Marlins Defeat Royals 6-3 at Kauffman Stadium
Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Miami Marlins 6, Kansas City Royals 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals?
Miami Marlins beat Kansas City Royals 6-3 at Kauffman Stadium on September 1, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals?
Miami Marlins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -114 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.
The Miami Marlins secured a 6-3 victory over the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, marking their second consecutive win in the series, which they now lead 2-0. The Marlins showcased a strong offensive performance, with significant contributions from Pauley, who hit a home run and later tripled, driving in multiple runs. The Royals, despite their efforts, could not overcome the early deficit and fell short in their home game.
In terms of recent form, the Kansas City Royals entered this game with a record of 8-2 over their last ten games, although they were on a one-game losing streak after a heavy 1-11 defeat to the Cleveland Guardians just days prior. The Royals had been averaging 6.1 runs scored per game while allowing 4.0 runs, demonstrating a potent offense but also some vulnerabilities in pitching. At home, they had maintained a perfect record of 4-0 in their last four games.
Conversely, the Miami Marlins had a more mixed performance lately, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games and also on a one-game losing streak, having lost 3-6 to the Washington Nationals. They had been averaging 3.7 runs scored and allowing 3.9 runs per game. Their away record showed some struggles, with only one win in their last four games on the road.
In their previous meetings, the Marlins had the upper hand, winning two out of three games against the Royals in the 2025 season. Their last encounter before this game was on July 20, 2025, where the Marlins won 7-4.
Injury concerns affected both teams, particularly the Royals, who were missing several key players. Maikel Garcia was on the 10-Day Injured List due to a hamstring issue, while Connor Seabold and James McArthur were both on the 60-Day Injured List with lat and elbow injuries, respectively. Tony Gonsolin and Beck Way were also sidelined with elbow and shoulder injuries, adding to the Royals' challenges. The Marlins had their own injury woes, with Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, and Max Meyer all on the Injured List, which could impact their depth as the season progresses.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Marlins favored at -114 on the money line, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 10.0 runs. The odds reflected a competitive matchup, with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses.
Weather conditions at Kauffman Stadium were likely conducive for baseball, with clear skies and moderate temperatures, allowing for an engaging game without any weather interruptions.
Key moments in the game included Pauley’s impressive home run in the second inning, which set the tone for the Marlins. Stowers followed up with another homer in the fifth, extending the lead to 3-0. The Royals managed to score late in the game, with Jensen and Witt Jr. contributing runs in the eighth inning, but it was not enough to close the gap. Loftin’s home run in the ninth for the Royals provided a glimmer of hope but ultimately did not change the outcome.
Viewers should have noted the offensive capabilities of the Marlins, particularly Pauley’s performance, as well as the Royals' struggle to capitalize on scoring opportunities despite their strong recent offensive averages. The game highlighted the importance of early scoring and the ability to maintain leads, a crucial aspect of baseball strategy.
What we said beforehand
The Kansas City Royals will face off against the Miami Marlins at Kauffman Stadium on September 1, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be intriguing for fans and analysts alike. The Royals come into this game with a home record of 62-76, while the Marlins sit at 69-69 on the road. Both teams have had their ups and downs recently, making this contest particularly noteworthy.
In their last five games, the Royals have a record of 3-2. They faced the Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Guardians, winning two out of three against the Guardians but losing two out of three to the Blue Jays. Their most recent game ended in a loss to the Guardians, with a score of 11-1 on August 30. Over their last ten games at home, Kansas City has performed well, boasting a record of 8-2, although they are currently on a one-game losing streak. They have averaged 6.1 runs scored and allowed 4.0 runs per game during this stretch.
Conversely, the Miami Marlins have been somewhat inconsistent, with a 5-5 record in their last ten games. They recently played the Washington Nationals, where they lost three out of five games, including a 6-3 defeat on August 31. In their last five games, the Marlins have also recorded a 2-3 record. Their scoring average over the last ten games is 3.7 runs scored per game, while they have allowed an average of 3.9 runs.
