ENSign in
MLB · Final

Rays Edge Padres in Thrilling 7-6 Victory

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 4:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays 7, San Diego Padres 6, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Tampa Bay Rays beat San Diego Padres 7-6 at Tropicana Field on August 29, 2026.

Who was favored in San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Tampa Bay Rays were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -128 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested game at Tropicana Field, the Tampa Bay Rays triumphed over the San Diego Padres with a final score of 7-6, completing a series sweep with a 3-0 record against the Padres this season. This victory not only highlights the Rays' strong performance but also underscores their ability to close out games, especially at home, where they hold an impressive record of 81 wins and 54 losses.

The game was marked by a series of dramatic scoring plays, particularly in the seventh inning, where the lead changed hands multiple times. The Rays had initially taken a 2-1 lead in the third inning when Aranda homered to center field, but the Padres responded with a strong sixth inning, highlighted by a home run from France that brought in Machado, putting them ahead 3-2. However, the Rays quickly equalized with a homer from Caminero, setting the stage for a thrilling finish.

Tampa Bay's recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, with a record of 5-5 over their last ten games and a two-game winning streak leading into this matchup. They have averaged 3.8 runs scored per game while allowing 3.9 runs during this stretch. In their last five games, they have performed better, with a record of 4-1 and an improved average of 4.0 runs scored against 2.0 allowed. The Rays have shown resilience at home, with a balanced record of 2-2 in their last four home games.

On the other hand, the Padres have struggled recently, losing their last three games and holding a record of 4-6 over their last ten. They have averaged 3.3 runs scored while allowing 3.4 runs in that span. Their away record has been less favorable, with only two wins in their last six away games. This loss against the Rays adds to their challenges as they attempt to regain momentum in the latter part of the season.

In terms of injuries, the Rays were missing several key players, including Cole Sulser, Jake Fraley, Jonathan Heasley, Edwin Uceta, and Ben Williamson, all of whom are on the injured list. The Padres also faced injury challenges, with Jason Adam, Miguel Andujar, Gavin Sheets, Jeremiah Estrada, and Lucas Giolito unavailable for this game. The absence of these players undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and performances.

The betting lines set by DraftKings indicated a slight favor for the Rays at -128, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0. The odds for the over were -108, while the under was priced at -112. These figures reflect the competitive nature of the matchup, with both teams vying for crucial wins as the season progresses.

The conditions at Tropicana Field were conducive to baseball, allowing for a thrilling atmosphere as fans witnessed a back-and-forth contest. Viewers were treated to a display of offensive prowess, particularly in the seventh inning when the Rays rallied to score four runs, showcasing their ability to capitalize on errors and make strategic plays.

Overall, this game exemplified the excitement of Major League Baseball, with both teams demonstrating their strengths and weaknesses. The Rays' ability to secure the win despite their injuries and the Padres' struggles on the road made for a compelling matchup, one that fans will remember as a highlight of the season.

What we said beforehand

The Tampa Bay Rays will face the San Diego Padres at Tropicana Field on August 29, 2026, with the Rays leading the series 1-0 after a decisive 9-4 victory over the Padres on August 28. This matchup is particularly noteworthy as both teams are vying for crucial wins as the season progresses, with the Rays currently holding an impressive home record of 80-54, while the Padres sit at 72-63 for the season.

In their last five games, the Rays have recorded four wins and one loss, showcasing a strong performance with an average of 4.0 runs scored and only 2.0 runs allowed per game. Their recent victories include wins against the Baltimore Orioles and the Detroit Tigers, with the most recent being a solid 9-4 win against the Padres. Conversely, the Padres have struggled, winning only two of their last five games, averaging 3.8 runs scored and allowing 4.0 runs per game. Their recent form includes a notable 8-1 win against the Minnesota Twins but has been marred by three consecutive losses, including the recent defeat against the Rays.

When examining home and away performances, the Rays have a balanced home record of 2-2 in their last four games, while the Padres have struggled on the road with a 2-4 record in their last six away games. This trend may play a significant role in the upcoming matchup, as the Rays look to capitalize on their home advantage.

Historically, the Rays have dominated recent encounters with the Padres, winning all three of their last meetings, including two games in the 2025 season and the recent matchup in 2026. This trend could provide the Rays with a psychological edge heading into this game.

