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MLB · Final

Marlins Defeat Mets 5-2 at Citi Field

Friday, July 31, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field

Miami Marlins 5, New York Mets 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?

Miami Marlins beat New York Mets 5-2 at Citi Field on July 31, 2026.

Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?

New York Mets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -120 (about 55% implied). The underdog won.

The Miami Marlins secured a decisive 5-2 victory over the New York Mets at Citi Field, marking the conclusion of their four-game series, which the Marlins won 3-1. This win adds to the Marlins' momentum as they continue to push for a stronger position in the league. The Mets, with a home record of 47-64, have struggled throughout the season, while the Marlins improved their away record to 56-55.

In terms of recent form, the Mets entered the game on a two-game winning streak, having won their last two matches against the Marlins, including a 4-2 victory just a day prior. Over their last ten games, the Mets have posted a record of 5-4-1, averaging 4.4 runs scored per game while allowing an average of 3.0 runs. Their last five games have shown an impressive scoring average of 5.8 runs, with only 2.0 runs allowed, highlighting a significant improvement in their performance.

Conversely, the Marlins have faced challenges recently, with a record of 3-7 over their last ten games and a scoring average of 3.6 runs while allowing 5.1 runs. Their last five games have yielded a record of 3-2, with an average of 4.4 runs scored and 4.4 runs allowed, indicating a slight uptick in their performance. However, they have struggled on the road, with an away record of 0-4 in their last four away games prior to this matchup.

The game featured several notable scoring plays. In the fifth inning, the Marlins took control with a series of hits that led to four runs. Marsee doubled to right, allowing Conine to score, followed by Mack's single that brought in both Hernández and Marsee. Edwards then added to the tally with a single that scored Mack. The Mets managed to respond in the same inning, with Ewing hitting a single that brought Polanco home, but it was not enough to shift the momentum. Stowers extended the Marlins' lead with a home run in the sixth inning, and Lindor's home run in the seventh inning for the Mets was merely a consolation.

In terms of injuries, the Mets were without several key players, including Cionel Perez, Devin Williams, Jorge Polanco, Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill, all of whom were on the injured list. The Marlins also faced injury issues, with Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, Max Meyer, and Ronny Henriquez unavailable for this game.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, priced the Mets at -120, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 8.5. The odds for the over were -105.0, while the under was at -114.0, reflecting the expectations for a competitive game.

Overall, the conditions at Citi Field were conducive for baseball, and the Marlins capitalized on their opportunities, demonstrating effective offensive execution. Viewers should have noted the Marlins' ability to capitalize on the Mets' pitching struggles, particularly in the fifth inning, which proved to be the turning point of the game. The Mets' inability to maintain their recent form ultimately led to their defeat, highlighting the ongoing challenges they face this season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsNYM -120 8.5 o -105 / u -114 Miami Marlins -101 · New York Mets -120

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
  • Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
  • Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
  • Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
  • Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
  • Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
  • Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
  • Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins

Recent form

New York Mets

Last 10: 5-4-1Streak W24.4 scored · 3 allowed per game4-2 at home

  • W4-2vs Miami MarlinsJul 30
  • W3-2vs Atlanta BravesJul 29
  • D0-0vs Atlanta BravesJul 28
  • W14-3vs Atlanta BravesJul 27
  • W8-3vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 26
  • L3-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 25
  • L2-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJul 24
  • L3-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 22
  • W4-0at Milwaukee BrewersJul 21
  • L3-8at Milwaukee BrewersJul 20

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 3-7Streak L13.6 scored · 5.1 allowed per game0-4 away

  • L2-4at New York MetsJul 30
  • W8-6vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 29
  • W1-0vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 28
  • W8-7vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 27
  • L3-5vs San Diego PadresJul 26
  • L2-7vs San Diego PadresJul 25
  • L2-4vs San Diego PadresJul 24
  • L2-5at Houston AstrosJul 23
  • L3-5at Houston AstrosJul 22
  • L5-8at Houston AstrosJul 21

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063

How the scoring went

  1. 5th Inning1-0Marsee doubled to right, Conine scored, Hernández to third.
  2. 5th Inning3-0Mack singled to left, Hernández and Marsee scored.
  3. 5th Inning4-0Edwards singled to right, Mack scored.
  4. 5th Inning4-1Ewing singled to center, Polanco scored, Alvarez to second.
  5. 6th Inning5-1Stowers homered to center (417 feet).
  6. 7th Inning5-2Lindor homered to right (392 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours New York Mets, below favours Miami Marlins.

Venue

  • Citi FieldQueens, New York
  • Attendance33064
  • OfficialsBrennan Miller, Brock Ballou, Chris Conroy, Ben May

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.