Kraken Edge Maple Leafs in High-Scoring Thriller
Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken?
Seattle Kraken beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4 at Climate Pledge Arena on October 28, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken?
Toronto Maple Leafs were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -130 (about 57% implied). The underdog won.
In an exhilarating matchup at Climate Pledge Arena, the Seattle Kraken narrowly defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4, marking their second consecutive victory over Toronto this season. The Kraken now lead the series 2-0, having previously won 5-2 in their last encounter on January 30, 2026. This game showcased the offensive capabilities of both teams, with Seattle capitalizing on their home advantage despite a recent dip in form.
The Kraken entered the game with a home record of 8-4-1, having won six of their last ten games, although they were on a one-game losing streak. Their recent performances have seen them average 3.8 goals scored and 3.8 goals allowed per game. In their last five outings, they managed to score an average of 3.2 goals while allowing 4.6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the Maple Leafs. Their last game resulted in a 1-5 loss to the Minnesota Wild, a stark contrast to their earlier victories against teams like the Utah Mammoth and Detroit Red Wings.
On the other hand, the Maple Leafs came into this game with a record of 7-6-2 and were also on a one-game losing streak. Their recent form has been more balanced, with an average of 4.1 goals scored and 3.5 goals allowed in their last ten games. They had a strong showing in their previous match against the Edmonton Oilers, winning 7-2, but fell short against the Calgary Flames in their most recent outing, losing 2-5. Toronto's away record stands at 3-3, and they have shown an ability to score heavily, particularly in recent games.
In terms of injuries, the Kraken were missing several key players, including Jared McCann, Jacob Melanson, Ryan Lindgren, and Jake O'Brien, all on injured reserve. The Maple Leafs also faced challenges with Miles Wood, Chris Tanev, Kirill Marchenko, Nick Blankenburg, and Marshall Rifai sidelined, which likely affected their lineup depth and overall performance.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Maple Leafs favored at -130, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds for the Kraken to win were listed at +110, indicating a competitive matchup that reflected the teams' recent performances and standings.
The game itself was a back-and-forth affair, with both teams exchanging goals throughout the match. Gavin McKenna opened the scoring for Toronto with a wrist shot, assisted by Auston Matthews and Darren Raddysh. The Kraken quickly responded with a goal from Josh Mahura, showcasing their resilience. The second period saw a flurry of goals, with McKenna scoring again for Toronto, but the Kraken took the lead with goals from Chandler Stephenson and Ryker Evans. The third period continued the trend of high-scoring action, with Jack Roslovic and Auston Matthews bringing the game to a tie before Brandon Montour sealed the victory for Seattle with a late goal.
The conditions at Climate Pledge Arena were conducive to an exciting game, with both teams demonstrating their offensive prowess. Viewers were treated to a showcase of skill and speed, particularly from players like Auston Matthews, who not only scored but also contributed assists, and Kraken's Chandler Stephenson, who played a crucial role in their scoring efforts.
Overall, this matchup highlighted the competitive nature of the NHL, with both teams capable of high-scoring games. The Kraken's ability to secure the win despite their injury challenges and recent form issues speaks to their depth and determination, while the Maple Leafs will need to regroup and address their defensive lapses as they continue their season.
What we said beforehand
The Seattle Kraken will host the Toronto Maple Leafs at Climate Pledge Arena on October 28, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be exciting for hockey fans. Both teams have shown competitive spirit this season, with the Kraken holding a home record of 7-4-1 and the Maple Leafs at 7-5-2 on the road. This game marks the start of the series between these two teams, which have faced each other twice earlier in the season, with the Kraken winning both encounters.
In their last five games, the Kraken have struggled somewhat, managing only two wins against three losses. Their recent results include a loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning (4-3 OT), a heavy defeat against the Florida Panthers (8-3), a win over the Detroit Red Wings (4-3 SO), a victory against the Utah Mammoth (5-3), and a loss to the Minnesota Wild (5-1). Over this stretch, the Kraken have averaged 3.2 goals scored per game while allowing 4.6 goals against, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that the Maple Leafs may look to exploit.
On the other hand, the Maple Leafs have been in better form, winning four of their last five games. Their recent victories include a win over the San Jose Sharks (3-1), a decisive win against the Columbus Blue Jackets (6-2), a close win over the New York Rangers (5-4), and a dominant performance against the Edmonton Oilers (7-2). However, they faced a setback with a loss to the Calgary Flames (5-2). During this stretch, the Maple Leafs have averaged 4.6 goals scored and only 2.8 goals allowed, showcasing their offensive prowess and solid defensive play.
When it comes to home versus away performance, the Kraken have a home record of 6-4 in their last ten games, while the Maple Leafs have a mixed away record of 5-5. The Kraken's average goals scored at home is 3.8, with an equal number of goals allowed, highlighting their inconsistency in home games. In contrast, the Maple Leafs have averaged 4.1 goals scored per game while allowing 3.5 goals in their away games, indicating their ability to score but also a tendency to concede.
In terms of injuries, the Kraken will be missing several key players, including Jared McCann (lower body), Jacob Melanson (chest), Ryan Lindgren (upper body), and Jake O'Brien (lower body), all of whom are on injured reserve. The Maple Leafs are also dealing with injuries, including Miles Wood (undisclosed), Chris Tanev (upper body), and Nick Blankenburg (upper body), along with Kirill Marchenko (lower body) who is out. The absence of these players could impact both teams' performances.