In terms of injuries, the Rays will be without Cole Sulser (15-Day-IL, back), Jake Fraley (60-Day-IL, groin), Jonathan Heasley (60-Day-IL, elbow), Edwin Uceta (60-Day-IL, shoulder), and Griffin Jax (15-Day-IL, elbow). The Padres will miss Samad Taylor (10-Day-IL, oblique), Joe Musgrove (60-Day-IL, elbow), Jason Adam (60-Day-IL, shoulder), Miguel Andujar (10-Day-IL, wrist), and Jeremiah Estrada (15-Day-IL, shoulder). The absence of key players on both sides may impact the strategies employed by each team.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, has the Rays favored at -127, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0 runs. The over odds are at -107, while the under odds are at -112. This pricing reflects the market's confidence in the Rays' ability to secure a win at home.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 94°F and a 51% chance of precipitation, alongside gusts of 7 mph. These conditions could influence gameplay, particularly in terms of pitching and hitting.

Viewers should watch for the performance of key players such as Chandler Simpson, who leads the Rays with a .309 batting average, and Junior Caminero, who has hit 35 home runs and driven in 85 runs. For the Padres, Fernando Tatis Jr. leads with a .285 batting average, while Manny Machado has contributed 24 home runs and 72 RBIs. The matchup between these standout players could be crucial in determining the outcome of the game.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -128 8 o -108 / u -112 San Diego Padres +119 · Tampa Bay Rays -128

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Cole Sulser15-Day-ILBackTampa Bay Rays
  • Jake Fraley60-Day-ILGroinTampa Bay Rays
  • Jonathan Heasley60-Day-ILElbowTampa Bay Rays
  • Edwin Uceta60-Day-ILShoulderTampa Bay Rays
  • Ben Williamson10-Day-ILHamstringTampa Bay Rays
  • Jason Adam60-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
  • Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
  • Gavin Sheets10-Day-ILFootSan Diego Padres
  • Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
  • Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres

Recent form

Tampa Bay Rays

Last 10: 5-5Streak W23.8 scored · 3.9 allowed per game2-2 at home

  • W9-4vs San Diego PadresAug 28
  • W3-0at Detroit TigersAug 26
  • L1-4at Detroit TigersAug 25
  • W4-1at Detroit TigersAug 24
  • W3-1at Baltimore OriolesAug 23
  • L2-3at Baltimore OriolesAug 22
  • L3-5at Baltimore OriolesAug 21
  • L1-5vs Toronto Blue JaysAug 20
  • W7-6vs Toronto Blue JaysAug 19
  • L5-10vs Toronto Blue JaysAug 18

San Diego Padres

Last 10: 4-6Streak L33.3 scored · 3.4 allowed per game2-4 away

  • L4-9at Tampa Bay RaysAug 28
  • L0-1vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 26
  • L2-3vs Pittsburgh PiratesAug 25
  • W7-5vs Minnesota TwinsAug 23
  • W6-2vs Minnesota TwinsAug 22
  • L2-4at New York MetsAug 19
  • W5-2at New York MetsAug 18
  • L1-2at New York MetsAug 17
  • W5-0at Cleveland GuardiansAug 16
  • L1-6at Cleveland GuardiansAug 15

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Los Angeles-57W1.59383
Arizona9.567W1.52574
San Diego1067L2.52173
San Francisco25.583L1.41158
Colorado2986W2.38654
Tampa Bay-57L2.59383
New York360W2.57180
Boston7.565W1.53976
Toronto13.571W2.49670
Baltimore14.572L3.48969

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning0-1Hicks singled to center, Díaz scored.
  2. 3rd Inning1-1Cronenworth doubled to center, Harris scored.
  3. 3rd Inning1-2Aranda homered to center (453 feet).
  4. 6th Inning3-2France homered to right (351 feet), Machado scored.
  5. 6th Inning3-3Caminero homered to center (426 feet).
  6. 7th Inning5-3Machado singled to right, Harris scored and Rengifo scored, Tatis Jr. to third.
  7. 7th Inning6-3Tatis Jr. stole home, Machado stole second.
  8. 7th Inning6-3Tatis Jr. stole home, Machado stole second.
  9. 7th Inning6-6Díaz singled to center, Palacios scored and Walls scored on error, Díaz to third, Mullins to third, Mullins scored on throwing error by second baseman Rengifo.
  10. 7th Inning6-7Simpson singled to left, Mateo scored, Caminero to second.

Win probability

Above the line favours Tampa Bay Rays, below favours San Diego Padres.

Venue

  • Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, Florida
  • Attendance25621
  • OfficialsJansen Visconti, Tyler Jones, Cory Blaser, Andy Fletcher

Elsewhere

Picks for MLB

MLB rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.