Lynx Dominate Fever in WNBA Showdown
Thursday, September 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Target Center
Minnesota Lynx 86, Indiana Fever 66, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx?
Minnesota Lynx beat Indiana Fever 86-66 at Target Center on September 24, 2026.
Who was favored in Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx?
Indiana Fever were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -192 (about 66% implied). The underdog won.
In a decisive matchup at the Target Center, the Minnesota Lynx triumphed over the Indiana Fever with a final score of 86-66. This victory not only showcased the Lynx's strength at home but also marked a significant moment in their ongoing series, where they now lead 2-1 against the Fever this season.
The Lynx entered the game with a home record of 33-11, while the Fever boasted an away record of 28-16. Despite their strong overall performance this season, the Lynx had struggled recently, recording a 6-4 record in their last ten games, with an average of 85.7 points scored and 85.5 points allowed. They were coming off a loss to the Fever just two days prior, where they fell 77-96, which added a layer of intensity to this rematch. However, the Lynx had only won one of their last five games, averaging 81.2 points scored and allowing 89.4 points during that stretch.
On the other hand, the Fever were in better form, having a 7-3 record in their last ten games, with an impressive scoring average of 98.1 points and allowing 90.9 points. They had recently won against the Lynx, which likely boosted their confidence heading into this game. The Fever's recent victory over the Lynx was part of a streak where they averaged 100.0 points in their last five games, showcasing their offensive capabilities.
In terms of home and away performance, the Lynx had a home record of 1-2 in their last three games, while the Fever had a strong away record of 4-2 in their last six games. This context made the Lynx's dominant performance even more noteworthy.
The injury reports played a significant role in the game, with the Lynx missing three key players: Elena Buenavida (out due to coach's decision), Anastasiia Olairi Kosu (out with a foot injury), and Olivia Miles (out with a calf injury). The Fever were also impacted by injuries, with Tyasha Harris (out with a leg injury) and Aliyah Boston (out with a lower leg injury) unavailable for the game. The absence of these players undoubtedly affected both teams' strategies and depth.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Fever favored by 4.5 points, with a total set at 184.5. The odds reflected the Fever's recent form and their prior victory over the Lynx, but the Lynx's home advantage proved to be a significant factor in the outcome.
The conditions at the Target Center were conducive to a competitive game, and the Lynx capitalized on their home crowd's energy. The Lynx's scoring was led by a strong fourth quarter, where they outscored the Fever significantly. Notable plays included a three-point jumper by Nia Brodie and several free throws by Grace VanSlooten, who contributed to the Fever's scoring late in the game. Despite their efforts, the Fever could not close the gap, and the Lynx maintained control throughout.
Fans watching the game were treated to a display of resilience from the Lynx, who rebounded from their recent loss to the Fever with a commanding performance. The Lynx's ability to adapt and overcome their injury challenges was evident as they executed their game plan effectively, leading to a comprehensive victory.
This game not only solidified the Lynx's position in the series against the Fever but also served as a reminder of their potential as they head into the latter stages of the season. The Lynx's performance, particularly at home, will be critical as they look to build momentum moving forward.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and the Indiana Fever is particularly intriguing as the series is currently tied 1-1. This game will take place at the Target Center on September 25, 2026, and both teams are looking to gain the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters. The Fever recently defeated the Lynx 96-77 in their last meeting on September 23, showcasing their offensive prowess.
In terms of recent form, the Minnesota Lynx have struggled, recording a 1-4 record in their last five games. Their latest results include losses to the Golden State Valkyries (80-66), the Atlanta Dream (89-81), and the New York Liberty (93-81), alongside a win against the Connecticut Sun (101-89). The Lynx are averaging 81.2 points scored and allowing 89.4 points during this stretch. At home, they have a record of 1-2 in their last three games, averaging 85.7 points scored and 85.5 points allowed.
On the other hand, the Indiana Fever are coming off a strong performance, winning four of their last five games, including their recent victory over the Lynx. Their last five results feature wins against the Chicago Sky (113-90), Connecticut Sun (111-91), and Toronto Tempo (103-85), with a loss to the Washington Mystics (93-77). The Fever have been particularly effective on the road, boasting a 4-2 record in their last six away games, with an average of 100.0 points scored and 87.2 points allowed.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Lynx and Fever have faced each other six times in the last two seasons, with the Fever holding a slight edge at 3-3. Notably, the Lynx won their previous encounter at home on August 2, 2026, with a score of 108-100, but they will need to bounce back from their latest defeat to the Fever.
