ENSign in
NHL · Final/SO

Golden Knights Edge Maple Leafs in Shootout Thriller

Thursday, October 8, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Vegas Golden Knights beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 at T-Mobile Arena on October 8, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Vegas Golden Knights were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -170 (about 63% implied). The favorite won.

In a thrilling matchup at T-Mobile Arena, the Vegas Golden Knights triumphed over the Toronto Maple Leafs with a final score of 4-3 after a shootout. This victory extends the Golden Knights' lead in their head-to-head series against the Maple Leafs to 2-0 for the season, having previously won both encounters earlier in the year. The game showcased the resilience of the Golden Knights, who rallied from a 3-0 deficit to secure the win.

The Golden Knights entered the game with a strong home record of 4-1-0, and they have been in solid form overall, boasting an 8-2 record in their last ten games. Their scoring average has been impressive, with 4.0 goals scored per game and only 2.1 goals allowed. In their last five games, they have averaged 4.2 goals scored while allowing 2.2. The team was riding a two-game winning streak, coming off a 6-2 victory against the Seattle Kraken on October 7 and a 3-2 win over the Vancouver Canucks on October 5.

On the other hand, the Maple Leafs have struggled recently, holding a 2-2-1 record in their last five games and a 2-8 record in their last ten. Their away performance has been particularly concerning, as they have yet to win on the road this season, with an 0-3 away record. The Maple Leafs have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game while allowing 4.2 goals, indicating significant defensive challenges. They managed to snap a losing streak with a narrow 5-4 victory against the Nashville Predators on October 6, but their overall form remains inconsistent.

In terms of home and away performance, the Golden Knights have been formidable at home with a record of 3-1, while the Maple Leafs have struggled away from home, as evidenced by their 0-3 record. This disparity in performance adds to the intrigue of their encounters.

The game featured several notable scoring plays. Easton Cowan opened the scoring for the Maple Leafs with a goal in the first period, followed by Nick Paul who extended the lead to 3-0. However, the Golden Knights responded with a goal from Mark Stone, followed by Brett Howden and Jack Eichel, who both scored in the second period to tie the game at 3-3. The game ultimately went to a shootout, where Braeden Bowman, Kirill Marchenko, and Trevor Connelly all contributed to the Golden Knights' victory.

Injuries played a role in the matchup, with the Golden Knights missing Victor Olofsson and Lukas Cormier, both listed as out due to undisclosed injuries. The Maple Leafs were also heavily impacted, with Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve all on injured reserve, affecting their depth and performance.

The betting market reflected the Golden Knights' strong form, with DraftKings pricing them at -170 on the moneyline, indicating they were favored to win. The spread was set at -1.5, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game. The odds for the over were -125, while the under was at 105, suggesting expectations of a competitive and high-scoring affair.

Conditions at T-Mobile Arena were conducive to a fast-paced game, and fans were treated to a display of skill and determination from both teams. Viewers were encouraged to watch for the Golden Knights' offensive prowess, particularly in their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as well as the Maple Leafs' attempts to regain their form and find consistency in their play.

Overall, the matchup between the Golden Knights and the Maple Leafs delivered excitement and showcased the competitive spirit of both teams, leaving fans eager for their next encounters.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming NHL matchup between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as both teams have shown flashes of brilliance in their early season performances. The game is set to take place at T-Mobile Arena on October 9, 2026, with the series starting on October 8.

The Golden Knights enter this game with a home record of 3-1-0, showcasing their ability to perform well in front of their fans. Their recent form includes a mix of results, with their last five games yielding three wins and two losses. Notably, they recently defeated the Seattle Kraken 6-2, which adds to their momentum. Over their last five games, the Golden Knights have averaged 4.0 goals scored and 2.2 goals allowed, indicating a strong offensive output paired with a relatively solid defense.

Conversely, the Maple Leafs hold a 2-2-0 record on the road. Their recent form is characterized by inconsistency, as they have won two of their last five games, including a thrilling 5-4 overtime victory against the Nashville Predators. However, they have struggled in away games, averaging only 2.8 goals scored while allowing 4.2 goals over their last ten outings. This trend could be a concern as they face a formidable Golden Knights team.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Golden Knights have had the upper hand against the Maple Leafs, winning both encounters this season. Their most recent meeting on January 24, 2026, ended with a score of 6-3 in favor of the Golden Knights, while the earlier matchup on January 16, 2026, saw them edge out the Maple Leafs 6-5. This historical context adds an additional layer of intrigue as the Maple Leafs look to turn the tide.