When it comes to home versus away performance, the Royals have a solid home record of 4-0 in their last four games, while the Marlins have struggled somewhat on the road, with a 1-3 record in their last four away games.
The two teams have met three times in the previous season, with the Marlins holding a slight edge in the head-to-head record at 2-1. Their last encounter was on July 20, 2025, where the Royals managed to secure a 7-4 victory against the Marlins.
In terms of injuries, the Royals will be without Maikel Garcia (10-Day IL, hamstring), Connor Seabold (60-Day IL, lat), Michael Massey (7-Day IL, concussion), Beck Way (15-Day IL, back), and Carlos Estevez (60-Day IL, shoulder). The Marlins have also been affected by injuries, with Anthony Bender (15-Day IL, lower leg), Pete Fairbanks (15-Day IL, hand), Xavier Edwards (10-Day IL, thumb), Max Meyer (15-Day IL, neck), and Ronny Henriquez (60-Day IL, elbow) all sidelined.
The betting market reflects a competitive matchup, with DraftKings listing the Royals at -114 and the Marlins at -105 on the moneyline. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 9.5 runs for the game. The over is priced at -114, while the under is at -106, indicating a balanced expectation for scoring.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be quite warm, with a temperature of 97°F. There is no precipitation forecasted, but gusty winds at 18 mph could play a role in the game.
Fans tuning in should keep an eye on key players such as Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the Royals with a batting average of .285, and Jac Caglianone, who has hit 23 home runs this season. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez is a standout with a batting average of .305 and 61 RBIs, while Heriberto Hernandez has contributed 22 home runs. The performance of these players could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this matchup.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MIA -114 | 10 o -110 / u -110 | Miami Marlins -114 · Kansas City Royals -105 |
Injury report
- Maikel Garcia10-Day-ILHamstringKansas City Royals
- Connor Seabold60-Day-ILLatKansas City Royals
- Tony Gonsolin15-Day-ILElbowKansas City Royals
- James McArthur60-Day-ILElbowKansas City Royals
- Beck Way15-Day-ILShoulderKansas City Royals
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
Kansas City Royals
Last 10: 8-2Streak L16.1 scored · 4 allowed per game4-0 at home
- L1-11at Cleveland GuardiansAug 30
- W8-3at Cleveland GuardiansAug 29
- W3-0at Cleveland GuardiansAug 28
- W13-2at Toronto Blue JaysAug 27
- L0-3at Toronto Blue JaysAug 26
- W5-3at Toronto Blue JaysAug 25
- W11-7vs Detroit TigersAug 23
- W5-2vs Detroit TigersAug 22
- W6-2vs AthleticsAug 20
- W9-7vs AthleticsAug 19
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 5-5Streak L13.7 scored · 3.9 allowed per game1-3 away
- L3-6at Washington NationalsAug 31
- W6-2at Washington NationalsAug 30
- L4-5at Washington NationalsAug 29
- L2-9at Washington NationalsAug 28
- W4-0vs Boston Red SoxAug 26
- L3-7vs Boston Red SoxAug 25
- L2-4vs Boston Red SoxAug 24
- W6-2vs Washington NationalsAug 23
- W4-2vs Washington NationalsAug 22
- W3-2vs Washington NationalsAug 21
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning2-0Pauley homered to right (391 feet), Caissie scored.
- 5th Inning3-0Stowers homered to right (412 feet).
- 7th Inning5-0Pauley tripled to right, Lopez scored and Mack scored.
- 7th Inning6-0Sanoja singled to left, Pauley scored.
- 8th Inning6-1Jensen doubled to left, Rojas scored, Collins to third.
- 8th Inning6-2Witt Jr. hit sacrifice fly to left, Collins scored, Jensen to third.
- 9th Inning6-3Loftin homered to left (413 feet).
Win probability
Above the line favours Kansas City Royals, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- Kauffman StadiumKansas City, Missouri
- Attendance13330
- OfficialsCharlie Ramos, Nestor Ceja, Chris Guccione, James Jean