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MLB · Final

Astros Secure Series Win Against Rays with 2-0 Victory

Sunday, July 5, 2026, 3:30 PM ET · Daikin Park

Houston Astros 2, Tampa Bay Rays 0, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros?

Houston Astros beat Tampa Bay Rays 2-0 at Daikin Park on July 5, 2026.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros?

Houston Astros were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Houston Astros triumphed over the Tampa Bay Rays with a final score of 2-0 at Daikin Park, securing a series victory of 2-1. This game was notable not just for the win, but for the Astros' ability to bounce back after recent struggles, particularly at home. The Astros, with a home record of 45-47, have faced challenges this season but demonstrated resilience in this game.

The Astros entered this game with a mixed recent form, having recorded a 6-4 record over their last ten games, but were on a two-game losing streak prior to this victory. They averaged 4.3 runs scored per game while allowing 4.8 runs. Their last five games showed a record of 2-3, with an average of 4.2 runs scored and 5.0 runs allowed. In contrast, the Rays had been on a remarkable run, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games and a nine-game winning streak leading into this matchup. The Rays averaged 6.0 runs scored and only allowed 2.8 runs during that stretch, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive strength.

When comparing home and away performances, the Astros struggled at home with a record of 1-3 in their last four games, while the Rays excelled on the road, holding a 4-0 record in their last four away games. This game was crucial for the Astros to regain some momentum, especially after losing the previous game against the Rays 1-3 just a day earlier.

Historically, the Astros and Rays have faced each other seven times in the current season and the previous one, with the Astros holding a slight edge with a record of 4-3 in those meetings. This included a recent loss to the Rays on July 4, 2026, where the Astros fell 1-3. However, the Astros managed to turn the tide in this game, demonstrating their ability to perform under pressure.

In terms of injuries, the Astros were dealing with several key players on the injured list, including Brice Matthews (60-Day-IL, knee), Mike Burrows (15-Day-IL, elbow), Carlos Correa (60-Day-IL, ankle), and Brandon Walter (60-Day-IL, elbow). The Rays also had notable absences, with Cole Sulser (15-Day-IL, back), Edwin Uceta (60-Day-IL, shoulder), Jake Fraley (60-Day-IL, groin), Jonathan Heasley (60-Day-IL, elbow), and Ben Williamson (10-Day-IL, hamstring) all sidelined. These injuries undoubtedly impacted both teams' lineups and strategies.

From a betting perspective, DraftKings had the Astros at -118 on the money line, while the Rays were listed at -102. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 9.0 runs for the game. The over was priced at -103.0 and the under at -117.0, indicating a competitive matchup as assessed by the market.

The weather conditions for the game were not detailed, but fans could expect typical summer conditions for a July evening in Houston, which often features warm temperatures and a chance of humidity affecting gameplay.

Key moments in the game included two home runs by the Astros, both contributing to their score. In the fourth inning, Walker hit a home run to right field, measuring 351 feet, giving the Astros a 1-0 lead. This was followed by Paredes, who homered to left center in the sixth inning, extending the lead to 2-0. The Astros' pitching staff managed to hold the Rays scoreless throughout the game, showcasing their defensive capabilities.

Overall, this victory was significant for the Astros as they not only secured a series win but also regained confidence after a tough stretch. The performance from both the offense and defense will be crucial as they look to build on this momentum moving forward.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsHOU -118 9 o -103 / u -117 Tampa Bay Rays -102 · Houston Astros -118

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
  • Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
  • Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
  • Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
  • Cole Sulser15-Day-ILBackTampa Bay Rays
  • Edwin Uceta60-Day-ILShoulderTampa Bay Rays
  • Jake Fraley60-Day-ILGroinTampa Bay Rays
  • Jonathan Heasley60-Day-ILElbowTampa Bay Rays
  • Ben Williamson10-Day-ILHamstringTampa Bay Rays

Recent form

Houston Astros

Last 10: 6-4Streak L24.3 scored · 4.8 allowed per game1-3 at home

  • L1-3vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 4
  • L3-8vs Minnesota TwinsJul 2
  • W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsJul 1
  • L4-5vs Minnesota TwinsJun 30
  • W7-5at Detroit TigersJun 28
  • W8-6at Detroit TigersJun 27
  • L0-8at Detroit TigersJun 26
  • W2-1at Detroit TigersJun 25
  • W3-1at Toronto Blue JaysJun 24
  • W9-7at Toronto Blue JaysJun 23

Tampa Bay Rays

Last 10: 9-1Streak W96 scored · 2.8 allowed per game4-0 away

  • W3-1at Houston AstrosJul 4
  • W5-2at Kansas City RoyalsJul 2
  • W4-0at Kansas City RoyalsJul 1
  • W10-4at Kansas City RoyalsJun 30
  • W5-1vs Arizona DiamondbacksJun 28
  • W4-2vs Arizona DiamondbacksJun 27
  • W6-1vs Arizona DiamondbacksJun 26
  • W13-2vs Kansas City RoyalsJun 25
  • W5-3vs Kansas City RoyalsJun 24
  • L5-12vs Kansas City RoyalsJun 23

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-56L1.59783
New York3.560W2.57180
Boston8.565L2.53675
Toronto14.571W1.49369
Baltimore14.571L2.49369
Houston-69W1.50771
Texas271L1.49369
Seattle574W2.47166
Athletics1786W1.38654
Los Angeles1887L2.37953

How the scoring went

  1. 4th Inning0-1Walker homered to right (351 feet).
  2. 6th Inning0-2Paredes homered to left center (401 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Houston Astros, below favours Tampa Bay Rays.

Venue

  • Daikin ParkHouston, Texas
  • Attendance29003
  • OfficialsCory Blaser, Jansen Visconti, Andy Fletcher, Alex Tosi

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.