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NHL · Final

Tampa Bay Lightning Defeat Florida Panthers 4-2

Saturday, December 27, 2025, 7:00 PM ET · Amerant Bank Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Florida Panthers 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers?

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 4-2 at Amerant Bank Arena on December 27, 2025.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The favorite won.

The Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-2 victory over the Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena on December 28, 2025. This win not only adds to Tampa Bay's lead in their season series against Florida, now standing at 3-1, but also marks a significant moment for both teams as they navigate their respective seasons.

In the lead-up to this matchup, the Florida Panthers had been performing well at home, boasting a record of 8-2 over their last ten games, with an average of 4.0 goals scored per game and 3.1 allowed. They entered this game on a one-game winning streak, having recently defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. However, the Panthers were hampered by injuries, missing key players such as Brad Marchand, Radko Gudas, Jacob Markstrom, Carter Verhaeghe, and Sam Bennett, all of whom were sidelined due to various injuries.

On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Lightning had a more mixed record, going 4-6 in their last ten games, but they were on a two-game winning streak prior to this game. The Lightning averaged 3.2 goals scored and 2.8 allowed during that stretch. Their recent victories included a 4-1 win against the St. Louis Blues and a high-scoring 6-4 win against the Carolina Hurricanes. Despite their struggles, they managed to capitalize on their chances against the Panthers.

The game started with Eetu Luostarinen scoring for the Panthers, giving them an early lead. However, the Lightning quickly responded with goals from Jake Guentzel and Pontus Holmberg, taking a 2-1 lead by the end of the first period. Nikita Kucherov extended the Lightning's lead to 3-1 in the second period, although the Panthers fought back with a goal from Brad Marchand. Kucherov's second goal in the third period sealed the game for Tampa Bay, bringing the final score to 4-2.

The Lightning's ability to score in critical moments, particularly through Kucherov, proved decisive. Kucherov's two goals and an assist showcased his offensive prowess, while Guentzel and Holmberg also contributed significantly to the team's success. The Panthers, despite their efforts, could not overcome the deficit created by Tampa Bay's scoring.

In terms of betting, DraftKings had the Lightning favored at -118, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 5.5. This reflects the competitive nature of the matchup, as both teams have shown they can score and defend effectively, albeit with varying success rates.

Conditions for the game were favorable, with the venue at Amerant Bank Arena providing a solid backdrop for this rivalry. Fans witnessed a spirited contest, underscored by the intensity typical of a matchup between these two teams.

Overall, this game highlighted the Lightning's resilience and ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, while the Panthers will need to regroup and address their injury issues as they look to improve their standing in the league.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -118 5.5 o -118 / u -102 Tampa Bay Lightning -118 · Florida Panthers -102

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Brad MarchandInjured ReserveLower BodyFlorida Panthers
  • Radko GudasOutAnkleFlorida Panthers
  • Jacob MarkstromOutUndisclosedFlorida Panthers
  • Carter VerhaegheOutLower BodyFlorida Panthers
  • Sam BennettOutLower BodyFlorida Panthers
  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning

Leaders

  • GoalsEetu Luostarinen1Florida Panthers
  • AssistsSam Reinhart1Florida Panthers
  • PointsBrad Marchand1Florida Panthers
  • GoalsNikita Kucherov2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsAnthony Cirelli2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsNikita Kucherov2Tampa Bay Lightning

Recent form

Florida Panthers

Last 10: 8-2Streak W14 scored · 3.1 allowed per game4-1 at home

  • W5-2at Carolina HurricanesDec 24
  • L2-6vs St. Louis BluesDec 20
  • W4-3vs Carolina HurricanesDec 20
  • W3-2vs Los Angeles KingsDec 18
  • W5-2at Tampa Bay LightningDec 16
  • W4-0at Dallas StarsDec 14
  • L2-6at Colorado AvalancheDec 12
  • W4-3at Utah MammothDec 11
  • W4-1vs New York IslandersDec 7
  • W7-6vs Columbus Blue JacketsDec 6

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 4-6Streak W23.2 scored · 2.8 allowed per game2-2 away

  • W4-1vs St. Louis BluesDec 23
  • W6-4vs Carolina HurricanesDec 21
  • L1-2vs Los Angeles KingsDec 19
  • L2-5vs Florida PanthersDec 16
  • L2-3at New York IslandersDec 13
  • W8-4at New Jersey DevilsDec 12
  • W6-1at Montreal CanadiensDec 10
  • L0-2at Toronto Maple LeafsDec 9
  • L0-2vs New York IslandersDec 7
  • L3-4vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 5

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatTampa Bay LightningFlorida Panthers
Blocked shots179
Hits3227
Takeaways53
Shots total2526
Power play goals01
Power play opportunities610
Power play pct0.010.0
Short handed goals10
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2426
Faceoff percent48.052.0
Giveaways1010
Penalties2619
Penalty minutes8749

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Eetu Luostarinen Goal (4) Backhand, assists: Mackie Samoskevich (14), Evan Rodrigues (11)
  2. 1st1-1Jake Guentzel Goal (18) Snap Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (11), Max Crozier (6)
  3. 1st2-1Pontus Holmberg Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: Yanni Gourde (8), Declan Carlile (2)
  4. 2nd3-1Nikita Kucherov Goal (14) Backhand, assists: Brayden Point (14), Gage Goncalves (6)
  5. 2nd3-2Brad Marchand Goal (21) Snap Shot, assists: Sam Bennett (14), Sam Reinhart (20)
  6. 3rd4-2Nikita Kucherov Goal (15) Backhand, assists: Anthony Cirelli (12)

Venue

  • Amerant Bank ArenaSunrise, FL
  • Attendance19651
  • OfficialsKelly Sutherland, David Brisebois, Wes McCauley, James Tobias

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.