Injuries could also play a significant role in the outcome of this game. The Golden Knights will be without Victor Olofsson, who has been a key contributor with four goals this season, as well as Lukas Cormier, who is on injured reserve. The Maple Leafs face a more extensive injury list, including Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve, all of whom are on injured reserve. The absence of these players could impact the Maple Leafs' depth and overall performance.

The betting market reflects the Golden Knights' current form, with DraftKings listing them as -170 favorites, while the Maple Leafs are at +142. The spread is set at -1.5 for the Golden Knights, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game. The odds suggest that the market views the Golden Knights as the stronger team heading into this matchup.

Conditions at T-Mobile Arena are expected to be favorable for hockey, with the venue known for its vibrant atmosphere and passionate fan base. As the game unfolds, viewers should keep an eye on Jack Eichel, who leads the Golden Knights with eight assists and ten points this season, and William Nylander, who has been a standout for the Maple Leafs with three goals and three assists.

Overall, this matchup between the Golden Knights and the Maple Leafs is set to be a compelling encounter, with both teams bringing their unique strengths and challenges to the ice.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsVGK -170 6.5 o -125 / u +105 Toronto Maple Leafs +142 · Vegas Golden Knights -170

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Victor OlofssonOutUndisclosedVegas Golden Knights
  • Lukas CormierInjured ReserveUndisclosedVegas Golden Knights
  • Dakota JoshuaInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiInjured ReserveBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Cade WebberInjured ReserveElbowToronto Maple Leafs
  • Elvis MerzlikinsInjured ReserveShoulderToronto Maple Leafs
  • William VilleneuveInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs

Leaders

  • GoalsJack Eichel1Vegas Golden Knights
  • AssistsJack Eichel1Vegas Golden Knights
  • PointsJack Eichel2Vegas Golden Knights
  • GoalsNick Paul1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsChris Tanev1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsNick Paul1Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Vegas Golden Knights

Last 10: 8-2Streak W24 scored · 2.1 allowed per game3-1 at home

  • W6-2at Seattle KrakenOct 7
  • W3-2at Vancouver CanucksOct 5
  • L3-4vs Anaheim DucksOct 3
  • W5-2vs Chicago BlackhawksSep 30
  • W4-1vs Seattle KrakenApr 16
  • W6-2vs Winnipeg JetsApr 14
  • W3-2at Colorado AvalancheApr 12
  • L3-4at Seattle KrakenApr 10
  • W2-1at Vancouver CanucksApr 8
  • W5-1at Edmonton OilersApr 5

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 2-8Streak W12.8 scored · 4.2 allowed per game0-3 away

  • W5-4vs Nashville PredatorsOct 6
  • L2-3vs Ottawa SenatorsOct 3
  • W2-1vs New York IslandersSep 30
  • L2-3vs Montreal CanadiensSep 29
  • L1-3at Ottawa SenatorsApr 15
  • L5-6vs Dallas StarsApr 13
  • L2-6vs Florida PanthersApr 11
  • L3-5at New York IslandersApr 9
  • L0-4vs Washington CapitalsApr 8
  • L6-7at Los Angeles KingsApr 4

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Ottawa0163
Tampa Bay0163
Florida2062
Boston0263
Toronto1252
Buffalo0242
Montreal1231
Detroit0221
Vegas0184
Edmonton1073
San Jose0163
Anaheim0142
Seattle0242
Vancouver0342
Los Angeles1210
Calgary0400

Box score

StatToronto Maple LeafsVegas Golden Knights
Blocked shots1615
Hits1327
Takeaways63
Shots total2443
Power play goals00
Power play opportunities14
Power play pct0.00.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won3725
Faceoff percent59.740.3
Giveaways1917
Penalties41
Penalty minutes82

How the scoring went

  1. 1st1-0Jack Roslovic Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Auston Matthews (4), Kirill Marchenko (3)
  2. 1st2-0Easton Cowan Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Chris Tanev (1)
  3. 1st3-0Nick Paul Goal (1) Slap Shot, assists: Darren Raddysh (2), Gavin McKenna (2)
  4. 1st3-1Mark Stone Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Jack Eichel (9), Ivan Barbashev (4)
  5. 2nd3-2Brett Howden Goal (1) Deflected, assists: Mitch Marner (2), William Karlsson (1)
  6. 2nd3-3Jack Eichel Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: none
  7. SO1-1Braeden Bowman Goal Wrist Shot
  8. SO1-1Kirill Marchenko Goal Wrist Shot
  9. SO1-2Trevor Connelly Goal Backhand

Venue

  • T-Mobile ArenaLas Vegas, NV
  • Attendance15977
  • OfficialsTrevor Hanson, Tom Chmielewski, James Tobias, Ben O'Quinn

Elsewhere

Picks for NHL

NHL rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.