Reds Edge Padres in Close Contest at Great American Ball Park
Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati Reds 4, San Diego Padres 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds?
Cincinnati Reds beat San Diego Padres 4-3 at Great American Ball Park on September 1, 2026.
Who was favored in San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -136 (about 58% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling matchup at Great American Ball Park, the Cincinnati Reds narrowly defeated the San Diego Padres with a final score of 4-3. This victory allowed the Reds to clinch the series 2-1 against the Padres, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure despite their recent struggles. The game was marked by key moments, including two home runs from Padres star Fernando Tatis Jr. and a series of clutch hits from the Reds.
The Reds entered the game with a home record of 66-73, having gone 4-6 in their last ten outings, which included a recent loss to the Padres just a day prior, where they were shut out 0-5. Their recent form showed an average of 4.8 runs scored per game but a concerning 7.1 runs allowed, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. The Reds' last five games reflected a record of 2-3, with an average of 4.6 runs scored and 7.6 runs allowed.
Conversely, the Padres held a record of 73-66 on the road and were also 4-6 in their last ten games. They managed to secure a win in their most recent encounter against the Reds, but their overall scoring average during that stretch was lower than that of the Reds, with 4.1 runs scored per game and only 3.8 runs allowed. The Padres had a mixed performance in their last five games, winning just one, with an average of 3.8 runs scored and 4.4 runs allowed.
In terms of home and away performance, the Reds had a home record of 1-2 in their last three games at Great American Ball Park, while the Padres were 2-4 in their last six games on the road. Historically, the Reds had a slight edge in their head-to-head meetings, leading with a record of 5-4 against the Padres over the last two seasons. This included a 5-3 victory earlier in the 2026 season, but the Reds' recent loss the day before added pressure to perform in this decisive game.
Injuries played a significant role in the matchup. The Reds were missing several key players, including Graham Ashcraft, who is on the 60-day injured list due to an elbow issue, and Eugenio Suarez, who was listed as day-to-day for personal reasons. Additionally, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia were also sidelined with various injuries. The Padres faced their own injury challenges, with Jason Adam on the 60-day injured list due to a shoulder issue, and Miguel Andujar, Gavin Sheets, and Jeremiah Estrada also unavailable.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Padres as favorites with a moneyline of -136, while the Reds were at +113. The spread was set at 1.5, and the total runs were over/under 9.0, reflecting expectations of a competitive game. The conditions at Great American Ball Park were conducive to baseball, with fans eager to see how the teams would respond after the previous day's matchup.
As the game unfolded, the scoring started early with a sacrifice fly from Manny Machado in the first inning, giving the Padres a 1-0 lead. However, the Reds quickly responded with a single from JJ Bleday, tying the game at 1-1. The tension escalated in the fifth inning when Tatis Jr. hit a home run, reclaiming the lead for the Padres at 2-1. The Reds answered back with a single from Rodríguez, which leveled the score again at 2-2.
The game took a decisive turn in the eighth inning when the Reds capitalized on their opportunities, scoring two runs to take a 4-2 lead. A single from Trevino allowed De La Cruz to score, followed by a sacrifice fly from Brito that brought Stewart home. Despite Tatis Jr.'s second home run in the ninth inning, which narrowed the gap to 4-3, the Reds held on for the victory.
Fans watching the game were treated to a showcase of resilience from the Reds, who managed to overcome their recent form and injuries to secure a vital win. The performance highlighted the importance of clutch hitting and strategic plays, particularly in high-pressure situations, which will be crucial as both teams move forward in the season.
What we said beforehand
The Cincinnati Reds will host the San Diego Padres at Great American Ball Park on September 1, 2026, in a game that carries significant implications for both teams as they navigate the final stretch of the season. The Padres currently lead the series 1-0 after their recent 5-0 victory over the Reds on August 31, 2026, making this matchup particularly interesting as Cincinnati looks to even the score.
In their last five games, the Reds have shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability, recording three wins and two losses. They defeated the San Francisco Giants twice and managed to take one game against the Chicago Cubs, but they also suffered a heavy loss to the Cubs and were shut out by the Padres. The Reds have averaged 4.6 runs scored in their last five games while allowing 7.6 runs, indicating some defensive struggles. Their overall home record stands at 65-73, with a recent home performance of 1-2 in their last three games, averaging 4.8 runs scored and 7.1 runs allowed.
