ENSign in
NHL · Final/OT

Red Wings Edge Maple Leafs in Overtime Thriller

Sunday, December 28, 2025, 7:00 PM ET · Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings?

Detroit Red Wings beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 at Little Caesars Arena on December 28, 2025.

Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings?

Detroit Red Wings were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup at Little Caesars Arena, the Detroit Red Wings triumphed over the Toronto Maple Leafs with a final score of 3-2 after overtime. This victory extends Detroit's lead in the season series to 4-0 against Toronto, showcasing their dominance in recent encounters. The game featured a blend of strategic play and individual brilliance, making it a noteworthy fixture in the NHL calendar.

Both teams entered the game with contrasting recent form. The Red Wings boasted a record of 7-3 in their last ten games, although they were coming off a loss to the Carolina Hurricanes just a day prior, which snapped a brief winning streak. They averaged 3.1 goals scored while allowing 2.5 during this stretch. At home, they maintained a solid record of 3-1 in their last four games, indicating their strength at Little Caesars Arena.

Conversely, the Maple Leafs had a record of 4-6 over their last ten games, but they were riding a two-game winning streak leading into this matchup. Toronto averaged 2.8 goals scored and allowed 3.5 goals during this period. However, their away record was concerning, having lost their last three games on the road, which contributed to their overall struggles away from home.

In terms of injury concerns, the Red Wings were missing key players including Viktor Arvidsson, Mason Appleton, and Michael Rasmussen, all of whom were out due to various injuries. The Maple Leafs faced significant challenges as well, with star player Auston Matthews sidelined due to a knee injury, alongside Max Domi and Dakota Joshua, both out with injuries. The absence of these players undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and performance on the ice.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Red Wings favored at -142 on the moneyline, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds for the over were -102, while the under was priced at -118, reflecting expectations for a competitive and potentially high-scoring game.

The conditions for the game were typical for a winter evening in Detroit, with fans filling the arena to support their home team. As the game unfolded, the Red Wings showcased their resilience, coming back from a goal down twice. Matthew Knies opened the scoring for Toronto in the second period, but Moritz Seider quickly equalized for Detroit, demonstrating the back-and-forth nature of the contest.

In the third period, Nicholas Robertson put the Maple Leafs back in front, but the Red Wings responded once again with a goal from Mason Appleton, sending the game into overtime. The decisive moment came when Simon Edvinsson scored the winning goal in overtime, sealing the victory for Detroit.

This game highlighted the competitive spirit of both teams and the significance of the rivalry, further intensifying the stakes as they continue to battle for playoff positioning. The Red Wings' ability to overcome adversity and secure the win in front of their home crowd underscores their potential as a formidable opponent in the league.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsDET -142 6.5 o -102 / u -118 Toronto Maple Leafs +120 · Detroit Red Wings -142

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Viktor ArvidssonOutRibsDetroit Red Wings
  • Mason AppletonOutUpper BodyDetroit Red Wings
  • Michael RasmussenOutLower BodyDetroit Red Wings
  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs

Leaders

  • GoalsSimon Edvinsson1Detroit Red Wings
  • AssistsMichael Rasmussen1Detroit Red Wings
  • PointsMason Appleton1Detroit Red Wings
  • GoalsMatthew Knies1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsJohn Tavares2Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsJohn Tavares2Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Detroit Red Wings

Last 10: 7-3Streak L13.1 scored · 2.5 allowed per game3-1 at home

  • L2-5at Carolina HurricanesDec 28
  • W4-3vs Dallas StarsDec 23
  • W3-2vs Washington CapitalsDec 21
  • W5-2at Washington CapitalsDec 20
  • L1-4vs Utah MammothDec 18
  • W3-2vs New York IslandersDec 17
  • W4-0at Chicago BlackhawksDec 14
  • L1-4at Edmonton OilersDec 12
  • W4-3at Calgary FlamesDec 11
  • W4-0at Vancouver CanucksDec 9

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 4-6Streak W22.8 scored · 3.5 allowed per game0-3 away

  • W7-5vs Ottawa SenatorsDec 28
  • W6-3vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 23
  • L1-5at Dallas StarsDec 22
  • L3-5at Nashville PredatorsDec 21
  • L0-4at Washington CapitalsDec 19
  • W3-2vs Chicago BlackhawksDec 17
  • L3-6vs Edmonton OilersDec 14
  • L2-3vs San Jose SharksDec 12
  • W2-0vs Tampa Bay LightningDec 9
  • L1-2vs Montreal CanadiensDec 7

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatToronto Maple LeafsDetroit Red Wings
Blocked shots1114
Hits2312
Takeaways54
Shots total2736
Power play goals10
Power play opportunities21
Power play pct50.00.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2832
Faceoff percent46.753.3
Giveaways1115
Penalties23
Penalty minutes46

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd1-0Matthew Knies Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (12), John Tavares (19)
  2. 2nd1-1Moritz Seider Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Lucas Raymond (31)
  3. 3rd2-1Nicholas Robertson Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: John Tavares (20)
  4. 3rd2-2Mason Appleton Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Michael Rasmussen (7), Albert Johansson (5)
  5. OT2-3Simon Edvinsson Goal (5) Backhand, assists: none

Venue

  • Little Caesars ArenaDetroit, MI
  • Attendance19515
  • OfficialsTJ Luxmore, Ryan Daisy, Furman South, CJ Murray

Elsewhere

Picks for NHL

NHL rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.