Injury concerns for the Lynx may impact their performance, as Elena Buenavida, Anastasiia Olairi Kosu, and Olivia Miles are all listed as out for this game. Miles, who leads the Lynx with an average of 19.8 points and 6.0 assists per game, will be a significant absence. Meanwhile, the Fever's Kelsey Mitchell leads her team with an average of 25.0 points per game, and Caitlin Clark contributes significantly with 8.5 assists.
The betting market reflects the Fever's recent form, as DraftKings has set the odds with Indiana favored by 5.5 points. The total for the game is set at 183.5, with over odds at -108.0 and under odds at -112.0. The moneyline shows the Lynx at +164.0 and the Fever at -198.0, indicating a strong belief in the Fever's ability to secure a win.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how the Lynx adapt to the absence of key players, particularly how they manage their scoring and defense against a high-scoring Fever team. The Fever's ability to maintain their offensive rhythm will also be crucial in determining the outcome of this exciting WNBA matchup.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | IND -4.5 | 184.5 o -110 / u -110 | Indiana Fever -192 · Minnesota Lynx +160 |
Injury report
- Elena BuenavidaOutCoach's DecisionMinnesota Lynx
- Anastasiia Olairi KosuOutFootMinnesota Lynx
- Olivia MilesOutCalfMinnesota Lynx
- Tyasha HarrisOutLegIndiana Fever
- Aliyah BostonOutLower LegIndiana Fever
Leaders
- PointsKayla McBride22Minnesota Lynx
- AssistsCourtney Williams10Minnesota Lynx
- ReboundsNatasha Howard8Minnesota Lynx
- PointsKelsey Mitchell10Indiana Fever
- AssistsRaven Johnson4Indiana Fever
- ReboundsMonique Billings10Indiana Fever
Recent form
Minnesota Lynx
Last 10: 6-4Streak L185.7 scored · 85.5 allowed per game1-2 at home
- L77-96at Indiana FeverSep 23
- W101-89at Connecticut SunSep 20
- L81-93vs New York LibertySep 18
- L81-89at Atlanta DreamAug 30
- L66-80vs Golden State ValkyriesAug 25
- W94-84at Washington MysticsAug 21
- W77-66at Golden State ValkyriesAug 20
- W92-87at Las Vegas AcesAug 16
- W85-81at Portland FireAug 13
- W103-90vs Dallas WingsAug 9
Indiana Fever
Last 10: 7-3Streak W198.1 scored · 90.9 allowed per game4-2 away
- W96-77vs Minnesota LynxSep 23
- L77-93vs Washington MysticsSep 20
- W103-85at Toronto TempoSep 18
- W111-91vs Connecticut SunAug 28
- W113-90at Chicago SkyAug 23
- L102-109at New York LibertyAug 22
- L85-91at Dallas WingsAug 21
- W101-95at Toronto TempoAug 18
- W95-91at Atlanta DreamAug 16
- W98-87vs Dallas WingsAug 14
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 14 | W5 | .682 | 30 |
| Washington | 2 | 16 | W4 | .636 | 28 |
| Indiana | 2 | 16 | L1 | .636 | 28 |
| New York | 4 | 18 | L2 | .591 | 26 |
| Chicago | 14 | 28 | L1 | .364 | 16 |
| Toronto | 19 | 33 | L8 | .250 | 11 |
| Connecticut | 19 | 33 | W1 | .250 | 11 |
| Minnesota | - | 11 | W1 | .750 | 33 |
| Golden State | 1.5 | 12 | L1 | .721 | 31 |
| Las Vegas | 2.5 | 13 | W6 | .698 | 30 |
| Dallas | 6 | 17 | W1 | .614 | 27 |
| Portland | 16 | 27 | W1 | .386 | 17 |
| Los Angeles | 16.5 | 27 | L1 | .372 | 16 |
| Phoenix | 16.5 | 27 | W1 | .372 | 16 |
| Seattle | 25 | 36 | L5 | .182 | 8 |
Box score
| Stat | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 25-73 | 33-75 |
| Field goal % | 34 | 44 |
| Three-pointers | 5-32 | 15-40 |
| Three-point % | 16 | 38 |
| Free throws | 11-20 | 5-6 |
| Free throw % | 55 | 83 |
| Rebounds | 43 | 44 |
| Offensive rebounds | 16 | 10 |
| Defensive rebounds | 27 | 34 |
| Assists | 13 | 28 |
| Steals | 9 | 4 |
| Blocks | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 15 | 13 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 11 | 8 |
| Fast-break points | 10 | 6 |
| Points in the paint | 34 | 30 |
| Fouls | 13 | 18 |
| Largest lead | 0 | 36 |
| Lead changes | 0 | 0 |
| Time in front | 0 | 97 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Quarter26-47Aliyah Boston makes layup (Kelsey Mitchell assists)
