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MLB · Final

Braves Dominate Mets with a 14-3 Victory

Saturday, July 4, 2026, 8:08 PM ET · Truist Park

Atlanta Braves 14, New York Mets 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?

Atlanta Braves beat New York Mets 14-3 at Truist Park on July 4, 2026.

Who was favored in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?

Atlanta Braves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -198 (about 66% implied). The favorite won.

In a decisive victory, the Atlanta Braves triumphed over the New York Mets with a final score of 14-3 at Truist Park. This game was particularly significant as it marked the conclusion of a tightly contested series, which was tied 2-2 prior to this matchup. The Braves showcased their offensive prowess, scoring in multiple innings and capitalizing on the Mets' pitching struggles.

The Braves entered this game with a home record of 52-35, while the Mets struggled with an away record of 36-53. Despite their recent form showing a 3-7 record in their last ten games, the Braves managed to secure a win in their previous encounter against the Mets just two days prior, winning 5-3. In contrast, the Mets were on a downward trend, having lost their last two games, including the recent loss to the Braves.

In terms of scoring, the Braves averaged 3.3 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed over their last ten games, while the Mets had the same scoring average but allowed the same number of runs. The Braves' recent home performance included a record of 2-3, while the Mets' away performance was even less favorable at 1-4 in their last five games.

The Braves have had the upper hand in their recent meetings with the Mets, holding a 10-7 record against them in the last two seasons. This game continued that trend, with the Braves dominating the offensive play. Key moments included homers from Dubón, Taylor, Yastrzemski, and Riley, which contributed significantly to their high score. Dubón's homer in the fourth inning set the tone, followed by a series of runs that put the game out of reach for the Mets.

In terms of injuries, the Braves were missing several players, including Reynaldo Lopez, Robert Suarez, Joe Jimenez, Spencer Strider, and Jurickson Profar, who was serving a suspension. The Mets were also dealing with injuries, including Cionel Perez, Devin Williams, Jorge Polanco, Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill, all of whom were on the injured list. These absences likely impacted both teams' performances.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Braves favored at -198, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0. The odds reflected the Braves' stronger position in the league compared to the Mets.

Conditions at Truist Park were conducive for a high-scoring game, and the Braves took full advantage. Fans watching the game would have noted the Braves' explosive batting and the Mets' struggles on the mound, particularly in the later innings when the Braves piled on runs.

Overall, this game not only highlighted the Braves' offensive capabilities but also underscored the challenges facing the Mets as they continue to seek consistency in their performances.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsATL -198 8 o -104 / u -115 New York Mets +162 · Atlanta Braves -198

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
  • Robert Suarez60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
  • Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
  • Spencer Strider60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
  • Jurickson ProfarSuspensionSuspensionAtlanta Braves
  • Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
  • Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
  • Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
  • Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
  • Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets

Recent form

Atlanta Braves

Last 10: 3-7Streak W13.3 scored · 4.8 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • W5-3vs New York MetsJul 3
  • L5-11vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 2
  • W5-1vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 1
  • L3-5vs St. Louis CardinalsJun 30
  • L0-5at San Francisco GiantsJun 28
  • W3-1at San Francisco GiantsJun 27
  • L2-5at San Diego PadresJun 25
  • L6-7at San Diego PadresJun 24
  • L0-1at San Diego PadresJun 23
  • L4-9vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 21

New York Mets

Last 10: 2-8Streak L23.3 scored · 4.8 allowed per game1-3 away

  • L3-5at Atlanta BravesJul 3
  • L3-9at Toronto Blue JaysJul 1
  • W3-0at Toronto Blue JaysJun 30
  • L1-2at Toronto Blue JaysJun 29
  • L4-5vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 28
  • W6-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 27
  • L1-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 26
  • L3-4vs Chicago CubsJun 25
  • L3-10vs Chicago CubsJun 24
  • L6-9vs Chicago CubsJun 23

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Inning0-1White homered to left (358 feet).
  2. 3rd Inning0-2Harris II singled to right, Baldwin scored, Riley to second, Olson to third.
  3. 3rd Inning0-5Olson scored on error, Riley scored on error and Harris II scored on error, White safe at first on fielding error by center fielder Taylor, White safe at second on error.
  4. 4th Inning0-6Dubón homered to left (365 feet).
  5. 5th Inning1-6Taylor homered to left center (404 feet).
  6. 6th Inning3-6Vientos homered to left center (396 feet), Bichette scored.
  7. 6th Inning3-7Bart doubled to center, Yastrzemski scored.
  8. 6th Inning3-8Dubón grounded out to second, Bart scored, Mateo to second.
  9. 7th Inning3-10Yastrzemski homered to right (420 feet), Harris II scored.
  10. 8th Inning3-13Riley homered to right (362 feet), Dubón scored and Albies scored.
  11. 8th Inning3-14Harris II homered to right center (386 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Atlanta Braves, below favours New York Mets.

Venue

  • Truist ParkAtlanta, Georgia
  • Attendance40168
  • OfficialsAlfonso Marquez, Mike Estabrook, Lance Barrett, Malachi Moore

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.