WNBA · Final

Aces Defeat Fever 94-83 in WNBA Showdown

Thursday, October 1, 2026, 9:00 PM ET · Michelob ULTRA Arena

Las Vegas Aces 94, Indiana Fever 83, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces?

Las Vegas Aces beat Indiana Fever 94-83 at Michelob ULTRA Arena on October 1, 2026.

Who was favored in Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces?

Las Vegas Aces were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -198 (about 66% implied). The favorite won.

In a closely contested matchup, the Las Vegas Aces emerged victorious against the Indiana Fever with a final score of 94-83 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. This game was significant as it marked the third meeting of the season between the two teams, with Indiana having won the series 2-1 prior to this encounter. The Aces, who finished the regular season with a record of 31-13, showcased their offensive prowess, averaging 95.6 points over their last ten games, despite a recent loss to the Fever just days earlier on September 29, where they fell 89-99.

The Aces entered the game with an 8-2 record over their last ten matchups, although they were on a one-game losing streak. They had a strong home record of 5-1 in their last six at the Michelob ULTRA Arena, which contributed to their confidence heading into this crucial game. In contrast, the Fever, who finished the season with a record of 28-16, were 5-5 in their last ten games and had won their most recent outing against the Aces. Indiana's scoring average over the same stretch was 93.7 points, indicating their competitive nature in recent weeks.

Both teams faced injury challenges leading up to the game. The Aces were without Stephanie Talbot, Dana Evans, and NaLyssa Smith, all of whom were sidelined due to leg or knee injuries. The Fever also had a key player missing, as Tyasha Harris was out with a leg injury. These absences undoubtedly affected both teams' strategies and rotations.

As the game unfolded, the Aces managed to establish a lead, capitalizing on their home court advantage. The Fever fought valiantly to stay in contention, but the Aces' consistent scoring and solid defense proved too much to overcome. The final moments of the game were marked by a series of free throws from both teams, with A'ja Wilson and Jackie Young contributing crucial points to secure the victory for Las Vegas.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Aces favored by 4.5 points, indicating a strong belief in their ability to win at home. The total points over/under was set at 181.5, reflecting expectations for a competitive scoring affair. Ultimately, the game exceeded this total, highlighting the offensive capabilities of both teams.

With this victory, the Aces not only avenged their previous loss to the Fever but also reinforced their standing as a formidable force in the league. As the playoffs approach, this win could serve as a crucial momentum builder for the Aces, while the Fever will need to regroup and address their inconsistencies if they hope to make a deeper playoff run.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming WNBA game between the Las Vegas Aces and the Indiana Fever is set to capture attention, particularly as the Fever have won the series 2-1 this season. The match will take place at the Michelob ULTRA Arena on October 2, 2026, at 01:00 UTC. The Aces, with a record of 31-13, will look to leverage their home advantage against the Fever, who hold a record of 28-16.

In their last five games, the Aces have had a strong showing, winning four out of five. Their recent results include victories over the Seattle Storm (98-77), Los Angeles Sparks (89-79), and Phoenix Mercury (100-82). However, they faced a setback against the Fever on September 29, losing 89-99, after previously defeating them 102-85 just two days prior on September 27. The Aces have averaged 95.6 points scored in their last ten games while allowing 82.5 points, showcasing their offensive strength despite their recent loss.

The Fever, on the other hand, have had a mixed performance in their last five games, winning two and losing three. Their most recent victory was against the Aces, where they scored 99 points, following a win against the Minnesota Lynx (96-77). They also lost to the Lynx in their prior matchup (66-86) and suffered a defeat against the Washington Mystics (77-93). Indiana's recent form has seen them average 93.7 points scored and 91.3 points allowed over their last ten games, indicating a competitive but inconsistent performance.

When comparing home and away records, the Aces have performed well at home with a record of 8-2 in their last ten games, while the Fever's away record stands at 2-4. The Aces have averaged 95.6 points scored at home, which is significantly higher than the Fever's away scoring average of 84.6 points in their last five away games.

In terms of injuries, the Aces will be without Stephanie Talbot, Dana Evans, and NaLyssa Smith, all of whom are out due to various leg and knee injuries. The Fever will also be missing Tyasha Harris, who is out with a leg injury. These absences could impact both teams' strategies and player rotations during the game.

The betting market has priced the Aces as 4.5 point favorites, according to DraftKings, with a total set at 181.5. The moneyline odds reflect the Aces at -198 and the Fever at +164, indicating a clear expectation of a competitive game but favoring the home team.

Fans should watch for A'ja Wilson, who leads the Aces in points with an average of 26.2 per game, as well as her rebounding prowess, averaging 9.4 rebounds. For the Fever, Kelsey Mitchell is a key player to observe, averaging 24.7 points per game. The matchup between these two high-scoring players could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.

