Lightning Defeat Red Wings 4-1 at Home
Thursday, March 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning beat Detroit Red Wings 4-1 at Benchmark International Arena on March 12, 2026.
Who was favored in Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -218 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.
In a decisive matchup at Benchmark International Arena, the Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings. This win not only adds to Tampa Bay's strong home record of 40-20-4 but also extends their lead in the season series against Detroit to 3-1. The Lightning's performance was marked by a solid offensive display, with Jake Guentzel contributing two goals and Gage Goncalves netting two as well, showcasing their scoring depth and ability to capitalize on opportunities.
Tampa Bay entered the game with a mixed recent form, having won only four of their last ten games, and were on a two-game losing streak. They averaged 3.6 goals scored but also allowed 4.1 goals per game during that stretch. Their last five games saw them scoring an average of 3.2 goals while conceding 4.8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that they managed to address in this game.
Conversely, the Red Wings, with a record of 36-23-7, had also struggled recently, winning four of their last ten games and losing their last match against the Florida Panthers. Detroit's average scoring during that stretch was significantly lower at 2.1 goals per game, while they allowed an average of 2.8 goals. Their last five games reflected a slight improvement with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.6 allowed, but they were unable to carry that momentum into this contest.
Home advantage played a crucial role in this game, as the Lightning's home record was significantly stronger compared to their away performance, which stood at 3-2 in their last five home games. In contrast, the Red Wings struggled on the road with a home record of 0-3, which contributed to their challenges in this matchup.
The injury situation for both teams also impacted the game. Tampa Bay was without Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury, while Detroit faced a more significant challenge with four players out: Viktor Arvidsson (ribs), Mason Appleton (upper body), and Michael Rasmussen (lower body). The absence of these key players likely affected Detroit's offensive capabilities and overall team cohesion.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had Tampa Bay favored at -218, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds reflected the Lightning's strong home performance and recent head-to-head success against the Red Wings.
In terms of the game conditions, both teams faced the usual challenges of a late-season matchup, including the pressure of playoff positioning and the need to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. The Lightning's ability to maintain composure and execute their game plan effectively was evident as they took control of the match early on.
The scoring plays highlighted the Lightning's offensive prowess. Guentzel opened the scoring in the second period with a snapshot, assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Corey Perry. Goncalves then scored twice in the third period, first deflecting a shot from Brayden Point and later adding another with assists from Point and Kucherov. J.T. Compher managed to score for Detroit, but it was not enough to shift the momentum. Guentzel capped off the scoring for Tampa Bay with a wrist shot, sealing the game at 4-1.
Overall, this matchup showcased Tampa Bay's strengths at home and their ability to perform under pressure, while the Red Wings will need to regroup and address their injury issues as they move forward in the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TB -218 | 6.5 o +114 / u -135 | Detroit Red Wings +180 · Tampa Bay Lightning -218 |
Injury report
- Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning
- Viktor ArvidssonOutRibsDetroit Red Wings
- Mason AppletonOutUpper BodyDetroit Red Wings
- Michael RasmussenOutLower BodyDetroit Red Wings
Leaders
- GoalsGage Goncalves2Tampa Bay Lightning
- AssistsNikita Kucherov2Tampa Bay Lightning
- PointsJake Guentzel2Tampa Bay Lightning
- GoalsJ.T. Compher1Detroit Red Wings
- AssistsAlex DeBrincat1Detroit Red Wings
- PointsJ.T. Compher1Detroit Red Wings
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last 10: 4-6Streak L23.6 scored · 4.1 allowed per game3-2 at home
- L2-5vs Columbus Blue JacketsMar 10
- L7-8at Buffalo SabresMar 8
- W5-2at Toronto Maple LeafsMar 8
- L1-4at Winnipeg JetsMar 6
- L1-5at Minnesota WildMar 4
- L2-6vs Buffalo SabresMar 1
- L4-5at Carolina HurricanesFeb 27
- W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
- W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
- W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
Detroit Red Wings
Last 10: 4-6Streak L12.1 scored · 2.8 allowed per game4-3 away
- L3-4at Florida PanthersMar 10
- W3-0at New Jersey DevilsMar 8
- L1-3vs Florida PanthersMar 7
- L3-4vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 5
- W4-2at Nashville PredatorsMar 2
- L2-5at Carolina HurricanesMar 1
- W2-1at Ottawa SenatorsFeb 27
- L1-4at Utah MammothFeb 5
- W2-0at Colorado AvalancheFeb 3
- L0-5vs Colorado AvalancheJan 31
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
Box score
| Stat | Detroit Red Wings | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 20 | 14 |
| Hits | 21 | 22 |
| Takeaways | 10 | 2 |
| Shots total | 25 | 29 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 1 | 1 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 100.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 21 | 21 |
| Faceoff percent | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Giveaways | 10 | 16 |
| Penalties | 1 | 1 |
| Penalty minutes | 2 | 2 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd0-1Jake Guentzel Goal (28) Snap Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (71), Corey Perry (18)
- 3rd0-2Gage Goncalves Goal (9) Deflected, assists: Brayden Point (25)
- 3rd1-2J.T. Compher Goal (9) Tip-In, assists: Alex DeBrincat (32), Patrick Kane (28)
- 3rd1-3Gage Goncalves Goal (10) Deflected, assists: Brayden Point (26), Nikita Kucherov (72)
- 3rd1-4Jake Guentzel Goal (29) Wrist Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (25)
Venue
- Benchmark International ArenaTampa, FL
- Attendance19092
- OfficialsFrancois St. Laurent, Kendrick Nicholson, Libor Suchanek, CJ Murray
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