Braves Edge Mets in Thrilling Showdown at Truist Park
Friday, July 3, 2026, 7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Atlanta Braves 5, New York Mets 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
Atlanta Braves beat New York Mets 5-3 at Truist Park on July 3, 2026.
Who was favored in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
Atlanta Braves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -120 (about 55% implied). The favorite won.
The Atlanta Braves secured a hard-fought victory against the New York Mets, winning 5-3 in a game that showcased the power of their lineup and the resilience of their pitching. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as it tied the series at 2-2, adding to the competitive nature of their season encounters. The Braves, with a home record of 51-35, have been a formidable force at Truist Park, while the Mets, struggling with a 36-52 away record, have faced challenges on the road.
In terms of recent form, the Braves have had a tough stretch, going 3-7 in their last ten games, with an average of 3.2 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed per game. Their last outing before this game ended in a loss to the St. Louis Cardinals, where they fell 5-11. The Braves have also been dealing with injuries, including key players like Reynaldo Lopez and Spencer Strider, both on the injured list, which could impact their performance.
On the other hand, the Mets have not fared much better, with a record of 2-7-1 in their last ten games, averaging 3.0 runs scored and allowing 4.3 runs per game. They lost their previous game against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-9, further complicating their season. The Mets have also been hit hard by injuries, with players like Cionel Perez and Devin Williams sidelined, which has affected their depth and overall performance.
The game at Truist Park was played under standard conditions, and fans were treated to a display of power hitting. The Braves' scoring was highlighted by multiple home runs, including a notable shot by Harris II in the second inning, which helped establish an early lead. Olson also made significant contributions, hitting two home runs, one in the fifth inning and another in the eighth, solidifying the Braves' advantage.
The Mets managed to keep the game competitive, with Soto and Bichette contributing to their scoring efforts, but ultimately fell short. The Braves' pitching held firm, ensuring that the Mets could not capitalize on their opportunities late in the game.
The betting market reflected the competitive nature of this matchup, with DraftKings listing the Braves at -120 on the moneyline and the total set at 9.0 runs. The spread was set at 1.5, indicating a close contest was anticipated.
Historically, this rivalry has been closely contested, with the Braves holding a slight edge with a 9-7 record against the Mets in their last 16 meetings. This includes their recent encounters in the current season, where the Braves have shown resilience and the ability to bounce back from defeats.
As the game concluded, the Braves' victory not only provided a much-needed boost to their morale but also showcased their ability to perform under pressure, especially with several key players absent due to injuries. The Mets, while showing flashes of potential, will need to regroup and address their inconsistencies as they continue their season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -120 | 9 o -106 / u -114 | New York Mets -101 · Atlanta Braves -120 |
Injury report
- Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Robert Suarez60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
- Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Spencer Strider60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
- Jurickson ProfarSuspensionSuspensionAtlanta Braves
- Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
- Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
- Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
- Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
- Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
Recent form
Atlanta Braves
Last 10: 3-7Streak L13.2 scored · 4.8 allowed per game2-3 at home
- L5-11vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 2
- W5-1vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 1
- L3-5vs St. Louis CardinalsJun 30
- L0-5at San Francisco GiantsJun 28
- W3-1at San Francisco GiantsJun 27
- L2-5at San Diego PadresJun 25
- L6-7at San Diego PadresJun 24
- L0-1at San Diego PadresJun 23
- L4-9vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 21
- W4-3vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 20
New York Mets
Last 10: 2-7-1Streak L13 scored · 4.3 allowed per game1-2 away
- L3-9at Toronto Blue JaysJul 1
- W3-0at Toronto Blue JaysJun 30
- L1-2at Toronto Blue JaysJun 29
- L4-5vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 28
- W6-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 27
- L1-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 26
- L3-4vs Chicago CubsJun 25
- L3-10vs Chicago CubsJun 24
- L6-9vs Chicago CubsJun 23
- D0-0vs Chicago CubsJun 22
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning0-2Harris II homered to center (419 feet), Dubón scored.
- 3rd Inning2-2Soto homered to left (359 feet), Ewing scored.
- 3rd Inning2-3Albies homered to right (386 feet).
- 5th Inning2-4Olson homered to right center (429 feet).
- 8th Inning2-5Olson homered to right (411 feet).
- 9th Inning3-5Bichette singled to right, Torrens scored, Soto to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Atlanta Braves, below favours New York Mets.
Venue
- Truist ParkAtlanta, Georgia
- Attendance39138
- OfficialsMalachi Moore, Alfonso Marquez, Mike Estabrook, Lance Barrett
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Braves Secure Series Win Over Mets with 6-3 VictoryAug 12, 2026
- Braves Shut Out Mets 4-0 at Truist ParkAug 11, 2026
- Mets Defeat Braves 8-5 in Thrilling ContestAug 10, 2026
- Braves Edge Mets in Low-Scoring Affair at Citi FieldJul 29, 2026
- Mets Edge Braves 3-2 in Thrilling FinishJul 29, 2026