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NHL · Final

Hurricanes Edge Lightning in Thrilling 5-4 Victory

Thursday, February 26, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes?

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4 at Lenovo Center on February 26, 2026.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes?

Carolina Hurricanes were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -148 (about 60% implied). The favorite won.

In a closely contested matchup, the Carolina Hurricanes triumphed over the Tampa Bay Lightning with a final score of 5-4 at the Lenovo Center. This victory allowed the Hurricanes to take a 2-1 lead in their current series, which is now tied 1-1 in the overall season meetings. The game was a showcase of offensive prowess, with both teams exchanging leads and showcasing their scoring capabilities.

The Hurricanes have been in strong form at home, holding a record of 37 wins, 15 losses, and 6 overtime losses this season. They have won 8 of their last 10 games, currently riding a three-game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have averaged 3.9 goals scored per game while allowing only 2.1. Their recent home performances have been particularly impressive, with a home record of 5-1 in their last six games.

On the other hand, the Lightning have also been performing well, boasting an away record of 38 wins, 15 losses, and 4 overtime losses. They have won 9 of their last 10 games, with a notable six-game winning streak leading into this matchup. Tampa Bay's scoring average during this period is 4.1 goals per game, while they have allowed an average of 2.3 goals.

In terms of previous meetings, the Hurricanes had faced the Lightning five times in the current season, with a record of 1 win, 3 losses, and 1 tie. Their last encounter prior to this game was on December 21, 2025, where the Hurricanes lost 4-6. However, they had previously secured a victory against Tampa Bay on March 11, 2025, winning 4-1 in their home arena.

The injury report for this game included key players for both teams. The Hurricanes were without Eric Robinson due to a knee injury and Seth Jarvis, who was sidelined with a shoulder injury. The Lightning also faced a setback with Pontus Holmberg out due to a collarbone injury. The absence of these players could have impacted the strategies employed by both teams.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Hurricanes favored at -148 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds for the over were listed at 102.0, while the under was at -122. This indicates that the market anticipated a competitive game with a decent scoring output.

The game conditions were conducive to an exciting matchup, and the action unfolded with a flurry of goals. The Hurricanes struck first with Logan Stankoven scoring in the first period, followed by Taylor Hall, giving them an early 3-0 lead. However, the Lightning responded with goals from Brandon Hagel and Nikita Kucherov, narrowing the gap to 3-2.

The second period saw continued back-and-forth scoring, with Dominic James tying the game for Tampa Bay at 3-3. The Hurricanes regained the lead with a goal from Seth Jarvis, but Brayden Point quickly equalized for the Lightning, making it 4-4. The final period brought a decisive moment as Sebastian Aho scored the game-winner for the Hurricanes, sealing the 5-4 victory.

This matchup highlighted the offensive talents of both teams, with notable performances from players like Stankoven, Hall, and Aho for the Hurricanes, and Kucherov and Point for the Lightning. The game was a testament to the intensity and competitiveness of the NHL, as both teams battled hard for crucial points in the standings.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCAR -148 6.5 o +102 / u -122 Tampa Bay Lightning +124 · Carolina Hurricanes -148

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Eric RobinsonOutKneeCarolina Hurricanes
  • Seth JarvisOutShoulderCarolina Hurricanes
  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning

Leaders

  • GoalsTaylor Hall1Carolina Hurricanes
  • AssistsAndrei Svechnikov2Carolina Hurricanes
  • PointsTaylor Hall2Carolina Hurricanes
  • GoalsBrayden Point1Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsJake Guentzel3Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsJake Guentzel3Tampa Bay Lightning

Recent form

Carolina Hurricanes

Last 10: 8-2Streak W33.9 scored · 2.1 allowed per game5-1 at home

  • W2-0at New York RangersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Ottawa SenatorsFeb 4
  • W3-2vs Los Angeles KingsFeb 1
  • L3-4at Washington CapitalsJan 31
  • W5-4vs Utah MammothJan 30
  • W4-1at Ottawa SenatorsJan 25
  • L3-4vs Chicago BlackhawksJan 23
  • W2-1vs Buffalo SabresJan 19
  • W4-1at New Jersey DevilsJan 18
  • W9-1vs Florida PanthersJan 17

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 9-1Streak W64.1 scored · 2.3 allowed per game2-1 away

  • W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
  • W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
  • W6-5vs Boston BruinsFeb 1
  • W4-1vs Winnipeg JetsJan 30
  • W2-0vs Utah MammothJan 27
  • L5-8at Columbus Blue JacketsJan 25
  • W2-1at Chicago BlackhawksJan 24
  • W4-1vs San Jose SharksJan 21
  • W4-1at Dallas StarsJan 18

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832
Carolina72211353
Pittsburgh16259841
Philadelphia12279843
Washington9309543
Columbus12309240
NY Islanders5349143
New Jersey3378742
NY Rangers9397734

Box score

StatTampa Bay LightningCarolina Hurricanes
Blocked shots2016
Hits1523
Takeaways67
Shots total2833
Power play goals11
Power play opportunities22
Power play pct50.050.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won3629
Faceoff percent55.444.6
Giveaways2020
Penalties22
Penalty minutes44

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (15) Snap Shot, assists: K'Andre Miller (20), Jordan Martinook (12)
  2. 1st0-2Logan Stankoven Goal (11) Snap Shot, assists: Taylor Hall (16), Jalen Chatfield (13)
  3. 1st0-3Taylor Hall Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (18), Logan Stankoven (16)
  4. 1st1-3Brandon Hagel Goal (28) Snap Shot, assists: Scott Sabourin (3), Jake Guentzel (35)
  5. 1st2-3Nikita Kucherov Goal (31) Snap Shot, assists: Brayden Point (21), J.J. Moser (15)
  6. 2nd3-3Dominic James Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Jake Guentzel (36), Ryan McDonagh (7)
  7. 2nd3-4Seth Jarvis Goal (26) Wrist Shot, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (29), Mark Jankowski (9)
  8. 2nd4-4Brayden Point Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Jake Guentzel (37), Darren Raddysh (36)
  9. 3rd4-5Sebastian Aho Goal (21) Slap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (19), Andrei Svechnikov (30)

Venue

  • Lenovo CenterRaleigh, NC
  • Attendance18565
  • OfficialsMark Shewchyk, Tommy Hughes, Kendrick Nicholson, Brandon Blandina

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.