Twins Shut Out Marlins in Series Finale
Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field
Minnesota Twins 3, Miami Marlins 0, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins?
Minnesota Twins beat Miami Marlins 3-0 at Target Field on May 12, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins?
Miami Marlins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.
The Minnesota Twins secured a decisive 3-0 victory over the Miami Marlins at Target Field, concluding the series with a 2-1 win record against Miami. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as both teams entered the game with identical records of 19-23, highlighting the competitive nature of their seasons thus far.
In terms of recent form, the Twins had a mixed performance over their last ten games, recording a 5-5 record. They entered this game on a two-game winning streak, having won their previous two contests against the Cleveland Guardians with scores of 5-4 and 2-1. Their scoring average during this stretch was 4.6 runs per game, while they allowed an average of 5.2 runs. At home, the Twins had a record of 2-2 in their last four games, with an average of 3.6 runs scored and 6.6 runs allowed in their last five games overall.
The Marlins, on the other hand, had a 4-6 record over their last ten games, also riding a two-game winning streak prior to this match. They achieved victories against the Washington Nationals, winning 5-2 and 8-7, but their overall scoring average was 4.1 runs per game, with an average of 4.5 runs allowed. Their away record stood at 4-6, showing a slightly better performance at home compared to their road games.
Historically, the Twins and Marlins have faced each other three times in the previous season, with the Twins winning only once. Their last meeting prior to this game was on July 3, 2025, where the Twins lost 1-4 in Miami. This game was significant as it marked a chance for the Twins to assert dominance over the Marlins after struggling in their previous encounters.
In terms of injuries, the Twins were notably impacted, with several key players on the injured list. Byron Buxton was placed on the 10-Day IL due to a hip issue, while Joe Ryan was on the 15-Day IL with a lower body injury. Additionally, Austin Martin and Mike Paredes were also on the 10-Day and 60-Day ILs, respectively, with various ailments. The Marlins faced their own injury challenges, with Anthony Bender and Pete Fairbanks on the 15-Day IL, along with Xavier Edwards on the 10-Day IL and Max Meyer on the 15-Day IL.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Marlins at -115 on the money line, while the Twins were slightly behind at -105. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 9.0 runs for the game. The odds for the over were -118, and for the under, they were -102, indicating a closely contested matchup according to the market.
The game conditions were favorable for baseball, with Target Field providing a solid backdrop for the teams to compete. The Twins capitalized on their home advantage, demonstrating a strong performance throughout the game. The scoring plays in the fifth inning were pivotal, with Byron Buxton stealing home and Trevor Larnach stealing second base, which set the stage for a homer by Ryan Jeffers that extended the Twins' lead to 3-0.
Overall, this game showcased the Twins' ability to bounce back and secure a win against a team they had struggled with in the past, while the Marlins continued to face challenges in their season. The victory not only solidified the Twins' standing in the series but also provided a much-needed boost to their confidence as they look to improve their record moving forward.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MIA -115 | 9 o -118 / u -102 | Miami Marlins -115 · Minnesota Twins -105 |
Injury report
- Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
- Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
- Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
- Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
- Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 5-5Streak W24.6 scored · 5.2 allowed per game2-2 at home
- W5-4at Cleveland GuardiansMay 10
- W2-1at Cleveland GuardiansMay 9
- L4-6at Cleveland GuardiansMay 8
- L5-7at Washington NationalsMay 7
- L2-15at Washington NationalsMay 6
- W11-3at Washington NationalsMay 5
- W4-3vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 3
- L3-7vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 2
- W7-1vs Toronto Blue JaysApr 30
- L3-5vs Seattle MarinersApr 29
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 4-6Streak W24.1 scored · 4.5 allowed per game
- W5-2vs Washington NationalsMay 10
- W8-7vs Washington NationalsMay 9
- L2-3vs Washington NationalsMay 8
- W4-3vs Baltimore OriolesMay 7
- L4-7vs Baltimore OriolesMay 6
- L7-9vs Baltimore OriolesMay 5
- L0-1vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 4
- L2-7vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 3
- W4-0vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 2
- L5-6vs Philadelphia PhilliesMay 1
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 5th Inning0-1Buxton stole home, Larnach stole second.
- 5th Inning0-1Marlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Trevor Larnach steals (2) 2nd base. Byron Buxton steals (4) home.
- 5th Inning0-3Jeffers homered to left (407 feet), Larnach scored.
Win probability
Above the line favours Minnesota Twins, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- Target FieldMinneapolis, Minnesota
- Attendance13471
- OfficialsScott Barry, Manny Gonzalez, Tom Hanahan, Ron Kulpa
Elsewhere
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These two, other days
- Twins Dominate Marlins in 9-1 VictoryMay 14, 2026
- Marlins Defeat Twins 9-5 in Exciting ShowdownMay 13, 2026