Blue Jays Edge Royals in Close Contest
Saturday, September 5, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Toronto Blue Jays 4, Kansas City Royals 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals?
Toronto Blue Jays beat Kansas City Royals 4-3 at Kauffman Stadium on September 5, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals?
Toronto Blue Jays were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -111 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested game at Kauffman Stadium, the Toronto Blue Jays narrowly defeated the Kansas City Royals with a final score of 4-3. This match was significant as it marked the third game in a series that Toronto now leads 3-0. The Blue Jays have demonstrated a strong performance against the Royals in recent encounters, winning six out of their last nine meetings.
The Royals entered this game with a record of 63-80, while the Blue Jays held a record of 72-71. Kansas City has shown some improvement lately, going 6-4 in their last ten games and averaging 5.7 runs scored per game, while allowing 4.7. Their recent form included a win against the Miami Marlins just two days prior, where they triumphed 7-3. However, their home record has been less impressive, standing at 2-2 in their last four home games.
On the other hand, the Blue Jays also boasted a 6-4 record over their last ten games, but they have been particularly strong lately, winning their last two games. They averaged 4.8 runs scored and only 3.9 runs allowed during this stretch. Their recent success included a dominant 11-0 victory over the Cleveland Guardians, showcasing their offensive capabilities.
In terms of injuries, the Royals faced several key absences, including Jac Caglianone, who is day-to-day with an elbow issue, and Tony Gonsolin, who is on the 15-day injured list due to an elbow injury. Connor Seabold and James McArthur are also on the 60-day injured list, while Maikel Garcia is on the 10-day injured list with a hamstring issue. The Blue Jays are also dealing with injuries, as Luis Urias is on the 10-day injured list with a quadriceps problem, and several players, including Patrick Corbin and Anthony Santander, are on the 60-day injured list.
The game began with a flurry of scoring in the first inning. The Blue Jays took an early lead when Alejandro Kirk reached on an infield single, allowing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to score due to a throwing error by Royals third baseman Rojas. The Blue Jays added another run shortly after, with Nathan Lukes singling to left field, bringing Kirk home and making it 2-0. The Royals responded quickly, tying the game at 2-2 with runs from Caglianone and Salvador Perez, who both capitalized on the Blue Jays' defensive lapses.
As the game progressed, the Blue Jays regained the lead in the third inning with a double from Okamoto, scoring Lukes. The Royals managed to tie the game once more in the fourth inning when Rave hit a home run to right field. However, the Blue Jays pulled ahead again in the seventh inning when Okamoto singled to center, bringing home George Springer.
The market for this game, as provided by DraftKings, had the Blue Jays favored at -111, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 9.5 runs. The odds reflected the competitive nature of the matchup, with both teams having shown flashes of strong play in recent weeks.
As the game concluded, the Royals were unable to mount a comeback, finishing the contest with a home win probability of 0.0%. The Blue Jays' victory solidified their position in the series and showcased their ability to perform under pressure, while the Royals will need to regroup as they continue to face challenges in their remaining games.
What we said beforehand
The Kansas City Royals will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium on September 5, 2026. This matchup is intriguing as the Blue Jays currently lead the series 1-0 after their recent victory over the Royals, where they triumphed 9-2. The Royals enter this game with a home record of 63-79, while the Blue Jays hold a slightly better away record of 71-71.
In terms of recent form, the Royals have struggled, losing four of their last five games. Their most recent results include a loss to the Cleveland Guardians (11-1), two losses against the Miami Marlins (6-3 and 9-6), a win against the Marlins (7-3), and the aforementioned loss to the Blue Jays (9-2). Over their last ten games, the Royals have a record of 6-4 at home, averaging 5.7 runs scored and 4.7 runs allowed per game. However, their last five games show a decline, with an average of 5.0 runs scored and 6.4 runs allowed.
The Blue Jays, meanwhile, have been in better form, winning six of their last ten games. Their recent performances include a win against the Seattle Mariners (7-0), a loss to the Guardians (6-1), and three consecutive wins against the Guardians (11-0 and 6-3) before their victory over the Royals. The Blue Jays have averaged 4.8 runs scored and 3.9 runs allowed over their last ten games, with their last five showing an impressive average of 5.8 runs scored and only 2.4 runs allowed.
At home, the Royals have a mixed record of 2-2 in their last four games, while the Blue Jays have performed well on the road with a 4-2 record in their last six away games. The Royals' recent head-to-head meetings with the Blue Jays have been competitive, with the Royals holding a 6-3 record against them over the past two seasons. Their most recent encounter saw the Royals dominate with a score of 13-2 on August 27, 2026.