The betting market has set the odds with DraftKings favoring the Maple Leafs at -130, while the Kraken are at +110. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game, indicating expectations of a competitive match.
Conditions for the game are expected to be standard for an indoor hockey match, with no significant weather factors to consider. Fans should keep an eye on the performance of key players, especially Kraken's Frederick Gaudreau, who leads his team with 6 goals, and Maple Leafs' Auston Matthews, who has been a standout with 9 goals and 11 assists, totaling 20 points this season. The matchup between these two teams promises to be a thrilling encounter, showcasing the strengths and weaknesses of both squads.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOR -130 | 6.5 o -120 / u +100 | Toronto Maple Leafs -130 · Seattle Kraken +110 |
Injury report
- Jared McCannInjured ReserveLower BodySeattle Kraken
- Jacob MelansonInjured ReserveChestSeattle Kraken
- Ryan LindgrenInjured ReserveUpper BodySeattle Kraken
- Jake O'BrienInjured ReserveLower BodySeattle Kraken
- Miles WoodInjured ReserveUndisclosedToronto Maple Leafs
- Chris TanevInjured ReserveUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Kirill MarchenkoOutLower BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Nick BlankenburgInjured ReserveUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Marshall RifaiInjured ReserveLower BodyToronto Maple Leafs
Leaders
- GoalsChandler Stephenson1Seattle Kraken
- AssistsMackie Samoskevich2Seattle Kraken
- PointsChandler Stephenson2Seattle Kraken
- GoalsGavin McKenna2Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsAuston Matthews2Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsGavin McKenna3Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent form
Seattle Kraken
Last 10: 6-4Streak L13.8 scored · 3.8 allowed per game3-2 at home
- L1-5vs Minnesota WildOct 25
- W5-3vs Utah MammothOct 23
- W4-3vs Detroit Red WingsOct 21
- L3-8at Florida PanthersOct 17
- L3-4at Tampa Bay LightningOct 15
- W3-2at Philadelphia FlyersOct 13
- W5-3at Washington CapitalsOct 11
- W6-3at Detroit Red WingsOct 9
- L2-6vs Vegas Golden KnightsOct 7
- W6-1vs Calgary FlamesOct 5
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 5-5Streak L14.1 scored · 3.5 allowed per game3-3 away
- L2-5at Calgary FlamesOct 27
- W7-2at Edmonton OilersOct 24
- W5-4vs New York RangersOct 22
- W6-2at Columbus Blue JacketsOct 20
- W3-1vs San Jose SharksOct 19
- L1-4vs New York IslandersOct 17
- L4-5vs Buffalo SabresOct 15
- L4-5at Utah MammothOct 14
- W6-3at Colorado AvalancheOct 10
- L3-4at Vegas Golden KnightsOct 9
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 |
| Montreal | 2 | 3 | 16 | 7 |
| Ottawa | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 |
| Florida | 2 | 4 | 16 | 7 |
| Toronto | 2 | 6 | 16 | 7 |
| Tampa Bay | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 |
| Buffalo | 3 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
| Detroit | 3 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
| Edmonton | 2 | 2 | 20 | 9 |
| Vegas | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 |
| Seattle | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 |
| San Jose | 1 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| Anaheim | 1 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| Calgary | 0 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| Los Angeles | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Vancouver | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
Box score
| Stat | Toronto Maple Leafs | Seattle Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 11 | 11 |
| Hits | 32 | 23 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 1 |
| Shots total | 22 | 17 |
| Power play goals | 2 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 3 | 5 |
| Power play pct | 66.7 | 20.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 31 | 28 |
| Faceoff percent | 52.5 | 47.5 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 16 |
| Penalties | 6 | 4 |
| Penalty minutes | 15 | 11 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Berkly Catton Goal (4) Backhand, assists: Mackie Samoskevich (2)
- 1st1-1Gavin McKenna Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (12), Darren Raddysh (7)
- 2nd1-2Josh Mahura Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Ben Meyers (5), Freddy Gaudreau (3)
- 2nd2-2Gavin McKenna Goal (5) Slap Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (13), Jack Roslovic (9)
- 2nd2-3Chandler Stephenson Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Vince Dunn (7), Matty Beniers (3)
- 2nd2-4Ryker Evans Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Mackie Samoskevich (3), Chandler Stephenson (9)
- 3rd3-4Jack Roslovic Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Easton Cowan (8), Troy Stecher (3)
- 3rd4-4Auston Matthews Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Darren Raddysh (8), Gavin McKenna (6)
- 3rd4-5Brandon Montour Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Jordan Eberle (6), Bobby McMann (3)
Venue
- Climate Pledge ArenaSeattle, WA
- Attendance17151
- OfficialsRyan Gibbons, Cody Beach, Dylan Blujus, Corey Syvret
Elsewhere
- Kraken outlast Maple Leafs 5-4 to spoil No. 1 overall pick Gavin McKenna’s big game
- Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Seattle Kraken: Game Highlights
- New Jersey Devils vs. Colorado Avalanche: Game Highlights
- Kadri, Kelly score in 1:02 span early in 3rd in Avalanche's 5-2 win over Devils
- Jarry makes 24 saves in the Oilers' 4-0 victory over the Flames
- Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers: Game Highlights
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- Kraken Triumph Over Maple Leafs 5-2 at HomeJan 29, 2026
- Kraken Edge Maple Leafs in Overtime ThrillerOct 18, 2025