Padres Dominate Marlins in 8-2 Victory at Petco Park
Friday, September 18, 2026, 9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
San Diego Padres 8, Miami Marlins 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres beat Miami Marlins 8-2 at Petco Park on September 18, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -206 (about 67% implied). The favorite won.
The San Diego Padres delivered a commanding performance against the Miami Marlins, winning 8-2 at Petco Park. This victory extends the Padres' lead in the season series against the Marlins to 2-0, having previously won their last matchup on July 26, 2026, with a score of 5-3.
In terms of recent form, the Padres have been in excellent shape, boasting an 8-2 record over their last ten games. They have averaged 5.1 runs scored per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Their home record is particularly impressive, standing at 4-0 in their last four home games. The Padres' last five games have seen them average 6.6 runs scored, indicating a potent offense. In contrast, the Marlins have been more inconsistent, with a 5-5 record in their last ten games, averaging 6.0 runs scored and 6.0 runs allowed. Their recent form includes a two-game winning streak, but they have struggled on the road, with a 2-1 record in their last three away games.
In this matchup, the Padres' offense was highlighted by several key plays. The scoring began in the third inning when Ramírez hit a home run to left field, putting the Marlins ahead 1-0. However, the Padres responded in the fifth inning with a flurry of runs. Tatis Jr. singled to right, allowing Bogaerts to score and tying the game at 1-1. Shortly after, Harris's single brought in both Cronenworth and Taylor, giving the Padres a 3-1 lead. France capped off the fifth inning with a three-run homer, extending the lead to 6-1.
The Marlins managed to score again in the eighth inning, with Sanoja's single bringing Lopez home, making it 6-2. However, the Padres answered back with additional runs, including a home run by Merrill and a single from Taylor, ultimately sealing the game at 8-2.
In terms of injuries, the Padres were missing several key players, including Jason Adam and Joe Musgrove, both on the 60-Day Injured List, as well as Miguel Andujar and Gavin Sheets on the 10-Day Injured List. The Marlins also had their share of injuries, with Owen Caissie on the 10-Day Injured List and Anthony Bender and Max Meyer on the 15-Day Injured List.
The market had priced the Padres as heavy favorites, with odds from DraftKings listing them at -206 on the money line and a spread of -1.5. The total for the game was set at 7.5, with the over at -107 and the under at -112. This reflects the Padres' strong home record and recent form, as well as the Marlins' struggles on the road.
Conditions at Petco Park were conducive for a baseball game, contributing to the Padres' offensive outburst. With the Padres now holding a 1-0 series lead against the Marlins and a strong home record, they look poised to continue their success as the season progresses.
What we said beforehand
The San Diego Padres will face off against the Miami Marlins at Petco Park on September 19, 2026, in a matchup that holds significance for both teams as they approach the end of the regular season. The Padres currently lead the series 3-0, having won all previous encounters this season, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to this upcoming game.
San Diego boasts a strong home record of 84-69, while Miami comes into the game with a record of 76-77. The Padres have been particularly effective at home, with a recent home record of 4-0 and an overall record of 8-2 in their last ten games. They have averaged 5.1 runs scored per game at home, while allowing 4.6 runs. In their last five games, San Diego has won four, scoring an impressive average of 6.6 runs while allowing 5.6.
The Marlins, on the other hand, have shown some resilience, winning their last two games and holding a record of 5-5 in their last ten. Their recent performances have seen them average 6.0 runs scored and allowed per game, which indicates a balanced offensive and defensive approach. Miami’s last five games have also been promising, with an average of 5.0 runs scored and only 4.0 allowed.
In terms of injuries, the Padres will be missing several key players, including Jason Adam, Miguel Andujar, Joe Musgrove, Lucas Giolito, and Gavin Sheets, all of whom are on the injured list. The Marlins also have notable absences, with Owen Caissie, Max Meyer, Anthony Bender, Ronny Henriquez, and Adam Mazur all sidelined due to various injuries.
The betting market reflects the Padres' strong position, with DraftKings listing them at -206 on the moneyline, while the Marlins are at +169. The spread is set at -1.5 for the Padres, with a total of 7.5 runs for the game, and both the over and under are priced at -110.
