ENSign in
NHL · Final

Maple Leafs Defeat Wild 4-2 in NHL Clash

Sunday, March 15, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Grand Casino Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild?

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4-2 at Grand Casino Arena on March 15, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild?

Minnesota Wild were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -265 (about 73% implied). The underdog won.

In an exciting NHL matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs triumphed over the Minnesota Wild with a final score of 4-2 at the Grand Casino Arena. This victory marked a significant moment for the Maple Leafs, who had struggled recently, improving their record against the Wild to 3-0 in their last three meetings, including a 6-3 win earlier this season. The series between these teams is now tied 1-1 for the current season, adding a layer of intrigue to their ongoing rivalry.

The Minnesota Wild entered the game with a home record of 38-18-12 and were looking to turn around their recent form, having lost their last two games against the New York Rangers and the Philadelphia Flyers. Over their last ten games, the Wild had a record of 5-5, averaging 3.4 goals scored per game while allowing 2.8. However, their performance at home had been less impressive lately, with a home record of 2-3 in their last five games.

In contrast, the Toronto Maple Leafs had been struggling significantly on the road, holding a record of 29-27-12. They had only managed to win one of their last ten games, with a dismal record of 1-9 during that stretch. The Maple Leafs averaged just 2.3 goals scored per game while allowing 4.2 in the same period. Their away record was particularly concerning, with a streak of six consecutive losses on the road.

The game featured several notable injuries impacting both teams. The Minnesota Wild were without key players Zach Bogosian, Filip Gustavsson, Jonas Brodin, and Joel Eriksson Ek, all sidelined due to various injuries. On the other hand, the Toronto Maple Leafs were missing Zack MacEwen, Max Domi, Dakota Joshua, and star player Auston Matthews, who were all out due to injuries.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Wild favored at -265, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds reflected the Wild's strong home record but also acknowledged the Maple Leafs' potential to upset given their previous successes against Minnesota.

The conditions for the game were standard for a late-season NHL matchup, with both teams eager to secure points as they approach the playoffs. Fans were treated to a competitive atmosphere, with the Wild looking to leverage their home advantage while the Maple Leafs aimed to build on their recent win against the Anaheim Ducks.

The scoring opened in the second period with Morgan Rielly netting a goal for the Maple Leafs, giving them a 1-0 lead. This was followed by a flurry of goals from Benoit-Olivier Groulx, who scored twice in quick succession, extending the Maple Leafs' lead to 3-0. The Wild responded in the third period with two goals from Vladimir Tarasenko, narrowing the gap to 3-2. However, Matthew Knies sealed the victory for Toronto with a late goal, bringing the final score to 4-2.

Viewers should note the resilience of the Maple Leafs, who managed to secure a win despite their recent struggles and significant injuries. The performance of Tarasenko for the Wild was a highlight, showcasing his ability to score under pressure. As the season progresses, both teams will need to address their injury concerns and improve their consistency to enhance their playoff positioning.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIN -265 6.5 o +100 / u -120 Toronto Maple Leafs +215 · Minnesota Wild -265

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Zach BogosianOutLower BodyMinnesota Wild
  • Filip GustavssonOutHipMinnesota Wild
  • Jonas BrodinOutFootMinnesota Wild
  • Joel Eriksson EkOutHeelMinnesota Wild
  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs

Leaders

  • GoalsVladimir Tarasenko2Minnesota Wild
  • AssistsRyan Hartman2Minnesota Wild
  • PointsVladimir Tarasenko2Minnesota Wild
  • GoalsBo Groulx2Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsJohn Tavares1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsBo Groulx2Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Minnesota Wild

Last 10: 5-5Streak L23.4 scored · 2.8 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L2-4vs New York RangersMar 14
  • L2-3vs Philadelphia FlyersMar 13
  • W5-0vs Utah MammothMar 11
  • L2-3at Colorado AvalancheMar 8
  • W4-2at Vegas Golden KnightsMar 7
  • W5-1vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 4
  • L1-3vs St. Louis BluesMar 1
  • L2-5at Utah MammothFeb 28
  • W5-2at Colorado AvalancheFeb 27
  • W6-5at Nashville PredatorsFeb 5

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 1-9Streak L12.3 scored · 4.2 allowed per game0-6 away

  • L2-3at Buffalo SabresMar 14
  • W6-4vs Anaheim DucksMar 12
  • L1-3at Montreal CanadiensMar 10
  • L2-5vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 8
  • L2-6at New York RangersMar 6
  • L3-4at New Jersey DevilsMar 5
  • L2-3vs Philadelphia FlyersMar 3
  • L2-5vs Ottawa SenatorsMar 1
  • L1-5at Florida PanthersFeb 27
  • L2-4at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 26

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832
Colorado111612155
Dallas122011250
Minnesota122410446
Utah6339243
St. Louis12338637
Nashville10348638
Winnipeg12358235
Chicago14397229

Box score

StatToronto Maple LeafsMinnesota Wild
Blocked shots2813
Hits1422
Takeaways46
Shots total2638
Power play goals00
Power play opportunities12
Power play pct0.00.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2926
Faceoff percent52.747.3
Giveaways2316
Penalties43
Penalty minutes86

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd1-0Morgan Rielly Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Matias Maccelli (19), John Tavares (32)
  2. 2nd2-0Benoit-Olivier Groulx Goal (2) Deflected, assists: Troy Stecher (10), Nicholas Robertson (16)
  3. 2nd3-0Benoit-Olivier Groulx Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: none
  4. 3rd3-1Vladimir Tarasenko Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Mats Zuccarello (28), Ryan Hartman (14)
  5. 3rd3-2Vladimir Tarasenko Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Hartman (15), Mats Zuccarello (29)
  6. 3rd4-2Matthew Knies Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: none

Venue

  • Grand Casino ArenaSaint Paul, MN
  • Attendance17663
  • OfficialsChris Lee, Tom Chmielewski, Brandon Schrader, Joe Mahon

Elsewhere

Picks for NHL

NHL rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.