Overall, this fixture promises to be an intriguing encounter, given the recent performances of both teams and their previous meetings this season.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	LV -4.5	181.5 o -108 / u -112	Indiana Fever +164 · Las Vegas Aces -198

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Stephanie TalbotOutLegLas Vegas Aces
Dana EvansOutKneeLas Vegas Aces
NaLyssa SmithOutLegLas Vegas Aces
Tyasha HarrisOutLegIndiana Fever

Leaders

PointsA'ja Wilson36Las Vegas Aces
AssistsJackie Young7Las Vegas Aces
ReboundsA'ja Wilson10Las Vegas Aces
PointsKelsey Mitchell23Indiana Fever
AssistsCaitlin Clark4Indiana Fever
ReboundsMyisha Hines-Allen12Indiana Fever

Recent form

Las Vegas Aces

Last 10: 8-2Streak L195.6 scored · 82.5 allowed per game5-1 at home

L89-99at Indiana FeverSep 29
W102-85vs Indiana FeverSep 27
W100-82at Phoenix MercurySep 25
W89-79vs Los Angeles SparksSep 23
W98-77vs Seattle StormSep 21
W114-77at Seattle StormSep 18
W93-73vs Toronto TempoAug 29
W88-78at Toronto TempoAug 23
W101-78vs Connecticut SunAug 21
L82-97vs Atlanta DreamAug 19

Indiana Fever

Last 10: 5-5Streak W193.7 scored · 91.3 allowed per game2-4 away

W99-89vs Las Vegas AcesSep 29
L85-102at Las Vegas AcesSep 27
L66-86at Minnesota LynxSep 25
W96-77vs Minnesota LynxSep 23
L77-93vs Washington MysticsSep 20
W103-85at Toronto TempoSep 18
W111-91vs Connecticut SunAug 28
W113-90at Chicago SkyAug 23
L102-109at New York LibertyAug 22
L85-91at Dallas WingsAug 21

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Atlanta	-	14	W5	.682	30
Washington	2	16	W4	.636	28
Indiana	2	16	L1	.636	28
New York	4	18	L2	.591	26
Chicago	14	28	L1	.364	16
Toronto	19	33	L8	.250	11
Connecticut	19	33	W1	.250	11
Minnesota	-	11	W1	.750	33
Golden State	1	12	W1	.727	32
Las Vegas	2	13	W7	.705	31
Dallas	6	17	W1	.614	27
Portland	16	27	W1	.386	17
Los Angeles	17	28	L2	.364	16
Phoenix	17	28	L1	.364	16
Seattle	25	36	L5	.182	8

Box score

Stat	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces
Field goals	30-78	29-64
Field goal %	38	45
Three-pointers	9-32	8-20
Three-point %	28	40
Free throws	14-20	28-35
Free throw %	70	80
Rebounds	38	34
Offensive rebounds	9	2
Defensive rebounds	29	32
Assists	16	15
Steals	8	4
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers	10	10
Team turnovers	0	0
Technical fouls	2	1
Technical fouls, total	2	1
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	14	14
Fast-break points	11	6
Points in the paint	36	22
Fouls	27	19
Largest lead	8	12
Lead changes	7	7
Time in front	21	71

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter53-63A'ja Wilson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jackie Young assists)
3rd Quarter55-63Kelsey Mitchell makes 2-foot two point shot
3rd Quarter55-64A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter55-67Chelsea Gray makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jackie Young assists)
3rd Quarter58-67Aliyah Boston makes 22-foot three point jumper (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
3rd Quarter60-67Myisha Hines-Allen makes 10-foot jumper (Aliyah Boston assists)
3rd Quarter60-68Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter61-68Myisha Hines-Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter62-68Myisha Hines-Allen makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter64-68Caitlin Clark makes running layup
3rd Quarter64-70Chelsea Gray makes 12-foot fade away jump shot
3rd Quarter65-70Caitlin Clark makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter68-70Sophie Cunningham makes 27-foot three point jumper (Lexie Hull assists)
4th Quarter68-72Jackie Young makes 2-foot layup (Chelsea Gray assists)
4th Quarter68-74A'ja Wilson makes 3-foot two point shot
4th Quarter70-74Raven Johnson makes 3-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter70-76Chelsea Gray makes 13-foot two point shot
4th Quarter70-77Chelsea Gray makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter70-78Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter70-79Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter70-80A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter73-80Aliyah Boston makes 26-foot three point jumper (Kelsey Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter73-82Chelsea Gray makes 20-foot step back jumpshot
4th Quarter74-82Kelsey Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter75-82Kelsey Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter77-82Kelsey Mitchell makes two point shot (Monique Billings assists)
4th Quarter80-82Kelsey Mitchell makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
4th Quarter80-83Chelsea Gray makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter80-84Chelsea Gray makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter80-86Chelsea Gray makes 16-foot pullup jump shot
4th Quarter82-86Caitlin Clark makes 7-foot two point shot
4th Quarter82-87A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter82-88A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter83-88Kelsey Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter83-89Chelsea Gray makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter83-90Chelsea Gray makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter83-91Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter83-92Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter83-93A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter83-94A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2

Win probability

Above the line favours Las Vegas Aces, below favours Indiana Fever.

Venue

Michelob ULTRA ArenaLas Vegas, NV
Attendance10388
OfficialsTim Greene, Tiara Cruse, Ryan Sassano, Agon Abazi

Elsewhere

WNBA rules and settlement

These two, other days

Indiana Fever Defeats Las Vegas Aces 99-89Sep 29, 2026
Aces Dominate Fever in WNBA ShowdownSep 27, 2026
Aces Edge Fever in Overtime ThrillerAug 6, 2026
Indiana Fever Defeats Las Vegas Aces 109-75Jul 12, 2026
Indiana Fever Defeats Las Vegas Aces 84-68Jul 5, 2026

Every meeting