Avalanche Triumph Over Lightning 6-3 at Home
Friday, October 23, 2026, 9:00 PM ET · Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche?
Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3 at Ball Arena on October 23, 2026.
Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche?
Colorado Avalanche were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -122 (about 55% implied). The favorite won.
The Colorado Avalanche secured a decisive 6-3 victory against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Ball Arena, marking their second consecutive win in the current season. This matchup was notable as it was the second meeting of the season between these two teams, with Colorado now leading the series 1-0 after winning their previous encounter on November 5, 2025, with a score of 3-2.
In terms of recent form, Colorado came into this game with a record of 6-4-1, while Tampa Bay had a stronger away record of 7-3-0. The Avalanche had struggled recently, losing their last two games prior to this match, and had a home record of 3-2 in their last five games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and allowing 2.8. In contrast, the Lightning were riding a three-game winning streak, boasting an average of 4.0 goals scored and 2.8 goals allowed in their last five outings. Tampa Bay's away record stood at 2-2, which highlighted their mixed performance on the road.
The scoring in this game was lively, with the Avalanche jumping to an early lead. Nazem Kadri opened the scoring in the first period with a goal assisted by T.J. Hughes and Nathan MacKinnon, putting Colorado up 2-0. The second period saw Fedor Svechkov extend the lead to 3-0 before Jake Guentzel of Tampa Bay managed to score, bringing the score to 3-1. Colorado responded quickly with another goal from Artturi Lehkonen, making it 4-1. Guentzel struck again for the Lightning, narrowing the gap to 4-2. However, Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas added two more goals for Colorado in the third period, solidifying their lead at 6-3, despite Charle-Edouard D'Astous scoring for Tampa Bay late in the game.
Injury concerns for both teams were present, with the Avalanche missing Zachary L'Heureux and Georgii Merkulov, both on Injured Reserve, and Nicolas Roy ruled out due to a lower body injury. The Lightning were without Yanni Gourde, also on Injured Reserve due to a hip injury. These absences could have influenced the match dynamics, particularly for Colorado, who had to adjust their lineup accordingly.
The betting odds from DraftKings reflected Colorado's home advantage, pricing them at -122 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5 goals. The over was priced at -102.0 and the under at -118.0, indicating a competitive matchup expected by the market.
The conditions at Ball Arena were conducive to a high-scoring affair, and viewers were treated to an engaging game filled with offensive plays and strategic adjustments. The Avalanche's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities was evident, as they managed to convert on several key chances. Fans were particularly focused on the performances of star players like Nathan MacKinnon and Artturi Lehkonen, who both had significant contributions to the scoreboard.
Overall, the game showcased the Avalanche's resilience and offensive prowess, while the Lightning will look to regroup after this defeat as they continue their season.
What we said beforehand
The Colorado Avalanche will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Ball Arena on October 24, 2026. This matchup is intriguing as both teams have shown contrasting forms early in the season, with the Avalanche holding a home record of 5-4-1 and the Lightning boasting an impressive away record of 7-2-0.
In their last five games, the Avalanche have struggled, recording two wins and three losses. Their recent results include a win against the Dallas Stars (3-2) and a loss to the New Jersey Devils (4-3). Overall, Colorado has averaged 3.0 goals scored and 2.8 goals allowed in their last five games. In contrast, the Lightning are riding a three-game winning streak, with their latest victory coming against the Vegas Golden Knights (6-2). Tampa Bay has averaged 4.0 goals scored and 2.8 goals allowed in their last five games, indicating a potent offense.
When considering their home and away performances, the Avalanche have a home record of 3-2 in their last five games, while the Lightning have a solid away record of 5-1 in their last six games. The Avalanche's scoring average at home is 4.1 goals, while they allow an average of 3.1 goals. The Lightning, when playing away, have averaged 3.3 goals scored and 2.7 goals allowed.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the series is currently tied at 1-1 for the 2026 season. The Avalanche won their last meeting on November 5, 2025, with a score of 3-2, while the Lightning secured a victory earlier in the season on January 7, 2026, winning 4-2.
Injuries may play a significant role in this matchup. The Avalanche will be without Zachary L'Heureux and Georgii Merkulov, both on injured reserve, and Nicolas Roy is also out with a lower body injury. The Lightning will miss Yanni Gourde, who is on injured reserve due to a hip injury. The absence of these players could impact both teams' strategies and depth.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, lists the Avalanche as favorites with a money line of -122 and a spread of -1.5. The total for the game is set at 6.5, with odds of -102 for the over and -118 for the under. This reflects the expectation of a competitive game with potential for scoring given both teams' recent offensive outputs.
