Blue Jays Edge Nationals in Close Contest
Monday, July 27, 2026, 6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park
Toronto Blue Jays 3, Washington Nationals 2, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals?
Toronto Blue Jays beat Washington Nationals 3-2 at Nationals Park on July 27, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals?
Washington Nationals were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -126 (about 56% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested game at Nationals Park, the Toronto Blue Jays narrowly defeated the Washington Nationals with a final score of 3-2. This victory allowed the Blue Jays to clinch the series, winning two out of three games against the Nationals. The match showcased a blend of strategic plays and individual performances that made it a compelling fixture for fans of both teams.
The Nationals entered the game with a home record of 54-53, having recently shown some improvement with a 4-6 record over their last ten games, including a two-game winning streak. They averaged 6.3 runs scored per game during this stretch while allowing 5.7 runs. Their recent form included victories against the Arizona Diamondbacks, where they won 10-7 and 5-3 in their last two outings. However, the Nationals had struggled at home, with a 2-4 record in their last six home games.
On the other hand, the Blue Jays, with an away record of 49-58, had been struggling, posting a 3-7 record in their last ten games and losing their most recent match against the Boston Red Sox 1-6. Their average runs scored in this span was notably low at 2.4, while they allowed 5.1 runs per game. The Blue Jays were also facing challenges on the road, with a 1-2 record in their last three away games.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Nationals had not fared well against the Blue Jays, losing all three previous meetings in the 2025 season. The last three encounters saw the Nationals outscored 2-4, 3-5, and 2-5, indicating a pattern of struggles against this opponent.
Injury concerns were present for both teams. The Nationals had several key players on the injury list, including Keibert Ruiz and Cade Cavalli, both listed as day-to-day, while Richard Lovelady, Josiah Gray, and DJ Herz were on the 60-day injured list. The Blue Jays were also dealing with significant injuries, including Patrick Corbin and Anthony Santander, both on the 60-day injured list, and Jameson Taillon on the 15-day injured list.
As for the betting market, DraftKings had the Nationals as favorites with a money line of -126, while the Blue Jays were listed at +104. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Nationals, with a total of 10.0 runs. The odds for the over were -106, and for the under, -113.
The game conditions were favorable for baseball, contributing to an engaging atmosphere. Fans witnessed a series of scoring plays that highlighted the competitive nature of the matchup. The Nationals struck first in the second inning when García Jr. doubled to right, allowing Nuñez to score and putting the home team up 1-0. However, the Blue Jays quickly responded in the third inning with a home run from Urías, leveling the score at 1-1. They then took the lead with a double from Clement that brought Straw home, followed by a single from Straw that scored Okamoto, making it 3-1 in favor of the Blue Jays.
The Nationals fought back in the fifth inning with a home run from Chaparro, narrowing the gap to 3-2. Despite their efforts, the Nationals could not find the equalizer, and the game concluded with the Blue Jays emerging victorious.
In summary, this game highlighted the Blue Jays' ability to secure a series win against the Nationals, who are still looking to find their footing as they navigate the remainder of the season. With both teams facing injury challenges, the outcome of this matchup was particularly significant as they aim to improve their standings.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | WSH -126 | 10 o -106 / u -113 | Toronto Blue Jays +104 · Washington Nationals -126 |
Injury report
- Keibert RuizDay-To-DayHeadWashington Nationals
- Richard Lovelady60-Day-ILTricepsWashington Nationals
- Cade CavalliDay-To-DayLower LegWashington Nationals
- Josiah Gray60-Day-ILElbowWashington Nationals
- DJ Herz60-Day-ILElbowWashington Nationals
- Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
Recent form
Washington Nationals
Last 10: 4-6Streak W26.3 scored · 5.7 allowed per game2-4 at home
- W10-7vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 26
- W5-3vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 25
- L2-3vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 24
- L7-8at Colorado RockiesJul 22
- W7-3at Colorado RockiesJul 21
- L1-15at AthleticsJul 19
- W23-4at AthleticsJul 18
- L3-5vs New York YankeesJul 12
- L2-4vs New York YankeesJul 11
- L3-5vs New York YankeesJul 10
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 3-7Streak L12.4 scored · 5.1 allowed per game1-2 away
- L1-6at Boston Red SoxJul 26
- W6-0at Boston Red SoxJul 25
- L4-6at Boston Red SoxJul 24
- W3-1vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 23
- L2-4vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 22
- L2-12vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 21
- L1-7vs Tampa Bay RaysJul 20
- L0-3vs Chicago White SoxJul 19
- W1-0vs Chicago White SoxJul 18
- L4-12vs Chicago White SoxJul 17
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | - | 56 | L1 | .597 | 83 |
| New York | 3.5 | 60 | W2 | .571 | 80 |
| Boston | 8.5 | 65 | L2 | .536 | 75 |
| Toronto | 14.5 | 71 | W1 | .493 | 69 |
| Baltimore | 14.5 | 71 | L2 | .493 | 69 |
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning0-1García Jr. doubled to right, Nuñez scored, Wood to third.
- 3rd Inning1-1Urías homered to center (416 feet).
- 3rd Inning2-1Clement doubled to left, Straw scored.
- 4th Inning3-1Straw singled to center, Okamoto scored, Urías to third.
- 5th Inning3-2Chaparro homered to left (432 feet).
Win probability
Above the line favours Washington Nationals, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.
Venue
- Nationals ParkWashington, District of Columbia
- Attendance17618
- OfficialsRyan Wills, Jonathan Parra, Lance Barksdale, Will Little
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Blue Jays Secure Series Win Over NationalsJul 29, 2026
- Nationals Edge Blue Jays in High-Scoring AffairJul 28, 2026