Tigers Edge Guardians in Tense Finale
Tuesday, September 30, 2025, 1:00 PM ET · Progressive Field
Detroit Tigers 2, Cleveland Guardians 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians?
Detroit Tigers beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1 at Progressive Field on September 30, 2025.
In a tightly contested game, the Detroit Tigers triumphed over the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 2-1 at Progressive Field. This victory allowed the Tigers to win the series 2-1, showcasing their resilience in a challenging season. The match highlighted the contrasting fortunes of both teams, particularly in their recent performances and injury challenges.
The Guardians entered this game with a home record of 88-74, having demonstrated solid form in their last ten games with a record of 7-3, including a two-game winning streak. Their average runs scored during this stretch was 4.2, while they allowed an average of 3.3 runs per game. However, they faced difficulties against the Tigers earlier in the series, losing the first game 4-2 before bouncing back with a 5-1 and a 5-2 victory in the subsequent matches. In contrast, the Tigers, with an away record of 87-75, struggled recently, managing only a 2-8 record in their last ten games, with an average of 2.4 runs scored and 4.6 runs allowed. This loss marked their first defeat in a series against the Guardians this season, having previously lost five consecutive games against them before this series.
The game began with the Tigers taking an early lead in the first inning when Spencer Torkelson singled to left, allowing Carpenter to score. The Guardians responded in the fourth inning, tying the game when Gabriel Arias reached on an infield single, bringing Martínez home while Ramírez advanced to third. However, the Tigers regained the lead in the seventh inning with a sacrifice bunt by Zach McKinstry, which allowed Greene to score, resulting in a final score of 2-1.
In terms of injuries, the Guardians were missing several key players, including Slade Cecconi (15-Day-IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day-IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day-IL, calf). The Tigers also faced significant injury concerns, with Burch Smith, Brant Hurter, Wenceel Perez, Jack Flaherty, and Justin Verlander all on the injured list.
The market had set the odds for this match, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. The Guardians were seen as underdogs with a home win probability of 0.0, indicating the challenges they faced against a determined Tigers side.
As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a battle of pitching and strategy, with both teams showcasing their defensive skills. The Guardians' recent home form had been strong, but the Tigers managed to capitalize on their scoring opportunities when it mattered most. The conditions at Progressive Field were conducive to a close match, with both teams vying for crucial runs.
In summary, the Tigers' victory not only secured them a series win but also highlighted their ability to perform under pressure, while the Guardians will need to regroup and address their injury issues as they move forward in the season.
Injury report
- Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
- Burch Smith60-Day-ILShoulderDetroit Tigers
- Brant Hurter60-Day-ILBackDetroit Tigers
- Wenceel Perez60-Day-ILOrbitalDetroit Tigers
- Jack Flaherty15-Day-ILForearmDetroit Tigers
- Justin Verlander60-Day-ILHamstringDetroit Tigers
Recent form
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 7-3Streak W24.2 scored · 3.3 allowed per game4-2 at home
- W9-8vs Texas RangersSep 28
- W3-2vs Texas RangersSep 27
- L3-7vs Texas RangersSep 26
- L2-4vs Detroit TigersSep 25
- W5-1vs Detroit TigersSep 24
- W5-2vs Detroit TigersSep 23
- L2-6at Minnesota TwinsSep 21
- W6-2at Minnesota TwinsSep 20
- W3-1at Detroit TigersSep 18
- W4-0at Detroit TigersSep 17
Detroit Tigers
Last 10: 2-8Streak L12.4 scored · 4.6 allowed per game2-4 away
- L3-4at Boston Red SoxSep 28
- W2-1at Boston Red SoxSep 27
- L3-4at Boston Red SoxSep 26
- W4-2at Cleveland GuardiansSep 25
- L1-5at Cleveland GuardiansSep 24
- L2-5at Cleveland GuardiansSep 23
- L2-6vs Atlanta BravesSep 21
- L5-6vs Atlanta BravesSep 20
- L1-10vs Atlanta BravesSep 19
- L1-3vs Cleveland GuardiansSep 18
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Torkelson singled to left, Carpenter scored.
- 4th Inning1-1Arias reached on infield single to pitcher, Martínez scored, Ramírez to third.
- 7th Inning2-1McKinstry hit sacrifice bunt to first, Greene scored, Pérez to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Detroit Tigers.
Venue
- Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
- Attendance26186
- OfficialsShane Livensparger, Adam Beck, David Rackley, Vic Carapazza, Stu Scheurwater, Carlos Torres