Capitals Edge Sabres in Close Contest
Thursday, March 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · KeyBank Center
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres?
Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 2-1 at KeyBank Center on March 12, 2026.
Who was favored in Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres?
Buffalo Sabres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -218 (about 69% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Washington Capitals triumphed over the Buffalo Sabres with a final score of 2-1 at KeyBank Center. This victory allowed the Capitals to break the series tie, now leading 2-1 in their recent meetings. The game featured a strong defensive effort from both teams, but it was the Capitals who managed to capitalize on their opportunities.
The Buffalo Sabres entered the game with an impressive home record of 40-20-6 and were riding an eight-game winning streak, having scored an average of 4.1 goals while allowing 2.9 over their last ten games. Their recent performances included a high-scoring victory against the San Jose Sharks, where they won 6-3, and an 8-7 thriller against the Tampa Bay Lightning. However, the Sabres faced some injury challenges, with Justin Danforth and Jiri Kulich on injured reserve, and Noah Ostlund ruled out with a lower body issue.
On the other hand, the Washington Capitals brought a record of 33-27-7 into the game, having struggled somewhat recently with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games and a current losing streak of one game. They averaged 2.9 goals scored and 2.9 allowed during this stretch. Their last outing resulted in a 4-1 loss to the Philadelphia Flyers, indicating some difficulties in finding consistent scoring. The Capitals were also dealing with significant injuries, including Jordan Kyrou, Rasmus Sandin, Charlie Lindgren, and Eriks Mateiko, all of whom were out for this matchup.
Historically, the Sabres had dominated the recent head-to-head meetings, holding a 3-1 record against the Capitals in their last four encounters. In their previous meeting this season, the Sabres won 4-3 at home, showcasing their offensive capabilities. However, the Capitals’ victory in this game may shift the momentum in their favor as they continue to battle for playoff positioning.
The game began with a goal from Sam Carrick of the Sabres in the first period, giving the home team an early lead. However, the Capitals responded in the second period with a goal from Ryan Leonard, leveling the score at 1-1. The decisive moment came in the third period when Jakob Chychrun scored for the Capitals, putting them ahead 2-1. Despite the Sabres' efforts to equalize, they were unable to find the back of the net again.
In terms of betting, DraftKings had the Sabres favored at -218 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5 goals. The odds reflected the Sabres' strong home performance and recent form, but the Capitals' ability to secure the win demonstrated their resilience despite their injury woes.
Conditions for the game were standard for a late-season NHL matchup, with both teams playing in front of a home crowd in Buffalo. The atmosphere was charged, as fans were eager to see if the Sabres could extend their winning streak or if the Capitals would find a way to bounce back from their recent struggles.
As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a display of strategic play, with both teams focusing on defensive responsibilities while looking for opportunities to counterattack. The Capitals' ability to capitalize on their chances proved crucial, while the Sabres struggled to convert on their opportunities, a theme that may need addressing as they move forward in the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BUF -218 | 6.5 o -135 / u +114 | Washington Capitals +180 · Buffalo Sabres -218 |
Injury report
- Justin DanforthInjured ReserveKneecapBuffalo Sabres
- Jiri KulichInjured ReserveEarBuffalo Sabres
- Noah OstlundOutLower BodyBuffalo Sabres
- Jordan KyrouOutKneeWashington Capitals
- Rasmus SandinOutKneeWashington Capitals
- Charlie LindgrenOutUpper BodyWashington Capitals
- Eriks MateikoOutAchillesWashington Capitals
Leaders
- GoalsSam Carrick1Buffalo Sabres
- AssistsBeck Malenstyn1Buffalo Sabres
- PointsSam Carrick1Buffalo Sabres
- GoalsJakob Chychrun1Washington Capitals
- AssistsAliaksei Protas1Washington Capitals
- PointsJakob Chychrun1Washington Capitals
Recent form
Buffalo Sabres
Last 10: 8-2Streak W84.1 scored · 2.9 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W6-3vs San Jose SharksMar 10
- W8-7vs Tampa Bay LightningMar 8
- W3-2vs Nashville PredatorsMar 7
- W5-1at Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 6
- W3-2vs Vegas Golden KnightsMar 4
- W6-2at Tampa Bay LightningMar 1
- W3-2at Florida PanthersFeb 28
- W2-1at New Jersey DevilsFeb 26
- L2-5vs Pittsburgh PenguinsFeb 6
- L3-4at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 4
Washington Capitals
Last 10: 5-5Streak L12.9 scored · 2.9 allowed per game0-4 away
- L1-4at Philadelphia FlyersMar 11
- W7-3vs Calgary FlamesMar 9
- L1-3at Boston BruinsMar 7
- L2-3vs Utah MammothMar 4
- L2-6at Montreal CanadiensMar 1
- W3-2vs Vegas Golden KnightsFeb 28
- W3-1vs Philadelphia FlyersFeb 26
- W4-2vs Nashville PredatorsFeb 6
- L2-4at Philadelphia FlyersFeb 4
- W4-1vs New York IslandersFeb 3
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 7 | 22 | 113 | 53 |
| Pittsburgh | 16 | 25 | 98 | 41 |
| Philadelphia | 12 | 27 | 98 | 43 |
| Washington | 9 | 30 | 95 | 43 |
| Columbus | 12 | 30 | 92 | 40 |
| NY Islanders | 5 | 34 | 91 | 43 |
| New Jersey | 3 | 37 | 87 | 42 |
| NY Rangers | 9 | 39 | 77 | 34 |
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
Box score
| Stat | Washington Capitals | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 17 | 11 |
| Hits | 22 | 24 |
| Takeaways | 9 | 5 |
| Shots total | 22 | 30 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 0 |
| Power play opportunities | 2 | 2 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 18 | 27 |
| Faceoff percent | 40.0 | 60.0 |
| Giveaways | 17 | 13 |
| Penalties | 2 | 2 |
| Penalty minutes | 4 | 4 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Sam Carrick Goal (6) Tip-In, assists: Beck Malenstyn (5), Owen Power (17)
- 2nd1-1Ryan Leonard Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: none
- 3rd2-1Jakob Chychrun Goal (23) Snap Shot, assists: Aliaksei Protas (24), Trevor van Riemsdyk (7)
Venue
- KeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY
- Attendance19070
- OfficialsFrancis Charron, Furman South, Andrew Smith, Brandon Grillo
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These two, other days
- Capitals Edge Sabres in Overtime ThrillerOct 24, 2026
- Capitals Dominate Sabres in 6-2 VictoryApr 4, 2026
- Sabres Edge Capitals in Shootout ThrillerNov 1, 2025