Padres Edge Brewers in Close Playoff Clash
Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET · Petco Park
Quick answers
Who won Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres beat Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 at Petco Park on October 6, 2026.
Who was favored in Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -144 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling playoff encounter at Petco Park, the San Diego Padres secured a narrow 4-3 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers, bringing the series to 2-2. This game was crucial as it not only tied the series but also showcased the competitive spirit of both teams. The Padres, with a regular season record of 91-71, faced off against the Brewers, who finished the season at 103-59. The stakes were high, and the atmosphere was electric as both teams aimed to gain the upper hand in the postseason.
The Padres entered the game with a recent form of 8-2 over their last ten games, although they were on a one-game losing streak after falling to the Brewers 2-3 just days prior. In that match, the Padres had shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 5.1 runs scored and only allowing 2.2 runs in their last ten outings. However, their recent loss highlighted the challenges they faced against the Brewers, who had a more balanced record of 5-5 in their last ten games, riding a two-game winning streak into this matchup.
Home advantage played a significant role for the Padres, who boasted a perfect 6-0 record at home in their last ten games, while the Brewers struggled away, holding a dismal 0-4 record in their last four road games. Historically, the Padres have had the upper hand in their recent meetings, winning four of the last five encounters against the Brewers, including a dominant 7-0 victory on September 24, 2025.
In terms of injuries, the Padres were missing several key players, including Miguel Andujar, Jeremiah Estrada, and Lucas Giolito, all on the injured list. Gavin Sheets was listed as day-to-day, and Mason Miller was unavailable due to personal reasons. The Brewers also faced injury challenges, with Grant Anderson, Brandon Woodruff, Quinn Priester, Angel Zerpa, and Brian Fitzpatrick all on the injured list, impacting their pitching depth.
The betting line from DraftKings indicated that the Padres were favored at -144, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 7.5 runs. The odds reflected a competitive matchup, with the Brewers at +119 on the money line. This pricing suggested that while the Padres were seen as the stronger team, the Brewers were certainly capable of pulling off an upset.
The game conditions were favorable for a high-stakes matchup, with clear skies and a moderate temperature, setting the stage for an exciting contest. Fans were treated to a back-and-forth battle that saw the Padres take an early lead in the third inning with a groundout by Fernando Tatis Jr. and a single from Manny Machado, putting them ahead 2-0. The Brewers responded in the fourth with a home run from Willson Contreras, narrowing the gap to 2-1.
The fifth inning proved pivotal as the Brewers tied the game at 2-2 with a sacrifice fly from Sal Frelick, but the Padres quickly regained the lead with a homer from Jake Cronenworth, making it 3-2. An error by the Brewers allowed Xander Bogaerts to score, extending the Padres' lead to 4-2 in the sixth inning. The Brewers fought back once more, with Christian Yelich bringing in a run in the seventh, but it was not enough to overcome the deficit.
As the game concluded, the Padres celebrated their hard-fought victory, while the Brewers were left to regroup for the next matchup. The series now stands at 2-2, setting up a thrilling finale as both teams vie for a place in the next round of the playoffs.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers at Petco Park is set to be a pivotal game in the postseason, as the Brewers currently lead the series 2-0. This fixture is particularly significant for the Padres, who are looking to avoid elimination and turn the tide against a Brewers team that has been performing well in recent weeks.
The Padres enter this game with a regular season record of 91-71, while the Brewers finished at 103-59. In their last five games, the Padres have struggled, losing three consecutive games to the Brewers, including two close contests on October 4, where they fell 3-2 and 4-3. Despite this recent downturn, the Padres have shown strength at home, boasting an impressive 8-2 record in their last ten home games, with an average of 5.1 runs scored and only 2.2 runs allowed per game. However, they are currently on a one-game losing streak.
In contrast, the Brewers have been on a roll, winning their last two games against the Padres and demonstrating a solid overall performance with a 5-5 record in their last ten games. Their scoring average in this stretch has been 3.7 runs per game, which matches their average runs allowed. The Brewers will aim to maintain their momentum as they look to close out the series.
Historically, the Padres have had the upper hand in their recent encounters, holding a 4-1 record against the Brewers over the last two seasons. However, the recent games have shifted the narrative, as the Brewers have outperformed the Padres in the current series.
In terms of injuries, the Padres will be without Miguel Andujar (10-Day IL, wrist), Jeremiah Estrada (15-Day IL, shoulder), and Lucas Giolito (60-Day IL, elbow). Gavin Sheets is listed as day-to-day due to a neck issue, and Mason Miller is unavailable for personal reasons. The Brewers, on the other hand, have several players on the injured list, including Grant Anderson (15-Day IL, biceps), Brandon Woodruff (60-Day IL, shoulder), Quinn Priester (60-Day IL, shoulder), Angel Zerpa (60-Day IL, elbow), and Brian Fitzpatrick (60-Day IL, elbow).
The weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 89°F and a light wind gusting at 10 mph. This could potentially influence gameplay, particularly in terms of pitching and hitting.
Betting lines from DraftKings indicate that the Padres are favored at -144, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 7.5 runs. The odds for the over are -108, while the under is at -112. The Brewers, with a moneyline of +119, will look to capitalize on their current form and the advantage they have in the series.
As the Padres prepare to take the field, viewers should watch for the performance of key players such as Fernando Tatis Jr., who leads the Padres with a batting average of .289, and Manny Machado, who has hit 30 home runs and driven in 91 runs this season. For the Brewers, Jackson Chourio is a player to keep an eye on, boasting a batting average of .291, while Jake Bauers has contributed significantly with 26 home runs.
This matchup promises to be an exciting clash as the Padres fight to stay alive in the postseason against a Brewers team that is eager to advance.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -144 | 7.5 o -109 / u -110 | Milwaukee Brewers +119 · San Diego Padres -144 |
Injury report
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Gavin SheetsDay-To-DayNeckSan Diego Padres
- Mason MillerpaternityPersonalSan Diego Padres
- Grant Anderson15-Day-ILBicepsMilwaukee Brewers
- Brandon Woodruff60-Day-ILShoulderMilwaukee Brewers
- Quinn Priester60-Day-ILShoulderMilwaukee Brewers
- Angel Zerpa60-Day-ILElbowMilwaukee Brewers
- Brian Fitzpatrick60-Day-ILElbowMilwaukee Brewers
Recent form
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 8-2Streak L15.1 scored · 2.2 allowed per game6-0 at home
- L2-3at Milwaukee BrewersOct 4
- W4-1vs Chicago CubsOct 1
- W8-0vs Chicago CubsSep 30
- W5-1vs Arizona DiamondbacksSep 28
- W7-4vs Arizona DiamondbacksSep 27
- W7-0vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 24
- W5-4vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 23
- W3-2at Chicago White SoxSep 21
- W7-3at Chicago White SoxSep 20
- L3-4at Chicago White SoxSep 19
Milwaukee Brewers
Last 10: 5-5Streak W23.7 scored · 3.7 allowed per game0-4 away
- W3-2vs San Diego PadresOct 4
- W4-2vs Cincinnati RedsSep 28
- L1-3vs Cincinnati RedsSep 27
- L0-7at San Diego PadresSep 24
- L4-5at San Diego PadresSep 23
- L1-5at St. Louis CardinalsSep 21
- L1-7at St. Louis CardinalsSep 20
- W5-2vs Los Angeles AngelsSep 18
- W9-2vs Los Angeles AngelsSep 17
- W9-2vs Los Angeles AngelsSep 16
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | - | 59 | W5 | .636 | 103 |
| Chicago | 14 | 73 | W1 | .549 | 89 |
| Pittsburgh | 21 | 80 | W1 | .506 | 82 |
| St. Louis | 26 | 85 | L4 | .475 | 77 |
| Cincinnati | 28 | 87 | L1 | .463 | 75 |
| Los Angeles | - | 62 | W3 | .617 | 100 |
| San Diego | 9 | 71 | W2 | .562 | 91 |
| Arizona | 14 | 76 | L2 | .531 | 86 |
| San Francisco | 35 | 97 | L5 | .401 | 65 |
| Colorado | 42 | 104 | L1 | .358 | 58 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Inning0-1Tatis Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Taylor scored.
- 3rd Inning0-2Machado singled to left, Merrill scored.
- 4th Inning1-2Contreras homered to left (365 feet).
- 5th Inning2-2Chourio hit sacrifice fly to left, Pratt scored.
- 5th Inning2-3Cronenworth homered to right (368 feet).
- 6th Inning2-4Bogaerts scored on error, Andujar safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Pratt.
- 7th Inning3-4Yelich singled to center, Contreras scored, Turang to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours San Diego Padres, below favours Milwaukee Brewers.
Venue
- Petco ParkSan Diego, California
- Attendance47708
- OfficialsAlfonso Marquez, Nic Lentz, Quinn Wolcott, Brennan Miller, Nick Mahrley, Lance Barrett
Elsewhere
- Padres stave off elimination, beat Brewers in Game 3
- Padres avoid elimination, beat Brewers 4-3 in NLDS Game 3 with Cronenworth's HR, King's relief
- 2026 MLB playoffs: Schedule, postseason bracket, standings
- Yamamoto pitches Dodgers to Game 3 win, 2-1 NLDS lead vs. Braves
- Dodgers take Game 3 in Atlanta
- Padres place Mason Miller on paternity list; out for Game 3