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NHL · Final

Minnesota Wild Defeat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1

Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET · Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1 at Grand Casino Arena on March 3, 2026.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The underdog won.

In a decisive victory, the Minnesota Wild triumphed over the Tampa Bay Lightning with a score of 5-1 at the Grand Casino Arena. This win marks the Wild's second consecutive victory over the Lightning this season, having previously won their first meeting 4-2 on October 24, 2025. The Wild now lead the season series 2-0 against Tampa Bay.

The Wild entered the game with a home record of 36-16-10, while the Lightning boasted an away record of 38-17-4. Both teams had recently experienced some challenges, with the Wild losing their last two games prior to this matchup. Over their last ten games, the Wild recorded a 7-3 record, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed per game. However, they were struggling at home with a recent record of 4-2.

On the other hand, the Lightning also faced difficulties, having lost their last two games as well. Their recent form showed a 7-3 record over the last ten games, with an average of 3.9 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed. Their away performance, however, had been less impressive, with a record of 1-2 in their last three away games.

In terms of injuries, the Wild were significantly affected, missing key players such as Zach Bogosian (lower body), Filip Gustavsson (hip), Jonas Brodin (foot), and Joel Eriksson Ek (heel). The Lightning were also missing Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury.

The market had set the odds for this matchup with Tampa Bay as the favorite at -142 according to DraftKings, while Minnesota was priced at +120. The total for the game was set at 6.5, with the over at +105 and the under at -125. The spread was listed at 1.5.

The game conditions were conducive to an exciting matchup, and the scoring plays reflected that. Brock Faber opened the scoring for the Wild in the first period with a snap shot, assisted by Marcus Johansson and Matt Boldy. The second period saw Mats Zuccarello extend the lead with a wrist shot, followed by a response from Nikita Kucherov of the Lightning, who scored with a wrist shot to bring the score to 2-1. However, Yakov Trenin quickly restored the Wild's two-goal advantage with another wrist shot.

The third period featured additional goals from Quinn Hughes and Kirill Kaprizov, sealing the victory for the Wild at 5-1. The Wild's offensive display showcased their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, while the Lightning struggled to contain their attacks.

Overall, this game highlighted the Wild's resilience and offensive prowess, especially given their recent struggles, while the Lightning will need to regroup and address their defensive issues moving forward.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -142 6.5 o +105 / u -125 Tampa Bay Lightning -142 · Minnesota Wild +120

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Zach BogosianOutLower BodyMinnesota Wild
  • Filip GustavssonOutHipMinnesota Wild
  • Jonas BrodinOutFootMinnesota Wild
  • Joel Eriksson EkOutHeelMinnesota Wild
  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning

Leaders

  • GoalsBrock Faber1Minnesota Wild
  • AssistsMatt Boldy3Minnesota Wild
  • PointsMatt Boldy3Minnesota Wild
  • GoalsNikita Kucherov1Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsJake Guentzel1Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsNikita Kucherov1Tampa Bay Lightning

Recent form

Minnesota Wild

Last 10: 7-3Streak L24 scored · 3.2 allowed per game4-2 at home

  • L1-3vs St. Louis BluesMar 1
  • L2-5at Utah MammothFeb 28
  • W5-2at Colorado AvalancheFeb 27
  • W6-5at Nashville PredatorsFeb 5
  • W4-3vs Montreal CanadiensFeb 3
  • W7-3at Edmonton OilersFeb 1
  • W4-1vs Calgary FlamesJan 30
  • W4-3vs Chicago BlackhawksJan 28
  • L3-4vs Florida PanthersJan 25
  • W4-3vs Detroit Red WingsJan 23

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 7-3Streak L23.9 scored · 3.2 allowed per game1-2 away

  • L2-6vs Buffalo SabresMar 1
  • L4-5at Carolina HurricanesFeb 27
  • W4-2vs Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 26
  • W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
  • W6-5vs Boston BruinsFeb 1
  • W4-1vs Winnipeg JetsJan 30
  • W2-0vs Utah MammothJan 27
  • L5-8at Columbus Blue JacketsJan 25
  • W2-1at Chicago BlackhawksJan 24

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832
Colorado111612155
Dallas122011250
Minnesota122410446
Utah6339243
St. Louis12338637
Nashville10348638
Winnipeg12358235
Chicago14397229

Box score

StatTampa Bay LightningMinnesota Wild
Blocked shots1316
Hits2522
Takeaways34
Shots total2522
Power play goals01
Power play opportunities35
Power play pct0.020.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2527
Faceoff percent48.151.9
Giveaways911
Penalties64
Penalty minutes208

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Brock Faber Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Marcus Johansson (26), Matt Boldy (35)
  2. 2nd0-2Mats Zuccarello Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Quinn Hughes (55), Matt Boldy (36)
  3. 2nd1-2Nikita Kucherov Goal (32) Wrist Shot, assists: Brayden Point (22), Jake Guentzel (38)
  4. 2nd1-3Yakov Trenin Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Mats Zuccarello (26)
  5. 3rd1-4Quinn Hughes Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: none
  6. 3rd1-5Kirill Kaprizov Goal (35) Backhand, assists: Brock Faber (26), Matt Boldy (37)

Venue

  • Grand Casino ArenaSaint Paul, MN
  • Attendance18101
  • OfficialsChris Lee, Jean Hebert, Shandor Alphonso, Tyson Baker

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.