Conditions for the game are expected to be standard for a hockey matchup, with no specific weather concerns reported. Fans should watch for key players such as Nathan MacKinnon, who leads the Avalanche with 10 assists and 16 points, and Nikita Kucherov for the Lightning, who has 9 assists and 13 points. The performance of these players could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this exciting NHL clash.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | COL -122 | 6.5 o -102 / u -118 | Tampa Bay Lightning +102 · Colorado Avalanche -122 |
Injury report
- Zachary L'HeureuxInjured ReserveUpper BodyColorado Avalanche
- Nicolas RoyOutLower BodyColorado Avalanche
- Georgii MerkulovInjured ReserveUndisclosedColorado Avalanche
- Yanni GourdeInjured ReserveHipTampa Bay Lightning
Leaders
- GoalsNathan MacKinnon1Colorado Avalanche
- AssistsNathan MacKinnon3Colorado Avalanche
- PointsNathan MacKinnon4Colorado Avalanche
- GoalsJake Guentzel2Tampa Bay Lightning
- AssistsBrayden Point2Tampa Bay Lightning
- PointsJake Guentzel2Tampa Bay Lightning
Recent form
Colorado Avalanche
Last 10: 5-5Streak L24.1 scored · 3.1 allowed per game3-2 at home
- L3-4at New Jersey DevilsOct 20
- L2-3at Philadelphia FlyersOct 19
- W5-2vs Pittsburgh PenguinsOct 17
- L2-3vs Dallas StarsOct 15
- W3-2at Dallas StarsOct 14
- L3-6vs Toronto Maple LeafsOct 10
- W7-3at Calgary FlamesOct 9
- L2-3at Winnipeg JetsOct 7
- W6-1vs St. Louis BluesOct 4
- W8-4vs Los Angeles KingsOct 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last 10: 7-3Streak W33.3 scored · 2.7 allowed per game2-2 away
- W6-2at Vegas Golden KnightsOct 21
- W4-2vs Vancouver CanucksOct 17
- W4-3vs Seattle KrakenOct 15
- L1-4at New York RangersOct 13
- W5-3at New York IslandersOct 10
- W3-2vs Minnesota WildOct 8
- W4-1vs Philadelphia FlyersOct 5
- W3-1vs Washington CapitalsOct 3
- L1-5at New York RangersOct 1
- L2-4vs New York RangersApr 15
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 |
| Tampa Bay | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 |
| Ottawa | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 |
| Toronto | 2 | 4 | 14 | 6 |
| Montreal | 2 | 3 | 12 | 5 |
| Florida | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| Detroit | 3 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| Buffalo | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| Utah | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 |
| Minnesota | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 |
| Dallas | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 |
| Colorado | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 |
| St. Louis | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| Winnipeg | 3 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| Nashville | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Chicago | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Box score
| Stat | Tampa Bay Lightning | Colorado Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 12 | 20 |
| Hits | 30 | 16 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 7 |
| Shots total | 34 | 24 |
| Power play goals | 1 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 5 | 3 |
| Power play pct | 20.0 | 33.3 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 38 | 26 |
| Faceoff percent | 59.4 | 40.6 |
| Giveaways | 18 | 16 |
| Penalties | 4 | 7 |
| Penalty minutes | 8 | 14 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Devon Toews Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Martin Necas (7), Nathan MacKinnon (11)
- 1st0-2Nazem Kadri Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: T.J. Hughes (2), Nathan MacKinnon (12)
- 2nd0-3Fedor Svechkov Goal (2) Batted, assists: Jaden Schwartz (4)
- 2nd1-3Jake Guentzel Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: Charle-Edouard D'Astous (3), Brayden Point (6)
- 2nd1-4Artturi Lehkonen Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (13), Devon Toews (6)
- 2nd2-4Jake Guentzel Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Brayden Point (7), Brandon Hagel (6)
- 3rd2-5Nathan MacKinnon Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Artturi Lehkonen (4), Martin Necas (8)
- 3rd3-5Charle-Edouard D'Astous Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Gage Goncalves (1), Max Crozier (3)
- 3rd3-6Martin Necas Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Gabriel Landeskog (3)
Venue
- Ball ArenaDenver, CO
- Attendance18104
- OfficialsDan Kelly, Cody Beach, Jon McIsaac, Tyson Baker
Elsewhere
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