Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators prediction & odds

The Ottawa Senators will host the Washington Capitals at the Canadian Tire Centre on November 11, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be engaging. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, making this fixture worth following closely.

In their recent form, the Senators have had a mixed bag of results in their last five games, with two wins and three losses. They lost to the Los Angeles Kings in overtime (6-5) on October 30, followed by a solid victory over the San Jose Sharks (5-1) on October 31. However, they fell again to the Anaheim Ducks (6-3) on November 2, bounced back with a narrow win against the Buffalo Sabres (2-1) on November 5, and secured a win against the Utah Mammoth (4-2) on November 8. This gives the Senators an average of 3.4 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed in their last five games.

The Capitals, on the other hand, have also experienced ups and downs in their recent outings, winning three of their last five games. They defeated the Philadelphia Flyers (5-2) on October 28, followed by a win against the Nashville Predators (4-3) on October 30. However, they suffered losses to the Minnesota Wild (5-1) on November 1 and the Dallas Stars (6-5) on November 4, before bouncing back with a win against the Florida Panthers (4-3) on November 7. This gives the Capitals an average of 3.6 goals scored and 3.7 goals allowed in their last five games.

They have averaged 3.5 goals scored and allowed 3.4 goals during this stretch.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Senators have a slight edge with a record of 2-1 against the Capitals this season. Their last meeting was on March 18, 2026, where the Senators lost 1-4 to the Capitals. Earlier in the season, the Senators won 4-3 on January 1 and had a commanding victory of 7-1 on October 25.

Injuries could play a significant role in this matchup. The Senators will be without Andre Burakovsky (lower body), Warren Foegele (knee), and William Eklund (ankle), all currently on injured reserve. The Capitals also have key players sidelined, including Rasmus Sandin (knee), Vincent Desharnais (abdomen), and Patrick Thomas (upper body), all on injured reserve as well.

The betting market has priced the Senators as the favorites at -120 according to DraftKings, with a spread of -1.5. The total for the game is set at 6.5, with over odds at 102.0 and under odds at -122. The moneyline shows the Senators at -120 and the Capitals at +100.

As for the conditions, the game will take place at the Canadian Tire Centre, which typically provides a lively atmosphere for home games. Fans can expect an exciting matchup as both teams look to capitalize on their scoring opportunities. The performance of key players like Tim Stutzle for the Senators, who leads the team with 9 goals and 14 assists, and Alex Tuch for the Capitals, who has 11 goals, will be crucial. With both teams looking to solidify their standings, this game is set to be a thrilling encounter.