- 2nd Quarter26-50Courtney Williams makes 23-foot three point jumper (Natasha Howard assists)
- 2nd Quarter26-53Kayla McBride makes 24-foot three point jumper (Courtney Williams assists)
- 2nd Quarter29-53Kelsey Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyasha Harris assists)
- 2nd Quarter29-55Natasha Howard makes 3-foot turnaround jump shot (Courtney Williams assists)
- 2nd Quarter32-55Kelsey Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
- 2nd Quarter32-57Natasha Howard makes layup (Kayla McBride assists)
- 2nd Quarter32-60Kayla McBride makes 23-foot three point jumper (Courtney Williams assists)
- 2nd Quarter32-62Courtney Williams makes 20-foot pullup jump shot
- 3rd Quarter32-64Natasha Howard makes 4-foot two point shot (Maya Caldwell assists)
- 3rd Quarter32-65Natasha Howard makes free throw 1 of 1
- 3rd Quarter32-68Kayla McBride makes 28-foot three point jumper (Courtney Williams assists)
- 3rd Quarter34-68Makayla Timpson makes 4-foot turnaround jump shot (Caitlin Clark assists)
- 3rd Quarter36-68Monique Billings makes two point shot
- 3rd Quarter36-69Natasha Howard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter36-71Natasha Howard makes 2-foot layup (Kayla McBride assists)
- 3rd Quarter38-71Monique Billings makes two point shot
- 3rd Quarter38-74Aari McDonald makes 24-foot three point jumper (Napheesa Collier assists)
- 3rd Quarter39-74Michelle Onyiah makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter40-74Michelle Onyiah makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter40-76Dorka Juhasz makes 7-foot two point shot (Aari McDonald assists)
- 3rd Quarter41-76Bree Hall makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter43-76Raven Johnson makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot
- 4th Quarter46-76Bree Hall makes 24-foot running jump shot (Raven Johnson assists)
- 4th Quarter48-76Michelle Onyiah makes 1-foot layup (Raven Johnson assists)
- 4th Quarter51-76Lexie Hull makes 23-foot running jump shot (Bree Hall assists)
- 4th Quarter51-78Maya Caldwell makes 2-foot layup (Chloe Bibby assists)
- 4th Quarter52-78Grace VanSlooten makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter52-81Nia Brodie makes 24-foot three point jumper (Maya Caldwell assists)
- 4th Quarter54-81Bree Hall makes 10-foot two point shot
- 4th Quarter56-81Grace VanSlooten makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter57-81Grace VanSlooten makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter57-84Nia Brodie makes 26-foot three point jumper
- 4th Quarter58-84Grace VanSlooten makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter59-84Grace VanSlooten makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter60-84Grace VanSlooten makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter62-84Bree Hall makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot
- 4th Quarter64-84Grace VanSlooten makes running layup (Raven Johnson assists)
- 4th Quarter64-86Liatu King makes 1-foot layup (Dorka Juhasz assists)
- 4th Quarter66-86Lexie Hull makes layup (Raven Johnson assists)
Win probability
Above the line favours Minnesota Lynx, below favours Indiana Fever.
Venue
- Target CenterMinneapolis, MN
- Attendance15221
- OfficialsIsaac Barnett, Randy Richardson, Marcy Williams
Elsewhere
- Lynx flex their top-seed muscle without Miles, push Clark and the Fever to 6th for the WNBA playoffs
- WNBA playoffs 2026: Mystics lock in 5-seed, Fever are No. 6
- Citron has 22, Iriafen 16 points, 15 boards as playoff-bound Mystics beat Sky 101-93
- Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky - Game Highlights
- Sun beat Tempo 95-81 in franchise's final game in Connecticut before moving to Houston
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo - Game Highlights
- Sun execs Rizzotti, Tuck to make move with team to Houston
- Angel Reese looking forward to her first career WNBA postseason