Mets Defeat Marlins 4-2 at Citi Field
Thursday, July 30, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field
New York Mets 4, Miami Marlins 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
New York Mets beat Miami Marlins 4-2 at Citi Field on July 30, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
New York Mets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -137 (about 58% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup at Citi Field, the New York Mets emerged victorious over the Miami Marlins with a final score of 4-2. This game marked the conclusion of a four-game series, which the Marlins won 3-1 overall. The Mets improved their home record to 48-63, while the Marlins fell to 55-56 on the season.
The Mets entered this game with a recent form of 5-4-1 over their last ten games, riding a one-game winning streak. They averaged 4.6 runs scored while allowing only 2.9 runs per game during this stretch. Their last game prior to this victory was a win against the Atlanta Braves, where they triumphed 3-2. In contrast, the Marlins were struggling with a record of 3-7 in their last ten games, despite having a three-game winning streak leading into this matchup. They averaged 3.5 runs scored but allowed 5.0 runs per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
At home, the Mets had a record of 3-2 in their last five games, showcasing a strong offensive output with an average of 5.6 runs scored and only 2.4 runs allowed. The Marlins, on the other hand, struggled away from home with a record of 0-4 in their last four road games. This game was crucial for both teams as they aimed to improve their standings in the competitive National League.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Mets had a slight edge with a record of 10-9 against the Marlins in their last 19 meetings. Earlier in the season, the Mets had swept the Marlins in a three-game series, winning 10-1, 6-1, and 9-7 in consecutive games. However, the Marlins had managed to turn the tide in this series, winning three of the first four games.
Injury concerns were significant for both teams. The Mets were without several key players, including Cionel Perez, Devin Williams, Jorge Polanco, Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill, all of whom were on the injured list. The Marlins also faced challenges, with Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, and Max Meyer sidelined due to injuries.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Mets favored at -137 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5. The total runs for the game were set at 7.0, with odds of -114 for the over and -106 for the under. This indicated a competitive matchup, with expectations of a close game.
The game conditions at Citi Field were typical for a summer evening, providing a suitable backdrop for baseball. Fans in attendance witnessed a series of scoring plays that defined the match. The Marlins initially took the lead in the fourth inning when Stowers homered to right field, putting them up 1-0. The Mets responded in the sixth inning, with Francisco Lindor hitting a single that allowed Alvarez to score, leveling the game at 1-1. Shortly after, Lindor scored on an error, giving the Mets a 2-1 lead.
The Marlins tied the game again in the seventh inning with a homer from Marsee, making it 2-2. However, the Mets pulled ahead decisively in the eighth inning when Robert Jr. singled to left, scoring both Bichette and Benge, finalizing the score at 4-2 in favor of the Mets.
Viewers should have noted the strong performance from Lindor, who was pivotal in the Mets' offense, contributing both a hit and scoring a run. The Mets' pitching staff also played a crucial role in limiting the Marlins' scoring opportunities, showcasing their recent defensive improvements. Overall, this game exemplified the competitive nature of the series and the ongoing battle for positioning in the league.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | NYM -137 | 7 o -114 / u -106 | Miami Marlins +114 · New York Mets -137 |
Injury report
- Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
- Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
- Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
- Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
- Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
New York Mets
Last 10: 5-4-1Streak W14.6 scored · 2.9 allowed per game3-2 at home
- W3-2vs Atlanta BravesJul 29
- D0-0vs Atlanta BravesJul 28
- W14-3vs Atlanta BravesJul 27
- W8-3vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 26
- L3-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 25
- L2-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 24
- L3-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 22
- W4-0at Milwaukee BrewersJul 21
- L3-8at Milwaukee BrewersJul 20
- W6-1at Philadelphia PhilliesJul 19
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 3-7Streak W33.5 scored · 5 allowed per game0-4 away
- W8-6vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 29
- W1-0vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 28
- W8-7vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 27
- L3-5vs San Diego PadresJul 26
- L2-7vs San Diego PadresJul 25
- L2-4vs San Diego PadresJul 24
- L2-5at Houston AstrosJul 23
- L3-5at Houston AstrosJul 22
- L5-8at Houston AstrosJul 21
- L1-3at Milwaukee BrewersJul 19
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 4th Inning1-0Stowers homered to right (368 feet).
- 6th Inning1-1Lindor singled to right, Alvarez scored.
- 6th Inning1-2Lindor scored on error, Robert Jr. safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Pauley, Bichette to second.
- 7th Inning2-2Marsee homered to right center (385 feet).
- 8th Inning2-4Robert Jr. singled to left, Bichette scored and Benge scored, Robert Jr. to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours New York Mets, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- Citi FieldQueens, New York
- Attendance25774
- OfficialsBen May, Brennan Miller, Brock Ballou, Chris Conroy