ENSign in
NHL · Final

Lightning Defeat Red Wings 4-1 at Home

Thursday, March 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Detroit Red Wings 4-1 at Benchmark International Arena on March 12, 2026.

Who was favored in Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -218 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.

In a decisive matchup at Benchmark International Arena, the Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings. This win not only adds to Tampa Bay's strong home record of 40-20-4 but also extends their lead in the season series against Detroit to 3-1. The Lightning's performance was marked by a solid offensive display, with Jake Guentzel contributing two goals and Gage Goncalves netting two as well, showcasing their scoring depth and ability to capitalize on opportunities.

Tampa Bay entered the game with a mixed recent form, having won only four of their last ten games, and were on a two-game losing streak. They averaged 3.6 goals scored but also allowed 4.1 goals per game during that stretch. Their last five games saw them scoring an average of 3.2 goals while conceding 4.8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that they managed to address in this game.

Conversely, the Red Wings, with a record of 36-23-7, had also struggled recently, winning four of their last ten games and losing their last match against the Florida Panthers. Detroit's average scoring during that stretch was significantly lower at 2.1 goals per game, while they allowed an average of 2.8 goals. Their last five games reflected a slight improvement with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.6 allowed, but they were unable to carry that momentum into this contest.

Home advantage played a crucial role in this game, as the Lightning's home record was significantly stronger compared to their away performance, which stood at 3-2 in their last five home games. In contrast, the Red Wings struggled on the road with a home record of 0-3, which contributed to their challenges in this matchup.

The injury situation for both teams also impacted the game. Tampa Bay was without Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury, while Detroit faced a more significant challenge with four players out: Viktor Arvidsson (ribs), Mason Appleton (upper body), and Michael Rasmussen (lower body). The absence of these key players likely affected Detroit's offensive capabilities and overall team cohesion.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had Tampa Bay favored at -218, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds reflected the Lightning's strong home performance and recent head-to-head success against the Red Wings.

In terms of the game conditions, both teams faced the usual challenges of a late-season matchup, including the pressure of playoff positioning and the need to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. The Lightning's ability to maintain composure and execute their game plan effectively was evident as they took control of the match early on.

The scoring plays highlighted the Lightning's offensive prowess. Guentzel opened the scoring in the second period with a snapshot, assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Corey Perry. Goncalves then scored twice in the third period, first deflecting a shot from Brayden Point and later adding another with assists from Point and Kucherov. J.T. Compher managed to score for Detroit, but it was not enough to shift the momentum. Guentzel capped off the scoring for Tampa Bay with a wrist shot, sealing the game at 4-1.

Overall, this matchup showcased Tampa Bay's strengths at home and their ability to perform under pressure, while the Red Wings will need to regroup and address their injury issues as they move forward in the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -218 6.5 o +114 / u -135 Detroit Red Wings +180 · Tampa Bay Lightning -218

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning
  • Viktor ArvidssonOutRibsDetroit Red Wings
  • Mason AppletonOutUpper BodyDetroit Red Wings
  • Michael RasmussenOutLower BodyDetroit Red Wings

Leaders

  • GoalsGage Goncalves2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsNikita Kucherov2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsJake Guentzel2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • GoalsJ.T. Compher1Detroit Red Wings
  • AssistsAlex DeBrincat1Detroit Red Wings
  • PointsJ.T. Compher1Detroit Red Wings

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 4-6Streak L23.6 scored · 4.1 allowed per game3-2 at home

  • L2-5vs Columbus Blue JacketsMar 10
  • L7-8at Buffalo SabresMar 8
  • W5-2at Toronto Maple LeafsMar 8
  • L1-4at Winnipeg JetsMar 6
  • L1-5at Minnesota WildMar 4
  • L2-6vs Buffalo SabresMar 1
  • L4-5at Carolina HurricanesFeb 27
  • W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
  • W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4

Detroit Red Wings

Last 10: 4-6Streak L12.1 scored · 2.8 allowed per game4-3 away

  • L3-4at Florida PanthersMar 10
  • W3-0at New Jersey DevilsMar 8
  • L1-3vs Florida PanthersMar 7
  • L3-4vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 5
  • W4-2at Nashville PredatorsMar 2
  • L2-5at Carolina HurricanesMar 1
  • W2-1at Ottawa SenatorsFeb 27
  • L1-4at Utah MammothFeb 5
  • W2-0at Colorado AvalancheFeb 3
  • L0-5vs Colorado AvalancheJan 31

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatDetroit Red WingsTampa Bay Lightning
Blocked shots2014
Hits2122
Takeaways102
Shots total2529
Power play goals01
Power play opportunities11
Power play pct0.0100.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2121
Faceoff percent50.050.0
Giveaways1016
Penalties11
Penalty minutes22

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd0-1Jake Guentzel Goal (28) Snap Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (71), Corey Perry (18)
  2. 3rd0-2Gage Goncalves Goal (9) Deflected, assists: Brayden Point (25)
  3. 3rd1-2J.T. Compher Goal (9) Tip-In, assists: Alex DeBrincat (32), Patrick Kane (28)
  4. 3rd1-3Gage Goncalves Goal (10) Deflected, assists: Brayden Point (26), Nikita Kucherov (72)
  5. 3rd1-4Jake Guentzel Goal (29) Wrist Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (25)

Venue

  • Benchmark International ArenaTampa, FL
  • Attendance19092
  • OfficialsFrancois St. Laurent, Kendrick Nicholson, Libor Suchanek, CJ Murray

Elsewhere

Picks for NHL

NHL rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.