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NHL · Final

Buffalo Sabres Edge Out Tampa Bay Lightning in High-Scoring Affair

Sunday, March 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET · KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 8, Tampa Bay Lightning 7, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres?

Buffalo Sabres beat Tampa Bay Lightning 8-7 at KeyBank Center on March 8, 2026.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.

In a thrilling contest at KeyBank Center, the Buffalo Sabres defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning with a final score of 8-7. This match was notable not only for its high score but also for the intense back-and-forth nature of the game, which saw both teams exchanging leads multiple times. The victory allowed the Sabres to extend their lead in the season series against the Lightning to 3-1, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure in a tightly contested matchup.

The Buffalo Sabres entered this game with a home record of 39-19-6, while the Lightning had a similar away record of 39-19-4. Buffalo's recent form has been impressive, as they have won six consecutive games, scoring an average of 4.0 goals per game while allowing only 1.8. Their last ten games reflect a strong record of 7-3, with their last victory coming against the Nashville Predators, where they won 3-2. In contrast, the Lightning have struggled recently, losing their last four games and posting a record of 6-4 in their last ten. They averaged 3.4 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed during that stretch, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

At home, the Sabres have maintained a solid record of 2-2 in their last four games, while the Lightning have struggled significantly on the road, with an away record of 0-3 in their last three outings. This trend was evident in their previous meeting on March 1, 2026, where the Sabres dominated with a 6-2 victory in Tampa. The historical context of their matchups shows that the Sabres have had the upper hand recently, winning three out of the last five encounters, further boosting their confidence heading into this game.

In terms of injuries, the Sabres were missing Justin Danforth and Jiri Kulich, both on injured reserve, as well as Noah Ostlund, who was out with a lower body injury. The Lightning also faced challenges with Pontus Holmberg out due to a collarbone injury. These absences may have affected both teams' strategies and lineups, contributing to the high-scoring nature of the game.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of the matchup, with DraftKings listing the Lightning as slight favorites at -115 on the money line, while the Sabres were priced at -105. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game, indicating expectations for a relatively high-scoring affair.

Conditions at KeyBank Center were favorable for hockey, with a lively atmosphere as both teams battled for crucial points in the playoff race. The excitement was palpable, and fans were treated to an exhilarating display of skill and determination from both sides.

As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a series of remarkable scoring plays that kept the tension high. Notable moments included J.J. Moser's second-period goal that tied the game at 4-4, followed by Nikita Kucherov's goal in the third period that briefly gave the Lightning a 5-4 lead. However, the Sabres responded quickly, with Sam Carrick and Rasmus Dahlin finding the back of the net to keep the game competitive.

Ultimately, it was Josh Doan's goal that sealed the victory for the Sabres, bringing the final score to 8-7. The back-and-forth nature of the scoring, with both teams showcasing their offensive prowess, made for an unforgettable match that will be remembered by fans of both franchises. The Sabres' ability to capitalize on their home advantage and their recent form will be key factors as they continue their push for the playoffs.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -115 6.5 o -110 / u -110 Tampa Bay Lightning -115 · Buffalo Sabres -105

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Justin DanforthInjured ReserveKneecapBuffalo Sabres
  • Jiri KulichInjured ReserveEarBuffalo Sabres
  • Noah OstlundOutLower BodyBuffalo Sabres
  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning

Leaders

  • GoalsJason Zucker2Buffalo Sabres
  • AssistsTage Thompson4Buffalo Sabres
  • PointsTage Thompson4Buffalo Sabres
  • GoalsNikita Kucherov2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsJ.J. Moser2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsNikita Kucherov3Tampa Bay Lightning

Recent form

Buffalo Sabres

Last 10: 7-3Streak W63.4 scored · 2.6 allowed per game2-2 at home

  • W3-2vs Nashville PredatorsMar 7
  • W5-1at Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 6
  • W3-2vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 4
  • W6-2at Tampa Bay LightningMar 1
  • W3-2at Florida PanthersFeb 28
  • W2-1at New Jersey DevilsFeb 26
  • L2-5vs Pittsburgh PenguinsFeb 6
  • L3-4at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 4
  • W5-3at Florida PanthersFeb 3
  • L2-4vs Montreal CanadiensFeb 1

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 6-4Streak L43.4 scored · 3.2 allowed per game0-3 away

  • L1-4at Winnipeg JetsMar 6
  • L1-5at Minnesota WildMar 4
  • L2-6vs Buffalo SabresMar 1
  • L4-5at Carolina HurricanesFeb 27
  • W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
  • W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
  • W6-5vs Boston BruinsFeb 1
  • W4-1vs Winnipeg JetsJan 30
  • W2-0vs Utah MammothJan 27

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatTampa Bay LightningBuffalo Sabres
Blocked shots615
Hits4027
Takeaways25
Shots total2842
Power play goals14
Power play opportunities27
Power play pct50.057.1
Short handed goals01
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won3232
Faceoff percent50.050.0
Giveaways1117
Penalties1711
Penalty minutes5745

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Josh Doan Goal (20) Wrist Shot, assists: Tage Thompson (33), Bowen Byram (23)
  2. 2nd0-2Jason Zucker Goal (18) Snap Shot, assists: Rasmus Dahlin (43), Tage Thompson (34)
  3. 2nd0-3Alex Tuch Goal (26) Tip-In, assists: Tage Thompson (35), Noah Ostlund (14)
  4. 2nd1-3Corey Perry Goal (13) Backhand, assists: Nikita Kucherov (69), Darren Raddysh (39)
  5. 2nd1-4Alex Tuch Goal (27) Backhand, assists: Bowen Byram (24)
  6. 2nd2-4Nikita Kucherov Goal (33) Wrist Shot, assists: Darren Raddysh (40)
  7. 2nd3-4Zemgus Girgensons Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Yanni Gourde (16), J.J. Moser (16)
  8. 2nd4-4J.J. Moser Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Conor Geekie (2)
  9. 3rd5-4Nikita Kucherov Goal (34) Snap Shot, assists: Brandon Hagel (29), J.J. Moser (17)
  10. 3rd6-4Brayden Point Goal (16) , assists: none
  11. 3rd6-5Sam Carrick Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Zach Benson (21), Michael Kesselring (2)
  12. 3rd7-5Brandon Hagel Goal (30) Wrist Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (23), Darren Raddysh (41)
  13. 3rd7-6Rasmus Dahlin Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Tage Thompson (36), Bowen Byram (25)
  14. 3rd7-7Jason Zucker Goal (19) Backhand, assists: Ryan McLeod (33)
  15. 3rd7-8Josh Doan Goal (21) Wrist Shot, assists: Jason Zucker (15), Rasmus Dahlin (44)

Venue

  • KeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY
  • Attendance19070
  • OfficialsEric Furlatt, Brian Pochmara, Ryan Daisy, Jeremy Faucher

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.