Maple Leafs Dominate Panthers 4-1 at Home
Tuesday, January 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Florida Panthers 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 4-1 at Scotiabank Arena on January 6, 2026.
Who was favored in Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Florida Panthers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -135 (about 57% implied). The underdog won.
In a decisive victory, the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Florida Panthers 4-1 at Scotiabank Arena, extending their lead in the season series to 3-0. This win was particularly significant as it showcased the Maple Leafs' ability to perform well at home despite facing a challenging injury situation. Toronto's record improved to 21-15-7, while Florida's dropped to 22-18-3.
The Maple Leafs entered the game with a home record of 20-15-7, having gone 5-5 in their last ten games. They had averaged 3.5 goals scored and 3.6 goals allowed during that stretch, indicating a slight struggle on defense. Their recent form included a loss to the New York Islanders just days prior, but they had secured victories against teams like the Winnipeg Jets and New Jersey Devils in the days leading up to this match. In contrast, the Panthers came into the game with an away record of 22-17-3, having won six of their last ten games, averaging 3.1 goals scored and 3.1 goals allowed. They were riding a one-game winning streak after defeating the Colorado Avalanche.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Maple Leafs had won all three meetings this season, including a 4-1 victory on December 3, 2025, and a 3-2 win earlier in April 2025. The Panthers had not been able to secure a victory against Toronto this season, and this trend continued in their latest encounter.
Injuries played a pivotal role in the game, particularly for the Maple Leafs, who were missing key players including Auston Matthews, Max Domi, and Dakota Joshua, all sidelined due to various injuries. The Panthers also faced significant absences, with Brad Marchand, Radko Gudas, Jacob Markstrom, Carter Verhaeghe, and Sam Bennett all out, impacting their lineup and performance.
The betting market reflected this matchup with DraftKings listing the Panthers as -135 favorites, while the Maple Leafs were at +114 on the money line. The spread was set at 1.5, and the total for the game was 5.5, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair.
The game conditions were favorable for hockey, with the arena filled with fans eager to see their team perform well at home. The scoring opened in the first period with Easton Cowan netting a goal with a snap shot, assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Nicolas Roy. The Maple Leafs maintained their momentum into the second period, where Matthew Knies scored a goal on a tip-in, followed by a snap shot goal from Auston Matthews, extending their lead to 3-0.
The Panthers managed to get on the board in the third period with a goal from Carter Verhaeghe, but the Maple Leafs responded quickly with Bobby McMann scoring another goal, sealing the game at 4-1.
Overall, this matchup highlighted the Maple Leafs' resilience and ability to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Panthers struggled to find their footing against a team that has had their number this season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | FLA -135 | 5.5 o -135 / u +114 | Florida Panthers -135 · Toronto Maple Leafs +114 |
Injury report
- Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
- Brad MarchandInjured ReserveLower BodyFlorida Panthers
- Radko GudasOutAnkleFlorida Panthers
- Jacob MarkstromOutUndisclosedFlorida Panthers
- Carter VerhaegheOutLower BodyFlorida Panthers
- Sam BennettOutLower BodyFlorida Panthers
Leaders
- GoalsMatthew Knies1Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsMatthew Knies1Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsMatthew Knies2Toronto Maple Leafs
- GoalsCarter Verhaeghe1Florida Panthers
- PointsCarter Verhaeghe1Florida Panthers
Recent form
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 5-5Streak L13.5 scored · 3.6 allowed per game5-0 at home
- L3-4at New York IslandersJan 4
- W6-5vs Winnipeg JetsJan 2
- W4-0vs New Jersey DevilsDec 31
- L2-3at Detroit Red WingsDec 29
- W7-5vs Ottawa SenatorsDec 28
- W6-3vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 23
- L1-5at Dallas StarsDec 22
- L3-5at Nashville PredatorsDec 21
- L0-4at Washington CapitalsDec 19
- W3-2vs Chicago BlackhawksDec 17
Florida Panthers
Last 10: 6-4Streak W13.1 scored · 3.1 allowed per game2-0 away
- W2-1vs Colorado AvalancheJan 4
- L1-5vs New York RangersJan 3
- L2-3vs Montreal CanadiensDec 31
- W5-3vs Washington CapitalsDec 30
- L2-4vs Tampa Bay LightningDec 28
- W5-2at Carolina HurricanesDec 24
- L2-6vs St. Louis BluesDec 20
- W4-3vs Carolina HurricanesDec 20
- W3-2vs Los Angeles KingsDec 18
- W5-2at Tampa Bay LightningDec 16
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
Box score
| Stat | Florida Panthers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 10 | 18 |
| Hits | 31 | 21 |
| Takeaways | 8 | 2 |
| Shots total | 32 | 23 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 0 |
| Power play opportunities | 3 | 2 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 28 | 30 |
| Faceoff percent | 48.3 | 51.7 |
| Giveaways | 12 | 14 |
| Penalties | 3 | 4 |
| Penalty minutes | 9 | 11 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Easton Cowan Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: Nicholas Robertson (12), Nicolas Roy (12)
- 2nd0-2Matthew Knies Goal (12) Tip-In, assists: Troy Stecher (6), John Tavares (23)
- 2nd0-3Auston Matthews Goal (21) Snap Shot, assists: Matthew Knies (26), Matias Maccelli (10)
- 3rd1-3Carter Verhaeghe Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: none
- 3rd1-4Bobby McMann Goal (13) Backhand, assists: Nicolas Roy (13)
Venue
- Scotiabank ArenaToronto
- Attendance18911
- OfficialsGord Dwyer, Francis Charron, Devin Berg, Andrew Smith
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