In terms of injuries, the Royals will be without several key players, including Tony Gonsolin (15-Day IL, elbow), Connor Seabold (60-Day IL, lat), Maikel Garcia (10-Day IL, hamstring), James McArthur (60-Day IL, elbow), and Beck Way (15-Day IL, shoulder). The Blue Jays will also miss Luis Urias (10-Day IL, quadriceps), Patrick Corbin (60-Day IL, shoulder), Anthony Santander (60-Day IL, shoulder), Trey Yesavage (15-Day IL, knee), and Jameson Taillon (15-Day IL, elbow).
The betting odds from DraftKings reflect the competitive nature of this matchup, with the Blue Jays priced at -111 on the moneyline and the Royals at -108. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 9.5 runs for the game, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair. The weather conditions are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 98°F, no precipitation, and gusts of wind at 9 mph.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the performance of key players such as Bobby Witt Jr. for the Royals, who leads the team with a batting average of .283, and Jac Caglianone, who has hit 23 home runs and driven in 69 runs. For the Blue Jays, Ernie Clement leads with a .276 batting average, while Kazuma Okamoto has an impressive 28 home runs and 79 RBIs. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest as both teams look to improve their standings.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOR -111 | 9.5 o -104 / u -115 | Toronto Blue Jays -111 · Kansas City Royals -108 |
Injury report
- Jac CaglianoneDay-To-DayElbowKansas City Royals
- Tony Gonsolin15-Day-ILElbowKansas City Royals
- Connor Seabold60-Day-ILLatKansas City Royals
- Maikel Garcia10-Day-ILHamstringKansas City Royals
- James McArthur60-Day-ILElbowKansas City Royals
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Trey Yesavage15-Day-ILKneeToronto Blue Jays
- Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILElbowToronto Blue Jays
Recent form
Kansas City Royals
Last 10: 6-4Streak W15.7 scored · 4.7 allowed per game2-2 at home
- W7-3vs Miami MarlinsSep 3
- L6-9vs Miami MarlinsSep 2
- L3-6vs Miami MarlinsSep 1
- L1-11at Cleveland GuardiansAug 30
- W8-3at Cleveland GuardiansAug 29
- W3-0at Cleveland GuardiansAug 28
- W13-2at Toronto Blue JaysAug 27
- L0-3at Toronto Blue JaysAug 26
- W5-3at Toronto Blue JaysAug 25
- W11-7vs Detroit TigersAug 23
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 6-4Streak W24.8 scored · 3.9 allowed per game2-2 away
- W6-3at Cleveland GuardiansSep 3
- W11-0at Cleveland GuardiansSep 2
- L1-6at Cleveland GuardiansSep 1
- W7-0vs Seattle MarinersAug 30
- W4-3vs Seattle MarinersAug 29
- W8-1vs Seattle MarinersAug 28
- L2-13vs Kansas City RoyalsAug 27
- W3-0vs Kansas City RoyalsAug 26
- L3-5vs Kansas City RoyalsAug 25
- L3-8at New York YankeesAug 23
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | - | 57 | W2 | .599 | 85 |
| New York | 4.5 | 61 | L1 | .567 | 80 |
| Boston | 8 | 65 | W2 | .542 | 77 |
| Toronto | 13.5 | 71 | W4 | .503 | 72 |
| Baltimore | 16 | 73 | L4 | .486 | 69 |
| Chicago | - | 68 | L1 | .521 | 74 |
| Cleveland | 2.5 | 71 | L1 | .503 | 72 |
| Minnesota | 6 | 74 | W1 | .479 | 68 |
| Detroit | 9 | 77 | W1 | .458 | 65 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 80 | L2 | .441 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Kirk reached on infield single to third, Guerrero Jr. scored on throwing error by third baseman Rojas, Kirk to second.
- 1st Inning2-0Lukes singled to left, Kirk scored.
- 1st Inning2-1Caglianone reached on infield single to second, Jensen scored, Witt Jr. to third.
- 1st Inning2-2Perez singled to right, Witt Jr. scored, Caglianone to third.
- 3rd Inning3-2Okamoto doubled to left, Lukes scored, Okamoto out stretching at third.
- 4th Inning3-3Rave homered to right (366 feet).
- 7th Inning4-3Okamoto singled to center, Springer scored, Lukes to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Kansas City Royals, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.
Venue
- Kauffman StadiumKansas City, Missouri
- Attendance20547
- OfficialsShane Livensparger, Dan Merzel, Dan Bellino, Mark Ripperger
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These two, other days
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