Lightning Edge Predators in Close Contest
Sunday, March 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 3-2 at Benchmark International Arena on March 29, 2026.
Who was favored in Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -185 (about 65% implied). The favorite won.
The Tampa Bay Lightning secured a narrow 3-2 victory over the Nashville Predators at Benchmark International Arena, marking their third consecutive win against Nashville this season and extending their series lead to 3-0. The game featured a competitive back-and-forth that showcased the strengths of both teams, with Tampa Bay's offense ultimately proving decisive.
Tampa Bay entered the matchup with a record of 46-21-6, while Nashville stood at 34-31-9. The Lightning have been performing well at home, boasting a 6-4 record in their last ten games, with an average of 4.1 goals scored and 2.9 allowed per game. Their recent form includes a win against the Ottawa Senators just a day before this game, where they triumphed 4-2. In contrast, the Predators, despite a solid overall record, had struggled recently, losing their last two games against the Montreal Canadiens and New Jersey Devils, both by scores of 4-1 and 2-4, respectively. Nashville's scoring average in their last ten games is 3.1 goals, with an average of 2.7 goals allowed.
The game began with Nashville taking the lead in the second period when Joakim Kemell scored his first goal of the game, assisted by Filip Forsberg and Justin Barron. However, Tampa Bay quickly responded with a goal from Jake Guentzel, leveling the score at 1-1. The third period saw Brandon Hagel put the Lightning ahead 2-1, but the Predators equalized with a goal from Forsberg, his 34th of the season. Ultimately, Corey Perry scored the decisive goal for Tampa Bay, assisted by Guentzel and Emil Lilleberg, sealing the victory at 3-2.
In terms of home and away performance, the Lightning have maintained a strong record at home, while the Predators have shown resilience on the road, though they have struggled in their last two outings. Tampa Bay's home record stands at 3-3 in their last six home games, while Nashville's away record is 3-2 in their last five.
Injuries played a role in the matchup, with Tampa Bay missing Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury. This absence could have influenced their lineup and performance, but the Lightning managed to secure the win despite the setback.
The betting odds from DraftKings had Tampa Bay favored at -185, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds reflected Tampa Bay's strong home performance and recent form, while Nashville's odds were at +154.
Conditions for the game were typical for late March hockey, with both teams needing to adapt quickly to the pace and intensity of the match. Fans were treated to a display of skill and determination, particularly from players like Guentzel, who not only scored but also assisted on two of Tampa Bay's goals.
Overall, the matchup highlighted the competitive nature of the NHL, with Tampa Bay continuing to assert its dominance over Nashville this season. The Lightning's ability to respond quickly after conceding and their offensive depth were key factors in their victory, while Nashville will look to regroup and bounce back in their upcoming games.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TB -185 | 6.5 o -108 / u -112 | Nashville Predators +154 · Tampa Bay Lightning -185 |
Injury report
- Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning
Leaders
- GoalsJake Guentzel1Tampa Bay Lightning
- AssistsJake Guentzel2Tampa Bay Lightning
- PointsJake Guentzel3Tampa Bay Lightning
- GoalsFilip Forsberg1Nashville Predators
- AssistsFilip Forsberg1Nashville Predators
- PointsFilip Forsberg2Nashville Predators
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last 10: 6-4Streak W14.1 scored · 2.9 allowed per game3-3 at home
- W4-2vs Ottawa SenatorsMar 28
- L3-4vs Seattle KrakenMar 26
- W6-3vs Minnesota WildMar 24
- L3-4at Calgary FlamesMar 23
- W5-2at Edmonton OilersMar 22
- W6-2at Vancouver CanucksMar 20
- W6-2at Seattle KrakenMar 18
- L2-4vs Carolina HurricanesMar 14
- W4-1vs Detroit Red WingsMar 12
- L2-5vs Columbus Blue JacketsMar 10
Nashville Predators
Last 10: 6-4Streak L23.1 scored · 2.7 allowed per game3-2 away
- L1-4vs Montreal CanadiensMar 28
- L2-4vs New Jersey DevilsMar 27
- W6-3vs San Jose SharksMar 25
- W3-2at Chicago BlackhawksMar 22
- W4-1vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 21
- W3-1vs Seattle KrakenMar 20
- W4-3at Winnipeg JetsMar 18
- L1-3at Edmonton OilersMar 16
- L3-4at Vancouver CanucksMar 13
- W4-2at Seattle KrakenMar 11
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 11 | 16 | 121 | 55 |
| Dallas | 12 | 20 | 112 | 50 |
| Minnesota | 12 | 24 | 104 | 46 |
| Utah | 6 | 33 | 92 | 43 |
| St. Louis | 12 | 33 | 86 | 37 |
| Nashville | 10 | 34 | 86 | 38 |
| Winnipeg | 12 | 35 | 82 | 35 |
| Chicago | 14 | 39 | 72 | 29 |
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
Box score
| Stat | Nashville Predators | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 12 | 13 |
| Hits | 19 | 18 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 6 |
| Shots total | 31 | 28 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 0 |
| Power play opportunities | 4 | 4 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 28 | 24 |
| Faceoff percent | 53.8 | 46.2 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 13 |
| Penalties | 4 | 5 |
| Penalty minutes | 8 | 18 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd1-0Joakim Kemell Goal (1) Deflected, assists: Filip Forsberg (33), Justin Barron (8)
- 2nd1-1Jake Guentzel Goal (35) Wrist Shot, assists: Darren Raddysh (46), Charle-Edouard D'Astous (22)
- 3rd1-2Brandon Hagel Goal (35) Snap Shot, assists: Jake Guentzel (44)
- 3rd2-2Filip Forsberg Goal (34) Tip-In, assists: Fedor Svechkov (13), Adam Wilsby (12)
- 3rd2-3Corey Perry Goal (15) Snap Shot, assists: Jake Guentzel (45), Emil Lilleberg (7)
Venue
- Benchmark International ArenaTampa, FL
- Attendance19092
- OfficialsJonny Murray, Carter Sandlak, Tom Chmielewski, Shandor Alphonso
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These two, other days
- Predators Edge Lightning in Shootout ThrillerOct 31, 2026
- Predators Edge Lightning in Overtime ThrillerSep 22, 2026
- Lightning Edge Predators in Close ContestSep 20, 2026
- Lightning Defeat Predators 5-2 in Nashville ShowdownOct 28, 2025
- Lightning Defeat Predators 4-1 at HomeSep 27, 2025