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MLB · Final

Orioles Edge Blue Jays in Thrilling Finish

Monday, September 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles?

Baltimore Orioles beat Toronto Blue Jays 4-3 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 21, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles?

Baltimore Orioles were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -111 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Baltimore Orioles triumphed over the Toronto Blue Jays with a final score of 4-3 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The game was marked by a strong performance from the Orioles, who managed to come back from an early deficit to secure the win, extending their lead in the season series to 2-0 against the Blue Jays.

The game started with the Blue Jays taking an early lead in the first inning. They scored three runs, highlighted by a single from Lukes that brought Bateman home, followed by a run from Springer who scored on a single, and a sacrifice fly from Keys that allowed Lukes to cross the plate. However, the Orioles responded in the bottom of the first with a homer from Alonso, cutting the lead to 3-1.

As the game progressed, the Orioles continued to fight back. In the sixth inning, Henderson hit another homer, narrowing the gap to 3-2. The decisive moment came in the eighth inning when Alonso hit a two-run homer, bringing Franklin home and giving the Orioles a 4-3 lead, which they maintained until the end of the game.

Analyzing the recent form of both teams, the Orioles entered the game with a record of 76-81, having won only 5 of their last 10 games. They were on a three-game losing streak, averaging 4.1 runs scored and 4.1 runs allowed per game during this stretch. Their home record in the last 10 games stood at 1-3, while they performed better on the road with a 4-2 record.

Conversely, the Blue Jays had a record of 77-80, also winning 5 of their last 10 games, but they were coming off a victory against the Texas Rangers. They averaged 4.7 runs scored and allowed 4.5 runs in their recent games. Their away performance was balanced, with a record of 2-2 in the last 10 games.

In terms of injuries, the Orioles faced several challenges. Samuel Basallo was listed as day-to-day due to a head issue, while Blaze Alexander, Luis Robert Jr., Ryan Mountcastle, and Jackson Holliday were all on the injured list with various ailments. The Blue Jays were not without their own injury concerns, as Anthony Santander and Jonatan Clase were both on the 60-day injured list, and Luis Urias was on the 10-day injured list. Additionally, Brett Bateman and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. were both day-to-day, affecting their lineup depth.

The betting odds provided by DraftKings reflected a competitive matchup, with the Orioles at -111 on the money line and the Blue Jays at -109. The spread was set at 1.5, and the total runs were pegged at 7.5, showing that the market expected a close game.

Weather conditions were typical for a late September evening, which likely played a role in the game dynamics. Fans watching the game were treated to a display of power hitting, particularly from Alonso, who made a significant impact with his two home runs. The performance of both teams' bullpens was also crucial, as they worked to maintain the scoreline in a game that saw momentum shift multiple times.

This matchup not only highlighted the competitive nature of the American League East but also underscored the importance of each game as both teams look to finish the season strong. The Orioles' ability to come back from an early deficit and secure the win will be a confidence booster as they move forward.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards promises to be an intriguing contest, as the series is currently tied 1-1. Both teams are looking to gain an edge in this critical late-season encounter.

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game with a home record of 75-81, while the Toronto Blue Jays have a slightly better away record of 77-79. In their last five games, the Orioles have struggled, losing three consecutive matches against the Milwaukee Brewers, with scores of 0-3, 0-1, and 3-0. Prior to this losing streak, they secured two victories against the New York Mets, winning 7-5 in 11 innings and 7-1. This recent form shows the Orioles averaging 3.8 runs scored and 3.2 runs allowed in their last five games, with a home record of 1-3 over their last ten games.

In contrast, the Blue Jays have also had a mixed bag of results recently, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games. They most recently defeated the Texas Rangers 7-2, following a string of losses against the same team where they were outscored 1-7 and 6-2. The Blue Jays have averaged 4.7 runs scored and 4.5 runs allowed in their last five games, with a home record of 3-3 and an away record of 2-2.

Historically, the Orioles have faced challenges against the Blue Jays, with a head-to-head record of 9-13-1 in their last meetings. In their most recent encounters this season, the Orioles lost to the Blue Jays 1-8 and 3-7 before winning 7-4. This inconsistency adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming game.

