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MLB · Final/6

Blue Jays Edge Marlins in Close Encounter

Monday, March 16, 2026, 1:10 PM ET · Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Toronto Blue Jays 5, Miami Marlins 4, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins?

Toronto Blue Jays beat Miami Marlins 5-4 at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium on March 16, 2026.

In a tightly contested game, the Toronto Blue Jays narrowly defeated the Miami Marlins with a final score of 5-4 at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. This matchup was particularly notable as it marked the third game of a series that was tied 1-1, adding an extra layer of intensity for both teams. The Blue Jays, riding a four-game winning streak, showcased their offensive prowess, while the Marlins aimed to capitalize on their recent strong home form.

The Marlins entered this game with a home record of 8-12-2 and had been performing well recently, boasting a record of 7-3 over their last ten games. They averaged 4.1 runs scored per game while allowing 3.9 runs during that stretch. However, their recent form at home had been mixed, with a record of 2-1 in their last three home games but only 2-3 in their last five overall. In contrast, the Blue Jays had a slightly better away record of 9-12-2, with a recent record of 5-5 over their last ten games. They averaged 4.0 runs scored but struggled defensively, allowing an average of 5.0 runs per game. The Blue Jays were on a roll, having won their last four games, which included a dominant 13-4 victory against the Tampa Bay Rays in their most recent outing.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Marlins had faced the Blue Jays twice earlier in the season, securing one victory against two losses. Their previous meetings included a win on August 24, where the Marlins triumphed 5-3, but they also suffered losses of 6-7 and 2-5 in the preceding games. This history added a competitive edge to the current series.

Injuries played a significant role in the game, particularly for the Marlins, who were missing several key players. Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, Max Meyer, and Ronny Henriquez were all sidelined due to various injuries, including lower leg and hand issues. The Blue Jays also faced challenges, with Patrick Corbin, Jameson Taillon, Luis Urias, Anthony Santander, and Jonatan Clase all on the injured list, impacting their roster depth.

The game started with a home run from Lopez for the Marlins, bringing the score to 1-1 in the first inning. The Marlins then took a brief lead in the second inning due to a fielding error that allowed D. Johnson to reach second base. However, the Blue Jays responded strongly in the third inning, scoring three runs to take a 5-2 lead, with Varsho's double being a key moment in that scoring sequence. The Marlins fought back, closing the gap to 5-4 with a home run from D. Johnson in the fifth inning, but they could not find the equalizer.

The conditions for the game were typical for early spring baseball, with players adjusting to the outdoor environment. The Blue Jays were favored in the betting market, with odds attributed to the provider indicating a strong likelihood of their success, reflecting their recent winning streak and overall performance.

As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a blend of offensive highlights and defensive errors, showcasing the unpredictable nature of baseball. The Blue Jays' ability to capitalize on the Marlins' mistakes proved crucial in their victory, while the Marlins' resilience kept the game competitive until the final out. This matchup not only highlighted the strengths and weaknesses of both teams but also set the stage for the remainder of the series, leaving fans eager for the next encounter.

Injury report

  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
  • Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
  • Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
  • Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
  • Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
  • Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
  • Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
  • Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
  • Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays

Recent form

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 7-3Streak W14.1 scored · 3.9 allowed per game2-1 at home

  • W4-0vs New York MetsSep 28
  • L0-5vs New York MetsSep 27
  • W6-2vs New York MetsSep 26
  • L0-1at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 25
  • L1-11at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 24
  • W6-5at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 23
  • W4-2at Texas RangersSep 21
  • W6-4at Texas RangersSep 20
  • W8-4at Colorado RockiesSep 18
  • W6-5at Colorado RockiesSep 17

Toronto Blue Jays

Last 10: 5-5Streak W44 scored · 5 allowed per game1-3 away

  • W13-4vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 28
  • W5-1vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 27
  • W4-2vs Tampa Bay RaysSep 26
  • W6-1vs Boston Red SoxSep 25
  • L1-7vs Boston Red SoxSep 24
  • L1-4vs Boston Red SoxSep 23
  • W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsSep 21
  • L1-2at Kansas City RoyalsSep 20
  • L1-20at Kansas City RoyalsSep 19
  • L0-4at Tampa Bay RaysSep 18

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-56L1.59783
New York3.560W2.57180
Boston8.565L2.53675
Toronto14.571W1.49369
Baltimore14.571L2.49369
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning1-0Springer homered to left center (433 feet).
  2. 1st Inning1-1Lopez homered to left (414 feet).
  3. 2nd Inning1-2D. Johnson singled to right, Norby scored on error, D. Johnson safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Lukes.
  4. 3rd Inning2-2Springer scored on Junk wild pitch, Lukes to second on wild pitch by Junk.
  5. 3rd Inning2-2Springer scored on Junk wild pitch, Lukes to second on wild pitch by Junk.
  6. 3rd Inning4-2Varsho doubled to right, Schneider scored and Lukes scored, Varsho to third.
  7. 3rd Inning5-2Straw grounded out to first, Varsho scored.
  8. 3rd Inning5-3Lopez singled to center, Edwards scored.
  9. 5th Inning5-4D. Johnson homered to right.

Win probability

Above the line favours Miami Marlins, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.

Venue

  • Roger Dean Chevrolet StadiumJupiter, Florida
  • Attendance3617
  • OfficialsMitch Trzeciak, Ramon De Jesus, CB Bucknor, Chris Conroy

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.