On the other hand, the Padres have had a challenging stretch, going 4-6 in their last ten games. They have recently faced the Tampa Bay Rays, losing three consecutive games before their win against the Reds. In their last five games, the Padres have averaged 3.8 runs scored and 4.4 runs allowed. Their away record is 73-65, and they have gone 2-4 in their last six away games.
In terms of injuries, the Reds are dealing with several key players on the injured list. Graham Ashcraft is on the 60-day injured list due to an elbow issue, while Eugenio Suarez is day-to-day for personal reasons. Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia are all on the 10-day injured list with various ailments. The Padres are also facing injury challenges, with Jason Adam and Joe Musgrove on the 60-day injured list due to shoulder and elbow issues, respectively. Miguel Andujar and Gavin Sheets are on the 10-day injured list, and Jeremiah Estrada is on the 15-day injured list.
The betting odds from DraftKings reflect the competitive nature of this matchup, with the Padres favored at -137 and the Reds at +114 on the moneyline. The spread is set at 1.5 runs, with a total of 9.0 runs for the game. The over is priced at -117, while the under is at -103.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be hot, with a temperature of 95°F and no precipitation forecasted. Wind gusts may reach up to 12 mph, potentially influencing gameplay.
Fans should watch for standout performances from key players. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz leads the team with a batting average of .270, while Sal Stewart has been a significant contributor with 31 home runs and 105 runs batted in. For the Padres, Fernando Tatis Jr. boasts a .281 batting average, and Manny Machado has hit 24 home runs with 74 runs batted in.
As the Reds seek to bounce back from their recent loss and the Padres aim to build on their victory, this game promises to be a compelling encounter in the MLB schedule.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -136 | 9 o -119 / u -101 | San Diego Padres -136 · Cincinnati Reds +113 |
Injury report
- Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
- Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
- Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
- Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
- Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
- Jason Adam60-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Gavin Sheets10-Day-ILFootSan Diego Padres
- Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
Recent form
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 4-6Streak L14.8 scored · 7.1 allowed per game1-2 at home
- L0-5vs San Diego PadresAug 31
- W7-5at Chicago CubsAug 30
- L5-17at Chicago CubsAug 29
- W10-8at Chicago CubsAug 28
- L1-3at San Francisco GiantsAug 26
- L0-5at San Francisco GiantsAug 25
- W11-5at Arizona DiamondbacksAug 23
- L0-9at Arizona DiamondbacksAug 22
- L9-10vs St. Louis CardinalsAug 20
- W5-4vs St. Louis CardinalsAug 19
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 4-6Streak W14.1 scored · 3.8 allowed per game2-4 away
- W5-0at Cincinnati RedsAug 31
- L4-5at Tampa Bay RaysAug 30
- L6-7at Tampa Bay RaysAug 29
- L4-9at Tampa Bay RaysAug 28
- L0-1vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 26
- L2-3vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 25
- W7-5vs Minnesota TwinsAug 23
- W6-2vs Minnesota TwinsAug 22
- L2-4at New York MetsAug 19
- W5-2at New York MetsAug 18
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | - | 57 | L2 | .590 | 82 |
| Arizona | 9 | 67 | W1 | .525 | 74 |
| San Diego | 9.5 | 67 | L2 | .521 | 73 |
| San Francisco | 24.5 | 82 | W1 | .414 | 58 |
| Colorado | 28.5 | 86 | W2 | .386 | 54 |
| Milwaukee | - | 53 | W2 | .621 | 87 |
| Chicago | 9 | 62 | L2 | .557 | 78 |
| St. Louis | 17 | 70 | W2 | .500 | 70 |
| Pittsburgh | 19 | 72 | L1 | .486 | 68 |
| Cincinnati | 20 | 73 | W2 | .479 | 67 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Machado hit sacrifice fly to right, Taylor scored.
- 1st Inning1-1Bleday singled to right, Rodríguez scored.
- 5th Inning2-1Tatis Jr. homered to right (347 feet).
- 5th Inning2-2Rodríguez singled to right, Arroyo scored, Rodríguez to second.
- 8th Inning2-3Trevino singled to center, De La Cruz scored, McLain to second, Stewart to third.
- 8th Inning2-4Brito hit sacrifice fly to left, Stewart scored.
- 9th Inning3-4Tatis Jr. homered to right (361 feet).
Win probability
Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours San Diego Padres.
Venue
- Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
- Attendance19376
- OfficialsRon Kulpa, Jacob Metz, Tom Hanahan, D.J. Reyburn