Mets Edge Braves in High-Scoring Thriller
Sunday, July 5, 2026, 12:30 PM ET · Truist Park
New York Mets 10, Atlanta Braves 9, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
New York Mets beat Atlanta Braves 10-9 at Truist Park on July 5, 2026.
Who was favored in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
Atlanta Braves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -122 (about 55% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling contest at Truist Park, the New York Mets triumphed over the Atlanta Braves with a final score of 10-9. This game was particularly significant as it marked the conclusion of a tightly contested series, now tied at 2-2. The Mets, who have struggled throughout the season, improved their record to 38-53, while the Braves fell to 52-37.
The Braves entered this matchup with a recent record of 3-7 over their last ten games, averaging 3.3 runs scored per game while allowing 4.8 runs. Their last five games saw them win only two, with an average of 3.6 runs scored and 5.0 runs allowed. At home, the Braves had a record of 2-3 in their last five games, and overall, their home record stands at 52-36. Conversely, the Mets had been struggling even more, with a record of 2-8 in their last ten games, averaging 3.3 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed during that stretch. Their recent form included a two-game losing streak, and they had only managed to win once in their last five games, averaging just 2.8 runs scored while allowing 4.2 runs.
The game unfolded dramatically, with the Mets taking an early lead in the second inning when Juan Soto singled to right, scoring Brett Baty and Francisco Lindor. The Braves fought back but were unable to maintain control as the Mets continued to pile on runs, highlighted by a powerful home run from Taylor in the ninth inning, which extended their lead to 6-3. The Mets' offense was relentless, with additional runs scored by Bichette and Young in the ninth, bringing the score to 10-3.
The Braves mounted a late rally, scoring six runs in the ninth inning, with notable contributions from Baldwin, who hit a three-run homer, and Harris II, who brought in Olson. Despite their efforts, the Braves fell just short of completing the comeback, finishing the game with nine runs.
In terms of injuries, the Braves were missing several key players, including Reynaldo Lopez and Spencer Strider, both on the injured list for elbow issues, and Jurickson Profar, who is currently suspended. The Mets also faced challenges with injuries, including Cionel Perez and Devin Williams, both on the 15-Day IL.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Braves favored at -122, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 8.5. The odds reflected the Braves' stronger overall record compared to the Mets, despite both teams' recent struggles.
Conditions at Truist Park were conducive to scoring, and the game showcased a mix of offensive prowess and defensive lapses, making it an exciting watch for fans. Viewers were treated to a display of power hitting and strategic base running, particularly in the late innings, where both teams capitalized on mistakes and seized opportunities.
Overall, this matchup not only highlighted the competitive nature of the series but also underscored the challenges both teams face as they navigate the remainder of the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -122 | 8.5 o -102 / u -118 | New York Mets +102 · Atlanta Braves -122 |
Injury report
- Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Robert Suarez60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
- Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Spencer Strider60-Day-ILElbowAtlanta Braves
- Jurickson ProfarSuspensionSuspensionAtlanta Braves
- Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
- Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
- Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
- Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
- Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
Recent form
Atlanta Braves
Last 10: 3-7Streak W13.3 scored · 4.8 allowed per game2-3 at home
- W5-3vs New York MetsJul 3
- L5-11vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 2
- W5-1vs St. Louis CardinalsJul 1
- L3-5vs St. Louis CardinalsJun 30
- L0-5at San Francisco GiantsJun 28
- W3-1at San Francisco GiantsJun 27
- L2-5at San Diego PadresJun 25
- L6-7at San Diego PadresJun 24
- L0-1at San Diego PadresJun 23
- L4-9vs Milwaukee BrewersJun 21
New York Mets
Last 10: 2-8Streak L23.3 scored · 4.8 allowed per game1-3 away
- L3-5at Atlanta BravesJul 3
- L3-9at Toronto Blue JaysJul 1
- W3-0at Toronto Blue JaysJun 30
- L1-2at Toronto Blue JaysJun 29
- L4-5vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 28
- W6-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 27
- L1-2vs Philadelphia PhilliesJun 26
- L3-4vs Chicago CubsJun 25
- L3-10vs Chicago CubsJun 24
- L6-9vs Chicago CubsJun 23
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Bichette singled to left, Lindor scored.
- 1st Inning1-2Harris II singled to center, Baldwin scored and Albies scored.
- 1st Inning1-3Dubón singled to center, Harris II scored.
- 2nd Inning2-3Ewing homered to center (408 feet).
- 2nd Inning3-3Lindor singled to left, Torrens scored, Lindor to second, Baty to third.
- 2nd Inning5-3Soto singled to right, Baty scored and Lindor scored.
- 9th Inning6-3Taylor homered to left center (417 feet).
- 9th Inning8-3Bichette doubled to left, Baty scored and Lindor scored, Soto to third.
- 9th Inning10-3Young singled to left, Soto scored and Bichette scored.
- 9th Inning10-4Dubón scored, Smith to second on pickoff error by pitcher Brazobán.
- 9th Inning10-4Dubón scored, Smith to second on pickoff error by pitcher Brazobán.
- 9th Inning10-8Baldwin homered to left (383 feet), Smith scored, Riley scored and White scored.
- 9th Inning10-9Harris II reached on infield single to first, Olson scored.
Win probability
Above the line favours Atlanta Braves, below favours New York Mets.
Venue
- Truist ParkAtlanta, Georgia
- Attendance28621
- OfficialsMike Estabrook, Lance Barrett, Malachi Moore, Alfonso Marquez
Elsewhere
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These two, other days
- Braves Secure Series Win Over Mets with 6-3 VictoryAug 12, 2026
- Braves Shut Out Mets 4-0 at Truist ParkAug 11, 2026
- Mets Defeat Braves 8-5 in Thrilling ContestAug 10, 2026
- Braves Edge Mets in Low-Scoring Affair at Citi FieldJul 29, 2026
- Mets Edge Braves 3-2 in Thrilling FinishJul 29, 2026