Weather conditions are expected to be relatively mild, with a temperature of 74°F, a 42% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts reaching up to 18 mph. These factors could play a role in the gameplay and strategy employed by both teams.
Viewers should keep an eye on standout players such as Fernando Tatis Jr., who leads the Padres with a batting average of .286, and Manny Machado, who has hit 28 home runs this season. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez stands out with a .306 batting average and 69 runs batted in, while Heriberto Hernandez has contributed 24 home runs.
As the Padres look to extend their winning streak against the Marlins, this game promises to be a compelling contest that could impact the playoff picture as the regular season draws to a close.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -206 | 7.5 o -107 / u -112 | Miami Marlins +169 · San Diego Padres -206 |
Injury report
- Jason Adam60-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Joe Musgrove60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Gavin Sheets10-Day-ILFootSan Diego Padres
- Owen Caissie10-Day-ILBackMiami Marlins
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
- Adam Mazur60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 8-2Streak W15.1 scored · 4.6 allowed per game4-0 at home
- W9-3at Colorado RockiesSep 17
- L3-9at Colorado RockiesSep 16
- W8-7at Colorado RockiesSep 15
- W6-4at San Francisco GiantsSep 13
- W7-5at San Francisco GiantsSep 12
- W5-4vs Washington NationalsSep 9
- W3-2vs Washington NationalsSep 7
- W4-3vs New York YankeesSep 6
- W3-2vs New York YankeesSep 5
- L3-7at Cincinnati RedsSep 2
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 5-5Streak W26 scored · 6 allowed per game2-1 away
- W4-3at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 17
- W4-2at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 16
- L7-8at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 15
- W6-4vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 13
- W4-3vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 12
- L2-6vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 11
- L14-15vs New York MetsSep 9
- L5-7vs New York MetsSep 8
- L4-9vs New York MetsSep 7
- W10-3vs Chicago CubsSep 6
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 64 | W1 | .584 | 90 |
| Philadelphia | 5 | 69 | L1 | .552 | 85 |
| Miami | 14 | 78 | L1 | .494 | 76 |
| Washington | 18 | 82 | W1 | .468 | 72 |
| New York | 20 | 84 | W1 | .455 | 70 |
| Los Angeles | - | 60 | W2 | .610 | 94 |
| San Diego | 9 | 69 | W3 | .552 | 85 |
| Arizona | 14 | 74 | L3 | .519 | 80 |
| San Francisco | 30 | 90 | L1 | .416 | 64 |
| Colorado | 38 | 98 | L3 | .364 | 56 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Inning1-0Ramírez homered to left (369 feet).
- 5th Inning1-1Tatis Jr. singled to right, Bogaerts scored, Taylor to second, Cronenworth to third.
- 5th Inning1-3Harris singled to center, Cronenworth scored and Taylor scored, Tatis Jr. to second.
- 5th Inning1-6France homered to left (388 feet), Tatis Jr. scored and Harris scored.
- 8th Inning2-6Sanoja singled to left, Lopez scored.
- 8th Inning2-7Merrill homered to right (432 feet).
- 8th Inning2-8Taylor singled to center, Bogaerts scored, Cronenworth to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours San Diego Padres, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- Petco ParkSan Diego, California
- Attendance42765
- OfficialsMarvin Hudson, Tripp Gibson, Nick Mahrley, Ryan Blakney
Elsewhere
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Game Highlights
- Ty France's 3-run homer helps Padres to 8-2 win over Marlins and into tie for top NL wild-card spot
- Ben Rice hits 39th homer, Cole becomes winningest No. 1 draft pick as Yanks cruise past D-backs 9-2
- New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Game Highlights
- Jose Ramirez reaches 1,000 career RBIs in Guardians' victory
- Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: Game Highlights
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Padres Complete Sweep Over Marlins with 7-3 VictorySep 20, 2026
- Padres Edge Marlins in Thrilling Extra-Inning ShowdownSep 19, 2026
- Padres Complete Series Sweep Over MarlinsJul 26, 2026
- Padres Sweep Marlins in 7-2 VictoryJul 25, 2026
- Padres Sweep Marlins with 4-2 VictoryJul 24, 2026