Nationals Edge Astros in High-Scoring Thriller
Monday, July 6, 2026, 6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park
Washington Nationals 12, Houston Astros 11, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals?
Washington Nationals beat Houston Astros 12-11 at Nationals Park on July 6, 2026.
Who was favored in Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals?
Washington Nationals were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -114 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling contest at Nationals Park, the Washington Nationals narrowly defeated the Houston Astros 12-11, concluding a three-game series in which the Nationals emerged victorious 2-1. This matchup was notable not only for its close scoreline but also for the intense back-and-forth action that kept fans on the edge of their seats.
The Nationals entered the game with a home record of 47-45, while the Astros had an away record of 45-48. In their last ten games, the Nationals have struggled with a record of 5-5, currently on a two-game losing streak. They averaged 5.2 runs scored per game while allowing the same number, indicating a balance that has not translated into consistent wins. Their recent games included losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates, where they were outscored 11-5 and 7-1 in back-to-back games prior to this matchup. In contrast, the Astros have been in better form, boasting a record of 6-4 in their last ten games and coming off a win against the Tampa Bay Rays. They averaged 3.6 runs scored and allowed 4.1 runs during this stretch, highlighting their offensive struggles despite their recent success.
At home, the Nationals have recorded a 1-3 record in their last four games, while the Astros have performed well on the road, with a 4-1 record in their last five away games. This fixture was particularly interesting as it marked the third meeting between these teams in the current season, with both teams having won one game each previously.
In terms of injuries, the Nationals faced several challenges, with Keibert Ruiz and Cade Cavalli listed as day-to-day, while Richard Lovelady, Josiah Gray, and DJ Herz were on the 60-day injured list. The Astros also dealt with significant injuries, including Brice Matthews, Mike Burrows, and Carlos Correa, all on the 60-day injured list, which has impacted their roster depth.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Nationals favored at -114 on the money line, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 10.0 runs. The odds for the over were -102, while the under was priced at -118, indicating a competitive outlook for this high-scoring affair.
The game itself featured a series of dramatic scoring plays. In the third inning, Mead's single allowed Wood to score, putting the Astros ahead 6-3. However, the Nationals quickly responded with a three-run homer from Abrams, tying the game at 6-6. The Nationals then took the lead in the fifth inning with a homer from Mead and a sacrifice fly from Millas, pushing the score to 8-6. A powerful homer from Wood, which cleared the center field fence at 446 feet, extended the Nationals' lead to 12-6.
Despite the Nationals' lead, the Astros fought back, scoring five runs in the late innings, including a two-run homer from Matthews in the eighth that brought the game to a tense 12-11. However, the Nationals managed to hold on for the win, sealing the game with a final score of 12-11.
This game showcased the resilience of both teams, with the Nationals ultimately prevailing in a contest that highlighted their offensive capabilities despite recent struggles. Fans will be eager to see how both teams adjust in their upcoming games, particularly as they navigate their injury challenges and seek to improve their standings.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | WSH -114 | 10 o -102 / u -118 | Houston Astros -106 · Washington Nationals -114 |
Injury report
- Keibert RuizDay-To-DayHeadWashington Nationals
- Richard Lovelady60-Day-ILTricepsWashington Nationals
- Cade CavalliDay-To-DayLower LegWashington Nationals
- Josiah Gray60-Day-ILElbowWashington Nationals
- DJ Herz60-Day-ILElbowWashington Nationals
- Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
- Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
- Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
- Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
Recent form
Washington Nationals
Last 10: 5-5Streak L25.2 scored · 5.2 allowed per game1-3 at home
- L5-11vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 5
- L1-7vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 4
- W9-5vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 3
- W10-2at Boston Red SoxJul 1
- W8-1at Boston Red SoxJun 30
- L3-6at Boston Red SoxJun 29
- W6-4at Baltimore OriolesJun 28
- W4-3at Baltimore OriolesJun 27
- L1-3at Baltimore OriolesJun 26
- L5-10vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 25
Houston Astros
Last 10: 6-4Streak W13.6 scored · 4.1 allowed per game4-1 away
- W2-0vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 5
- L1-3vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 4
- L3-8vs Minnesota TwinsJul 2
- W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsJul 1
- L4-5vs Minnesota TwinsJun 30
- W7-5at Detroit TigersJun 28
- W8-6at Detroit TigersJun 27
- L0-8at Detroit TigersJun 26
- W2-1at Detroit TigersJun 25
- W3-1at Toronto Blue JaysJun 24
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | - | 69 | W1 | .507 | 71 |
| Texas | 2 | 71 | L1 | .493 | 69 |
| Seattle | 5 | 74 | W2 | .471 | 66 |
| Athletics | 17 | 86 | W1 | .386 | 54 |
| Los Angeles | 18 | 87 | L2 | .379 | 53 |
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Walker doubled to center, Paredes scored.
- 1st Inning1-1Mead doubled to center, Wood scored.
- 2nd Inning4-1Altuve homered to left (372 feet), Shewmake scored and Matthews scored.
- 3rd Inning6-1Diaz homered to left (389 feet), Smith scored.
- 3rd Inning6-2García Jr. doubled to left, Nuñez scored, Wood to third.
- 3rd Inning6-3Mead singled to left, Wood scored, García Jr. to third.
- 3rd Inning6-6Abrams homered to right (392 feet), García Jr. scored and Mead scored.
- 5th Inning6-7Mead homered to left center (404 feet).
- 5th Inning6-8Millas hit sacrifice fly to left, Abrams scored.
- 5th Inning6-12Wood homered to center (446 feet), Crews scored, Young scored and Nuñez scored.
- 6th Inning7-12Shewmake grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Smith scored, Diaz out at second.
- 8th Inning8-12Shewmake doubled to right, Wade Jr. scored, Diaz to third.
- 8th Inning11-12Matthews homered to left (363 feet), Diaz scored and Shewmake scored.
Win probability
Above the line favours Washington Nationals, below favours Houston Astros.
Venue
- Nationals ParkWashington, District of Columbia
- Attendance11092
- OfficialsDan Merzel, Shane Livensparger, Mark Ripperger, Brock Ballou
Elsewhere
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These two, other days
- Nationals Dominate Astros in 8-2 VictoryJul 8, 2026
- Astros Defeat Nationals 6-3 in Series FinaleJul 7, 2026
- Nationals Edge Astros in Close Contest at CACTI ParkMar 12, 2026
- Nationals Defeat Astros 3-1 in Key MatchupMar 8, 2026
- Astros Dominate Nationals with 7-1 VictoryMar 6, 2026