Sabres Edge Maple Leafs in Shootout Thriller
Saturday, March 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres?
Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 at KeyBank Center on March 14, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres?
Buffalo Sabres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -230 (about 70% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Buffalo Sabres triumphed over the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 after a shootout at the KeyBank Center. This victory solidifies Buffalo's dominance in the season series, with the Sabres winning three out of four encounters against their rivals. The Sabres now boast a home record of 41-20-6, while the Maple Leafs sit at 28-27-12 on the road.
The game began with an early goal from Buffalo's Owen Power, who scored his seventh of the season with a wrist shot, assisted by Zach Benson and Sam Carrick. However, Toronto quickly responded with a goal from Dakota Joshua, leveling the score at 1-1. The second period saw Max Domi put the Maple Leafs ahead 2-1 with his tenth goal of the season, but Jack Quinn equalized for the Sabres shortly after, scoring his sixteenth goal with assists from Noah Ostlund and Ryan McLeod.
The game remained tied at 2-2 through regulation and into the shootout, where Buffalo's Jack Quinn and Alex Tuch secured the win with successful shots, leaving Toronto unable to score in the shootout.
Buffalo's recent form has been impressive, with an 8-2 record over their last ten games, although they are currently on a one-game losing streak after falling to the Washington Capitals 1-2 in their previous outing. The Sabres have averaged 3.9 goals scored and 2.7 goals allowed per game during this stretch. At home, they have a record of 4-2 in their last six games, while their away record is a perfect 4-0 in the same span.
In contrast, the Maple Leafs have struggled recently, holding a record of 2-8 over their last ten games, despite a recent victory against the Anaheim Ducks. They have averaged only 2.6 goals scored and 4.1 goals allowed during this stretch. Their away record stands at 1-5, indicating difficulties in securing wins on the road.
In terms of injuries, the Sabres were without Justin Danforth and Jiri Kulich, both on injured reserve, while Noah Ostlund was out with a lower body injury. The Maple Leafs faced a more significant challenge, missing key players such as Zack MacEwen, Max Domi, Dakota Joshua, and Auston Matthews, all of whom were unable to participate due to various injuries.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Sabres listed at -230, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds for the over were -122, while the under was at 102. Buffalo's strong performance at home and their recent success in the series likely influenced these odds.
The conditions at the KeyBank Center were conducive for a competitive game, with both teams looking to assert themselves in the playoff race. Viewers were treated to a display of skill and resilience, particularly from the Sabres, who managed to come back from a deficit and ultimately secure the win in a pressure-filled shootout. The matchup highlighted the importance of depth scoring and goaltending, with both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses throughout the contest.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BUF -230 | 6.5 o -122 / u +102 | Toronto Maple Leafs +190 · Buffalo Sabres -230 |
Injury report
- Justin DanforthInjured ReserveKneecapBuffalo Sabres
- Jiri KulichInjured ReserveEarBuffalo Sabres
- Noah OstlundOutLower BodyBuffalo Sabres
- Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
Leaders
- GoalsOwen Power1Buffalo Sabres
- AssistsSam Carrick1Buffalo Sabres
- PointsJack Quinn1Buffalo Sabres
- GoalsMax Domi1Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsMatthew Knies1Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsMax Domi1Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent form
Buffalo Sabres
Last 10: 8-2Streak L13.9 scored · 2.7 allowed per game4-2 at home
- L1-2vs Washington CapitalsMar 12
- W6-3vs San Jose SharksMar 10
- W8-7vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 8
- W3-2vs Nashville PredatorsMar 7
- W5-1at Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 6
- W3-2vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 4
- W6-2at Tampa Bay LightningMar 1
- W3-2at Florida PanthersFeb 28
- W2-1at New Jersey DevilsFeb 26
- L2-5vs Pittsburgh PenguinsFeb 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 2-8Streak W12.6 scored · 4.1 allowed per game1-5 away
- W6-4vs Anaheim DucksMar 12
- L1-3at Montreal CanadiensMar 10
- L2-5vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 8
- L2-6at New York RangersMar 6
- L3-4at New Jersey DevilsMar 5
- L2-3vs Philadelphia FlyersMar 3
- L2-5vs Ottawa SenatorsMar 1
- L1-5at Florida PanthersFeb 27
- L2-4at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 26
- W5-2at Edmonton OilersFeb 4
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
Box score
| Stat | Toronto Maple Leafs | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 22 | 9 |
| Hits | 35 | 21 |
| Takeaways | 6 | 5 |
| Shots total | 18 | 33 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 2 | 4 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 27 | 24 |
| Faceoff percent | 52.9 | 47.1 |
| Giveaways | 22 | 15 |
| Penalties | 8 | 6 |
| Penalty minutes | 19 | 15 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Owen Power Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Zach Benson (22), Sam Carrick (7)
- 1st1-1Dakota Joshua Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Nicholas Robertson (15)
- 2nd2-1Max Domi Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (40), Matthew Knies (39)
- 2nd2-2Jack Quinn Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Noah Ostlund (15), Ryan McLeod (37)
- SO0-2Jack Quinn Goal Wrist Shot
- SO0-2Alex Tuch Goal Wrist Shot
Venue
- KeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY
- Attendance19070
- OfficialsJean Hebert, Mark Shewchyk, Justin Kea, Andrew Smith
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These two, other days
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- Sabres Edge Maple Leafs in High-Scoring AffairOct 24, 2025