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NHL · Final

Senators Defeat Maple Leafs 5-2 in Rivalry Matchup

Saturday, March 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators?

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2 at Canadian Tire Centre on March 21, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators?

Ottawa Senators were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -325 (about 76% implied). The favorite won.

The Ottawa Senators secured a decisive 5-2 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs at the Canadian Tire Centre, further extending their lead in the season series to 3-1. This matchup was significant not only for the rivalry between the two teams but also for its implications in the NHL standings, as the Senators aimed to solidify their playoff position while the Maple Leafs struggled to find form.

In terms of recent form, the Senators have been performing well, boasting a record of 7-3 over their last ten games, with an average of 3.7 goals scored and 2.5 goals allowed per game. They entered this game on a one-game winning streak, having defeated the New York Islanders 3-2 in their previous outing. Conversely, the Maple Leafs have faced challenges, recording only 2 wins in their last 10 games, leading to a record of 2-8. Their scoring average has been lower, at 2.6 goals per game, while they have allowed an average of 3.7 goals against.

At home, the Senators have excelled with a home record of 3-1 in their last four games, while the Maple Leafs have struggled on the road, with an away record of 1-4. This home-ice advantage was evident throughout the game as the Senators controlled much of the play.

The Senators have faced some injury challenges, with Ridly Greig suspended, and Artem Zub and Jake Sanderson out due to lower body and concussion issues, respectively. The Maple Leafs also dealt with significant injuries, including key players like Auston Matthews and Max Domi, both sidelined due to knee and back injuries, respectively, alongside others like Zack MacEwen and Chris Tanev on injured reserve.

The betting market reflected the Senators’ strong position, with DraftKings listing them as the favorites at -325 on the money line, while the Maple Leafs were set at +260. The spread was -1.5 in favor of the Senators, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game. The odds for the over were at +114, while the under was priced at -135.

Conditions during the game were typical for late March, providing a competitive atmosphere as both teams battled for crucial points. The Senators took an early lead in the first period with a goal from Tim Stützle, assisted by Thomas Chabot and Drake Batherson. They continued to build on their advantage in the second period, with Claude Giroux and Warren Foegele scoring, pushing the score to 3-0 before John Tavares managed to get one back for the Maple Leafs.

In the third period, the Senators maintained their composure, with Michael Amadio and Ridly Greig adding to their tally, while the Maple Leafs managed to score again through Easton Cowan. Ultimately, the Senators' offensive depth and defensive resilience proved too much for the Maple Leafs, allowing them to close out the game with a solid 5-2 victory.

This win not only highlights the Senators' current form but also raises questions about the Maple Leafs' ability to compete as they head into the final stretch of the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsOTT -325 6.5 o +114 / u -135 Toronto Maple Leafs +260 · Ottawa Senators -325

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Ridly GreigSuspensionSuspensionOttawa Senators
  • Artem ZubOutLower BodyOttawa Senators
  • Jake SandersonOutConcussionOttawa Senators
  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs

Leaders

  • GoalsClaude Giroux1Ottawa Senators
  • AssistsJordan Spence2Ottawa Senators
  • PointsJordan Spence2Ottawa Senators
  • GoalsEaston Cowan1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsEaston Cowan1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsEaston Cowan2Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Ottawa Senators

Last 10: 7-3Streak W13.7 scored · 2.5 allowed per game3-1 at home

  • W3-2vs New York IslandersMar 19
  • L1-4at Washington CapitalsMar 18
  • W7-4vs San Jose SharksMar 15
  • W2-0vs Anaheim DucksMar 14
  • L2-3vs Montreal CanadiensMar 11
  • W2-0at Vancouver CanucksMar 10
  • W7-4at Seattle KrakenMar 8
  • W4-1at Calgary FlamesMar 6
  • L4-5at Edmonton OilersMar 4
  • W5-2at Toronto Maple LeafsMar 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 2-8Streak L22.6 scored · 3.7 allowed per game1-4 away

  • L3-4vs Carolina HurricanesMar 20
  • L1-3vs New York IslandersMar 17
  • W4-2at Minnesota WildMar 15
  • L2-3at Buffalo SabresMar 14
  • W6-4vs Anaheim DucksMar 12
  • L1-3at Montreal CanadiensMar 10
  • L2-5vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 8
  • L2-6at New York RangersMar 6
  • L3-4at New Jersey DevilsMar 5
  • L2-3vs Philadelphia FlyersMar 3

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatToronto Maple LeafsOttawa Senators
Blocked shots613
Hits1722
Takeaways210
Shots total1444
Power play goals01
Power play opportunities34
Power play pct0.025.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2633
Faceoff percent44.155.9
Giveaways1714
Penalties54
Penalty minutes108

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Tim Stützle Goal (32) Wrist Shot, assists: Thomas Chabot (24), Drake Batherson (34)
  2. 2nd0-2Claude Giroux Goal (12) Backhand, assists: Tyler Kleven (12), Jordan Spence (18)
  3. 2nd0-3Warren Foegele Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: none
  4. 2nd1-3John Tavares Goal (25) Wrist Shot, assists: Easton Cowan (13), Brandon Carlo (7)
  5. 3rd2-3Easton Cowan Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Simon Benoit (5), William Nylander (41)
  6. 3rd2-4Michael Amadio Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Jordan Spence (19), Shane Pinto (20)
  7. 3rd2-5Ridly Greig Goal (11) Backhand, assists: Dylan Cozens (27), Tyler Kleven (13)

Venue

  • Canadian Tire CentreOttawa
  • Attendance17331
  • OfficialsDavid Brisebois, Garrett Rank, Pierre Lambert, Jeremy Faucher

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.