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MLB · Final

Reds Edge Pirates in Close Contest at Home

Thursday, July 30, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds 3, Pittsburgh Pirates 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds beat Pittsburgh Pirates 3-2 at Great American Ball Park on July 30, 2026.

Who was favored in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?

Pittsburgh Pirates were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -126 (about 56% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested game, the Cincinnati Reds emerged victorious over the Pittsburgh Pirates with a final score of 3-2 at Great American Ball Park. This win allowed the Reds to clinch the series 3-1 against the Pirates, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure against a division rival. The match was marked by key scoring plays that ultimately decided the outcome, with the Reds demonstrating resilience in the late innings.

The Reds entered this game with a home record of 51-57, while the Pirates had a slightly better away record of 55-55. Cincinnati's recent form showed a record of 5-4-1 over their last ten games, but they were on a two-game losing streak, having lost to the Cleveland Guardians in their previous outings. Their average runs scored in this stretch was 3.9, while they allowed an average of 4.3 runs. In contrast, the Pirates had a record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games, also on a two-game losing streak, with an average of 3.7 runs scored and 4.6 runs allowed.

The Reds' home performance has been less favorable, as they struggled with a home record of 0-3 in their last three games. However, they had been strong on the road, winning five of their last six away games. The Pirates, on the other hand, had a mixed record in their recent away games, with a 2-1 record in their last three away games but a 2-4 overall home record in their last six.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Reds had faced the Pirates 22 times over the last two seasons, with a record of 10-12 against them. Their recent meetings included a series in June 2026, where the Reds had won two out of three games. This particular game added another chapter to their rivalry, highlighting the competitive nature of both teams.

Injuries played a significant role in the game, impacting both teams' lineups. The Reds were without Graham Ashcraft, who is on the 60-day injured list due to an elbow issue, along with several players on the 10-day injured list, including Eugenio Suarez (personal), Ke'Bryan Hayes (groin), Spencer Steer (wrist), and Michael Toglia (shoulder). The Pirates were also affected, missing Konnor Griffin (60-day IL, finger), Ryan O'Hearn (10-day IL, quadriceps), Mitch Keller (60-day IL, arm), and Endy Rodriguez (60-day IL, hip).

The betting odds from DraftKings indicated the Pirates were favored at -126, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 10.0. The odds for the Reds to win were listed at +104. This context added an additional layer of intrigue to the matchup, as both teams aimed to defy the odds.

The game conditions were typical for a summer night in Cincinnati, providing a backdrop conducive to baseball, with fans eager to see if the Reds could turn their fortunes around at home. As the game progressed, viewers witnessed several key moments, including a crucial home run by Lowe in the sixth inning that tied the game at 2-2. However, the Reds regained the lead in the ninth inning when Lowe grounded into a fielder's choice, allowing De La Cruz to score the winning run.

Overall, this game was a testament to the competitive spirit of both teams, with the Reds ultimately pulling ahead in a game that showcased their ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities. The victory not only boosted their morale but also solidified their position in the series against the Pirates.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsPIT -126 10 o -103 / u -117 Pittsburgh Pirates -126 · Cincinnati Reds +104

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Konnor Griffin60-Day-ILFingerPittsburgh Pirates
  • Ryan O'Hearn10-Day-ILQuadricepsPittsburgh Pirates
  • Mitch Keller60-Day-ILArmPittsburgh Pirates
  • Endy Rodriguez60-Day-ILHipPittsburgh Pirates

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 5-4-1Streak L23.9 scored · 4.3 allowed per game0-3 at home

  • L1-6vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 29
  • L5-6vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 28
  • D0-0vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 27
  • W5-3at St. Louis CardinalsJul 26
  • W4-2at St. Louis CardinalsJul 25
  • W4-2at Seattle MarinersJul 22
  • L0-8at Seattle MarinersJul 21
  • W9-6at Colorado RockiesJul 19
  • W7-2at Colorado RockiesJul 18
  • L4-8vs Chicago CubsJul 12

Pittsburgh Pirates

Last 10: 4-5-1Streak L23.7 scored · 4.6 allowed per game2-1 away

  • L0-3vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 29
  • L7-8vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 28
  • W3-2vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 27
  • W8-7vs Chicago CubsJul 26
  • L0-11vs Chicago CubsJul 25
  • L2-3vs Chicago CubsJul 24
  • W5-3at New York YankeesJul 22
  • D0-0at New York YankeesJul 21
  • L5-8at New York YankeesJul 20
  • W7-1at Cleveland GuardiansJul 19

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Inning0-1De La Cruz doubled to center, McLain scored.
  2. 3rd Inning0-2Stewart singled to right, De La Cruz scored.
  3. 5th Inning1-2Gonzalez hit sacrifice fly to center, Gonzales scored.
  4. 6th Inning2-2Lowe homered to right (402 feet).
  5. 9th Inning2-3Lowe grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, De La Cruz scored, Stephenson out at second, Stewart to third. Pittsburgh Pirates challenged: call on the field was upheld.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Pittsburgh Pirates.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance25532
  • OfficialsDan Merzel, Dan Bellino, Dexter Kelley, Shane Livensparger

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.