianone to third.
- 3rd Inning1-1Schneemann homered to right (380 feet).
- 5th Inning1-2Pasquantino homered to center (434 feet).
- 6th Inning2-2Adell homered to left center (440 feet).
- 8th Inning2-3Pasquantino homered to right (378 feet).
Win probability
Above the line favours Kansas City Royals, below favours Cleveland Guardians.
Venue
- Kauffman StadiumKansas City, Missouri
- Attendance22827
- OfficialsRon Kulpa, Scott Barry, Tom Hanahan, John Libka
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These two, other days
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Kansas City Royals 11-5Sep 26, 2026
- Guardians Edge Royals in High-Scoring AffairSep 25, 2026
- Guardians Dominate Royals in 11-1 VictoryAug 30, 2026
- Royals Defeat Guardians 8-3 in Cleveland ShowdownAug 29, 2026
- Royals Shut Out Guardians in 3-0 VictoryAug 28, 2026