Injuries could play a significant role in the outcome of this matchup. The Orioles will be without Blaze Alexander (10-Day IL, back), Ryan Mountcastle (60-Day IL, oblique), Luis Robert Jr. (10-Day IL, hamstring), Jackson Holliday (10-Day IL, wrist), and Tyler O'Neill (60-Day IL, shoulder). The Blue Jays have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. listed as day-to-day due to a back issue, along with Anthony Santander (60-Day IL, shoulder), Jonatan Clase (60-Day IL, foot), and Luis Urias (10-Day IL, quadriceps). Dylan Cease is also day-to-day with a shoulder issue, adding uncertainty to the Blue Jays' lineup.

The betting market reflects a competitive matchup, with DraftKings listing the odds at BAL -110 for the Orioles and -110 for the Blue Jays, indicating a balanced contest. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 7.5 runs, over odds at -105.0 and under odds at -114.0.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 68°F, a 68% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts reaching 13 mph. These factors could influence gameplay, particularly in terms of pitching and hitting.

Fans tuning in should watch for Pete Alonso, who leads the Orioles with a batting average of .264, 38 home runs, and 105 runs batted in. For the Blue Jays, Ernie Clement is leading with a batting average of .265, while Kazuma Okamoto has contributed 33 home runs and 89 RBIs. The performance of these players could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this important game.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsBAL -111 7.5 o +103 / u -125 Toronto Blue Jays -109 · Baltimore Orioles -111

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Samuel BasalloDay-To-DayHeadBaltimore Orioles
  • Blaze Alexander10-Day-ILBackBaltimore Orioles
  • Luis Robert Jr.10-Day-ILHamstringBaltimore Orioles
  • Ryan Mountcastle60-Day-ILObliqueBaltimore Orioles
  • Jackson Holliday10-Day-ILWristBaltimore Orioles
  • Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
  • Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
  • Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
  • Brett BatemanDay-To-DayHipToronto Blue Jays
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Day-To-DayBackToronto Blue Jays

Recent form

Baltimore Orioles

Last 10: 5-5Streak L34.1 scored · 4.1 allowed per game1-3 at home

  • L0-3vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 20
  • L0-1vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 19
  • L5-6vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 18
  • W7-1at New York MetsSep 16
  • W7-5at New York MetsSep 15
  • W2-1at New York MetsSep 14
  • L1-8at Toronto Blue JaysSep 13
  • L3-7at Toronto Blue JaysSep 12
  • W7-4at Toronto Blue JaysSep 11
  • W9-5vs Cleveland GuardiansSep 9

Toronto Blue Jays

Last 10: 5-5Streak W14.7 scored · 4.5 allowed per game2-2 away

  • W7-2at Texas RangersSep 20
  • L1-7at Texas RangersSep 19
  • W5-1vs Detroit TigersSep 16
  • L1-10vs Detroit TigersSep 15
  • L5-6vs Detroit TigersSep 14
  • W8-1vs Baltimore OriolesSep 13
  • W7-3vs Baltimore OriolesSep 12
  • L4-7vs Baltimore OriolesSep 11
  • W4-2at AthleticsSep 9
  • L5-6at AthleticsSep 8

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-60W2.61395
New York666L2.57489
Boston11.572L2.53884
Toronto1980L1.49077
Baltimore2081W1.48476

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning1-0Lukes singled to left, Bateman scored, Kirk to second.
  2. 1st Inning2-0Springer singled to left, Kirk scored, Lukes to third.
  3. 1st Inning3-0Keys hit sacrifice fly to right, Lukes scored.
  4. 1st Inning3-1Alonso homered to right (363 feet).
  5. 6th Inning3-2Henderson homered to right (372 feet).
  6. 8th Inning3-4Alonso homered to left (400 feet), Franklin scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Baltimore Orioles, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.

Venue

  • Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore, Maryland
  • Attendance12067
  • OfficialsCarlos Torres, Mark Wegner, Nate Tomlinson, Tyler Jones

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.