Minnesota Wild Defeat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1
Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET · Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?
Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1 at Grand Casino Arena on March 3, 2026.
Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?
Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The underdog won.
In a decisive victory, the Minnesota Wild triumphed over the Tampa Bay Lightning with a score of 5-1 at the Grand Casino Arena. This win marks the Wild's second consecutive victory over the Lightning this season, having previously won their first meeting 4-2 on October 24, 2025. The Wild now lead the season series 2-0 against Tampa Bay.
The Wild entered the game with a home record of 36-16-10, while the Lightning boasted an away record of 38-17-4. Both teams had recently experienced some challenges, with the Wild losing their last two games prior to this matchup. Over their last ten games, the Wild recorded a 7-3 record, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed per game. However, they were struggling at home with a recent record of 4-2.
On the other hand, the Lightning also faced difficulties, having lost their last two games as well. Their recent form showed a 7-3 record over the last ten games, with an average of 3.9 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed. Their away performance, however, had been less impressive, with a record of 1-2 in their last three away games.
In terms of injuries, the Wild were significantly affected, missing key players such as Zach Bogosian (lower body), Filip Gustavsson (hip), Jonas Brodin (foot), and Joel Eriksson Ek (heel). The Lightning were also missing Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury.
The market had set the odds for this matchup with Tampa Bay as the favorite at -142 according to DraftKings, while Minnesota was priced at +120. The total for the game was set at 6.5, with the over at +105 and the under at -125. The spread was listed at 1.5.
The game conditions were conducive to an exciting matchup, and the scoring plays reflected that. Brock Faber opened the scoring for the Wild in the first period with a snap shot, assisted by Marcus Johansson and Matt Boldy. The second period saw Mats Zuccarello extend the lead with a wrist shot, followed by a response from Nikita Kucherov of the Lightning, who scored with a wrist shot to bring the score to 2-1. However, Yakov Trenin quickly restored the Wild's two-goal advantage with another wrist shot.
The third period featured additional goals from Quinn Hughes and Kirill Kaprizov, sealing the victory for the Wild at 5-1. The Wild's offensive display showcased their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, while the Lightning struggled to contain their attacks.
Overall, this game highlighted the Wild's resilience and offensive prowess, especially given their recent struggles, while the Lightning will need to regroup and address their defensive issues moving forward.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TB -142 | 6.5 o +105 / u -125 | Tampa Bay Lightning -142 · Minnesota Wild +120 |
Injury report
- Zach BogosianOutLower BodyMinnesota Wild
- Filip GustavssonOutHipMinnesota Wild
- Jonas BrodinOutFootMinnesota Wild
- Joel Eriksson EkOutHeelMinnesota Wild
- Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning
Leaders
- GoalsBrock Faber1Minnesota Wild
- AssistsMatt Boldy3Minnesota Wild
- PointsMatt Boldy3Minnesota Wild
- GoalsNikita Kucherov1Tampa Bay Lightning
- AssistsJake Guentzel1Tampa Bay Lightning
- PointsNikita Kucherov1Tampa Bay Lightning
Recent form
Minnesota Wild
Last 10: 7-3Streak L24 scored · 3.2 allowed per game4-2 at home
- L1-3vs St. Louis BluesMar 1
- L2-5at Utah MammothFeb 28
- W5-2at Colorado AvalancheFeb 27
- W6-5at Nashville PredatorsFeb 5
- W4-3vs Montreal CanadiensFeb 3
- W7-3at Edmonton OilersFeb 1
- W4-1vs Calgary FlamesJan 30
- W4-3vs Chicago BlackhawksJan 28
- L3-4vs Florida PanthersJan 25
- W4-3vs Detroit Red WingsJan 23
Tampa Bay Lightning
Last 10: 7-3Streak L23.9 scored · 3.2 allowed per game1-2 away
- L2-6vs Buffalo SabresMar 1
- L4-5at Carolina HurricanesFeb 27
- W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
- W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
- W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
- W6-5vs Boston BruinsFeb 1
- W4-1vs Winnipeg JetsJan 30
- W2-0vs Utah MammothJan 27
- L5-8at Columbus Blue JacketsJan 25
- W2-1at Chicago BlackhawksJan 24
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
| Colorado | 11 | 16 | 121 | 55 |
| Dallas | 12 | 20 | 112 | 50 |
| Minnesota | 12 | 24 | 104 | 46 |
| Utah | 6 | 33 | 92 | 43 |
| St. Louis | 12 | 33 | 86 | 37 |
| Nashville | 10 | 34 | 86 | 38 |
| Winnipeg | 12 | 35 | 82 | 35 |
| Chicago | 14 | 39 | 72 | 29 |
Box score
| Stat | Tampa Bay Lightning | Minnesota Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 13 | 16 |
| Hits | 25 | 22 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 4 |
| Shots total | 25 | 22 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 3 | 5 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 20.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 25 | 27 |
| Faceoff percent | 48.1 | 51.9 |
| Giveaways | 9 | 11 |
| Penalties | 6 | 4 |
| Penalty minutes | 20 | 8 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Brock Faber Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Marcus Johansson (26), Matt Boldy (35)
- 2nd0-2Mats Zuccarello Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Quinn Hughes (55), Matt Boldy (36)
- 2nd1-2Nikita Kucherov Goal (32) Wrist Shot, assists: Brayden Point (22), Jake Guentzel (38)
- 2nd1-3Yakov Trenin Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Mats Zuccarello (26)
- 3rd1-4Quinn Hughes Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: none
- 3rd1-5Kirill Kaprizov Goal (35) Backhand, assists: Brock Faber (26), Matt Boldy (37)
Venue
- Grand Casino ArenaSaint Paul, MN
- Attendance18101
- OfficialsChris Lee, Jean Hebert, Shandor Alphonso, Tyson Baker
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