Mets Edge Blue Jays in Close Contest
Monday, February 23, 2026, 1:07 PM ET · TD Ballpark
New York Mets 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays?
New York Mets beat Toronto Blue Jays 4-3 at TD Ballpark on February 23, 2026.
In a closely contested game at TD Ballpark, the New York Mets defeated the Toronto Blue Jays with a final score of 4-3. This victory extends the Mets' lead in the series against the Blue Jays to 2-0, showcasing their strong performance against Toronto this season. The match highlighted the resilience of the Mets, who have now won two consecutive games after a recent loss, while the Blue Jays, despite their recent four-game winning streak, faced a setback in this matchup.
The Toronto Blue Jays entered the game with a home record of 1-2 and had shown a mixed form recently, with a record of 5-5 over their last ten games. They were riding a four-game winning streak, averaging 4.0 runs scored and allowing 5.0 runs per game during this stretch. Their last five games had been particularly strong, with an impressive average of 5.8 runs scored while allowing only 3.0 runs. However, their home performance has been less consistent, with a 4-2 record at home compared to 1-3 on the road.
On the other hand, the New York Mets came into this game with a 2-1 away record and a recent record of 4-6 over their last ten games. They had struggled slightly, with an average of 4.6 runs scored and 4.9 runs allowed during this period. Their last five games reflected a tougher stretch, with a record of 2-3, averaging 3.8 runs scored and allowing 5.4 runs.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Blue Jays had not fared well against the Mets, losing all three previous encounters in the 2025 season, including two close games earlier in April. The Blue Jays were looking to turn the tide, but the Mets' consistent performance proved too much.
Injuries played a significant role in the dynamics of the game. The Blue Jays were missing key players, including Patrick Corbin, Jameson Taillon, Luis Urias, Anthony Santander, and Jonatan Clase, all of whom were on the injured list. The Mets also had their share of injuries, with Cionel Perez, Devin Williams, Jorge Polanco, Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill unavailable for the game. These absences undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and depth.
The scoring in the game began in the second inning when Okamoto hit a home run to center field, bringing Barger home and giving the Blue Jays a 2-0 lead. However, the Mets quickly responded in the third inning with Morabito's single, allowing Cluff to score, followed by Melendez's double that brought Morabito home, leveling the game at 2-2.
The game took a turn in the sixth inning when Reimer scored on a throwing error by catcher Stubbs, putting the Mets ahead 3-2. They extended their lead in the seventh inning with Pache's home run to left center, making it 4-2. The Blue Jays managed to score once more in the ninth inning when Mcadoo singled, allowing Planchart to score, but it was not enough to overcome the Mets' lead.
The market had priced the Blue Jays' chances at a 0.0 probability of winning by the end of the game, reflecting the Mets' control over the match as it progressed. The conditions at TD Ballpark were conducive to a competitive game, with both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses.
Viewers should have noted the strategic plays, particularly the impact of errors and home runs, which proved crucial in determining the outcome. The game highlighted the importance of capitalizing on scoring opportunities and managing defensive errors, elements that both teams will need to focus on moving forward.
Injury report
- Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
- Cionel Perez15-Day-ILForearmNew York Mets
- Devin Williams15-Day-ILShoulderNew York Mets
- Jorge Polanco60-Day-ILAnkleNew York Mets
- Reed Garrett60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
- Tylor Megill60-Day-ILElbowNew York Mets
Recent form
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 5-5Streak W44 scored · 5 allowed per game4-2 at home
- W13-4vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 28
- W5-1vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 27
- W4-2vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 26
- W6-1vs Boston Red SoxSep 25
- L1-7vs Boston Red SoxSep 24
- L1-4vs Boston Red SoxSep 23
- W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsSep 21
- L1-2at Kansas City RoyalsSep 20
- L1-20at Kansas City RoyalsSep 19
- L0-4at Tampa Bay RaysSep 18
New York Mets
Last 10: 4-6Streak L14.6 scored · 4.9 allowed per game2-3 away
- L0-4at Miami MarlinsSep 28
- W5-0at Miami MarlinsSep 27
- L2-6at Miami MarlinsSep 26
- L3-10at Chicago CubsSep 25
- W9-7at Chicago CubsSep 23
- L2-3vs Washington NationalsSep 21
- L3-5vs Washington NationalsSep 20
- W12-6vs Washington NationalsSep 19
- W6-1vs San Diego PadresSep 18
- L4-7vs San Diego PadresSep 17
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
| Tampa Bay | - | 56 | L1 | .597 | 83 |
| New York | 3.5 | 60 | W2 | .571 | 80 |
| Boston | 8.5 | 65 | L2 | .536 | 75 |
| Toronto | 14.5 | 71 | W1 | .493 | 69 |
| Baltimore | 14.5 | 71 | L2 | .493 | 69 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning0-2Okamoto homered to center (431 feet), Barger scored.
- 3rd Inning1-2Morabito singled to center, Cluff scored.
- 3rd Inning2-2Melendez doubled to center, Morabito scored.
- 6th Inning3-2Reimer scored on throwing error by catcher Stubbs, Bruján stole second.
- 6th Inning3-2Reimer scored on throwing error by catcher Stubbs, Bruján stole second.
- 7th Inning4-2Pache homered to left center (413 feet).
- 9th Inning4-3Mcadoo singled to right, Planchart scored, Schreck to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Toronto Blue Jays, below favours New York Mets.
Venue
- TD BallparkDunedin, Florida
- Attendance5520
- OfficialsJacob Metz, Brennan Miller, Vic Carapazza, Darius Ghani
Elsewhere
- Fantasy baseball news and notes: Rutschman continues to sit for Red Sox and more for Thursday
- MLB trade deadline 2026: Winners and losers, one month later
- Rangers begin 4-game series against the Rays
- Astros face the White Sox leading series 2-1
- Orioles begin 4-game series with the Red Sox
- Guardians and Blue Jays play with series tied 1-1
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Blue Jays Triumph Over Mets 9-3 at Rogers CentreJul 1, 2026
- Mets Shut Out Blue Jays in Series FinaleJun 30, 2026
- Blue Jays Edge Mets in Close ContestJun 29, 2026
- Mets Dominate Blue Jays in 8-1 VictoryMar 15, 2026