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MLB · Final

Marlins Overcome Reds in 8-4 Victory

Saturday, August 15, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Miami Marlins 8, Cincinnati Reds 4, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?

Miami Marlins beat Cincinnati Reds 8-4 at Great American Ball Park on August 15, 2026.

Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -105 (about 51% implied). The underdog won.

The Miami Marlins secured an 8-4 victory over the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park, clinching the series 2-1. This matchup was notable as the teams had previously split their last six encounters, making this win significant for Miami's momentum. The Reds entered the game with a home record of 59-63, while the Marlins held a slightly better away record of 63-61.

In terms of recent form, the Reds were 6-4 in their last ten games, currently riding a two-game winning streak. They averaged 3.5 runs scored per game and allowed 4.8 runs during this stretch. Their last five games showed a record of 3-2, with an average of 3.2 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed. In contrast, the Marlins were 4-6 in their last ten games and had lost their last two. They averaged 3.9 runs scored and allowed 4.2 runs in that span. Their recent five-game record was 3-2, with an average of 4.6 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed.

The Reds had a perfect home record in their last four games, while the Marlins struggled on the road, losing their last four away games. This fixture was also a rematch from the previous day, where the Reds had narrowly defeated the Marlins 1-0, showcasing the competitive nature of the series.

Injuries played a role in the game, particularly for the Reds, who were without Eugenio Suarez (Day-To-Day, personal), Graham Ashcraft (60-Day IL, elbow), Ke'Bryan Hayes (10-Day IL, groin), Spencer Steer (10-Day IL, wrist), and Michael Toglia (10-Day IL, shoulder). The Marlins had their own injury concerns, with Owen Caissie (Day-To-Day, neck), Kyle Stowers (Day-To-Day, hamstring), Anthony Bender (15-Day IL, lower leg), Xavier Edwards (10-Day IL, thumb), and Pete Fairbanks (15-Day IL, hand) unavailable.

The betting market reflected a competitive matchup, with DraftKings pricing the Reds at -105 and the Marlins at -102 on the money line. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 9.0 runs for the game, with both the over and under odds at -110.

Conditions for the game were typical for a summer evening in Cincinnati, which likely contributed to the offensive output seen in the later innings. Fans were treated to a thrilling contest that showcased several key moments. In the fourth inning, Mack hit a home run to right center, tying the game at 2-2. The fifth inning saw multiple scoring plays, including a single from Hernández that allowed Marsee to score, and a homer from Hayes that brought the Reds back to a 3-3 tie. McLain's subsequent homer gave the Reds a brief lead of 4-3.

However, the Marlins responded in the eighth inning with a series of runs, highlighted by Hernández's single that brought in two runs, and Conine's single that added another. Pauley capped off the scoring in the ninth with a double that scored Caissie, finalizing the Marlins' 8-4 victory.

This game not only showcased the resilience of the Marlins but also highlighted the struggles of the Reds, particularly in maintaining leads. As the teams move forward in the season, the implications of this series will be crucial for both squads as they aim for playoff positioning.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCIN -105 9 o -110 / u -110 Miami Marlins -102 · Cincinnati Reds -105

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Owen CaissieDay-To-DayNeckMiami Marlins
  • Kyle StowersDay-To-DayHamstringMiami Marlins
  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
  • Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 6-4Streak W23.5 scored · 4.8 allowed per game4-0 at home

  • W1-0vs Miami MarlinsAug 14
  • W9-8at Chicago White SoxAug 13
  • L0-5at Chicago White SoxAug 12
  • W5-4at Chicago White SoxAug 11
  • L1-7at Washington NationalsAug 9
  • L2-8at Washington NationalsAug 8
  • L3-5at Washington NationalsAug 7
  • W6-5vs AthleticsAug 6
  • W3-2vs AthleticsAug 5
  • W5-4vs AthleticsAug 4

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 4-6Streak L23.9 scored · 4.2 allowed per game0-4 away

  • L0-1at Cincinnati RedsAug 14
  • L1-13vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 13
  • W8-2vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 12
  • W2-0vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 11
  • W12-3vs Los Angeles AngelsAug 9
  • W7-0vs Los Angeles AngelsAug 8
  • L3-4vs Los Angeles AngelsAug 7
  • L3-11at Atlanta BravesAug 6
  • L1-4at Atlanta BravesAug 5
  • L2-4at Atlanta BravesAug 4

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami12.570L1.50471
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063
Milwaukee-54L1.61787
Chicago862W1.56079
St. Louis1771L1.49670
Pittsburgh1872W1.48969
Cincinnati19.573W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Inning1-0Marsee homered to right center (386 feet).
  2. 3rd Inning1-2Stewart singled to right, Hayes scored and McLain scored.
  3. 4th Inning2-2Mack homered to right center (385 feet).
  4. 5th Inning3-2Hernández singled to left, Marsee scored.
  5. 5th Inning3-3Hayes homered to left (392 feet).
  6. 5th Inning3-4McLain homered to left (383 feet).
  7. 8th Inning4-4Pauley hit sacrifice fly to left, Caissie scored.
  8. 8th Inning6-4Hernández singled to right, Ramírez scored and Ruiz scored, Edwards to third.
  9. 8th Inning7-4Conine singled to right, Edwards scored, Hernández to third.
  10. 9th Inning8-4Pauley doubled to right, Caissie scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Miami Marlins.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance38302
  • OfficialsSean Barber, John Libka, James Hoye, James Jean

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.