ENSign in
MLB · Final

Twins Edge Blue Jays in Close Contest at Target Field

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:45 PM ET · Target Field

Minnesota Twins 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins?

Minnesota Twins beat Toronto Blue Jays 4-3 at Target Field on May 3, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins?

Minnesota Twins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.

The Minnesota Twins narrowly defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 4-3 in a tightly contested game at Target Field. This victory allowed the Twins to take a critical lead in the series, which was previously tied at 2-2. The win marked a much-needed boost for the Twins, who have struggled in recent games, and it showcased their resilience against a formidable opponent.

In the last ten games prior to this matchup, the Twins had a record of 2-8, with their most recent performance resulting in a loss to the Blue Jays just a day earlier, where they fell 3-7. Over this stretch, they averaged 4.0 runs scored per game while allowing 5.3 runs, indicating a defensive vulnerability that has plagued them. At home, the Twins held a record of 2-3 in their last five games, averaging 5.0 runs scored and 4.8 runs allowed.

Conversely, the Blue Jays entered this game with a strong record of 7-3 over their last ten games, including a victory over the Twins in their previous encounter. They averaged 4.3 runs scored and allowed only 3.3 runs during this stretch, showcasing their improved performance. The Blue Jays had been particularly effective on the road, holding a 3-1 record in their last four away games.

Historically, the Twins and Blue Jays have faced each other ten times over the last two seasons, with both teams winning five games each. In their most recent meetings, the Twins had alternated wins and losses, with the Blue Jays winning the last game before this one.

In terms of injuries, the Twins were missing several key players, including Byron Buxton (10-Day IL, hip), Joe Ryan (15-Day IL, lower body), Austin Martin (10-Day IL, hamstring), Mike Paredes (60-Day IL, oblique), and Mick Abel (60-Day IL, elbow). The Blue Jays were also dealing with significant injuries, including Patrick Corbin (60-Day IL, shoulder), Jameson Taillon (15-Day IL, forearm), Luis Urias (10-Day IL, quadriceps), Anthony Santander (60-Day IL, shoulder), and Jonatan Clase (60-Day IL, foot). These absences undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and performance.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of this matchup, with DraftKings listing the Twins at -115 and the Blue Jays at -105 on the money line. The total for the game was set at 8.0, with odds for the over at -112 and the under at -108. The spread was set at 1.5, indicating a close contest was anticipated.

The conditions at Target Field were conducive to baseball, and fans were treated to an exciting game. The scoring began in the first inning when Caratini singled to right, allowing Larnach to score and putting the Twins ahead 1-0. The Twins extended their lead in the fifth inning with three consecutive doubles, first by Keaschall, followed by Clemens, and then Wallner, which brought the score to 4-0.

The Blue Jays finally got on the board in the sixth inning when Varsho reached on a bunt single, scoring Guerrero Jr. and narrowing the gap to 4-1. In the ninth inning, the Blue Jays made a late push, with Okamoto hitting a home run to left center, scoring Straw and bringing the score to 4-3. Despite the late surge, the Twins held on for the win.

Viewers watching this game should have noted the Twins' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly during the fifth inning, which proved crucial for their success. The Blue Jays' late-game rally demonstrated their fighting spirit, but ultimately, it was not enough to secure a win. The Twins' victory not only provided them with a much-needed boost in morale but also highlighted their potential to compete effectively despite their injury challenges.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIN -115 8 o -112 / u -108 Toronto Blue Jays -105 · Minnesota Twins -115

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
  • Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
  • Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
  • Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
  • Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
  • Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
  • Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
  • Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
  • Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
  • Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays

Recent form

Minnesota Twins

Last 10: 2-8Streak L14 scored · 5.3 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L3-7vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 2
  • W7-1vs Toronto Blue JaysApr 30
  • L3-5vs Seattle MarinersApr 29
  • L1-7vs Seattle MarinersApr 28
  • W11-4vs Seattle MarinersApr 27
  • L2-4at Tampa Bay RaysApr 26
  • L1-6at Tampa Bay RaysApr 25
  • L2-6at Tampa Bay RaysApr 24
  • L8-10at New York MetsApr 23
  • L2-3at New York MetsApr 22

Toronto Blue Jays

Last 10: 7-3Streak W14.3 scored · 3.3 allowed per game3-1 away

  • W7-3at Minnesota TwinsMay 2
  • L1-7at Minnesota TwinsApr 30
  • W8-1vs Boston Red SoxApr 29
  • W3-0vs Boston Red SoxApr 28
  • L0-5vs Boston Red SoxApr 27
  • W4-2vs Cleveland GuardiansApr 26
  • W5-3vs Cleveland GuardiansApr 25
  • L6-8vs Cleveland GuardiansApr 24
  • W4-2at Los Angeles AngelsApr 22
  • W5-2at Los Angeles AngelsApr 21

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Tampa Bay-56L1.59783
New York3.560W2.57180
Boston8.565L2.53675
Toronto14.571W1.49369
Baltimore14.571L2.49369
Chicago-66L1.52573
Cleveland369L1.50470
Minnesota6.573L1.47967
Detroit975W1.46064
Kansas City11.578L3.44362

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning0-1Caratini singled to right, Larnach scored, Martin to third.
  2. 5th Inning0-2Keaschall doubled to center, Caratini scored.
  3. 5th Inning0-3Clemens doubled to center, Keaschall scored.
  4. 5th Inning0-4Wallner doubled to left, Clemens scored.
  5. 6th Inning1-4Varsho reached on bunt single to first, Guerrero Jr. scored, Sánchez to second.
  6. 9th Inning3-4Okamoto homered to left center (401 feet), Straw scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Minnesota Twins, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.

Venue

  • Target FieldMinneapolis, Minnesota
  • Attendance20394
  • OfficialsScott Barry, Manny Gonzalez, Jacob Metz, Tom Hanahan

Elsewhere

Picks for MLB

MLB rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.