Stars Edge Jets in Overtime Thriller

What we said beforehand

The upcoming matchup between the Dallas Stars and the Winnipeg Jets promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams look to solidify their positions early in the NHL season. The game will take place at the American Airlines Center on October 23, 2026, with the Stars entering the game with a home record of 5-3-1, while the Jets have an away record of 4-3-2.

The Stars have shown some resilience in their recent performances, winning three of their last five games. Their last five results include a loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins (2-1 SO), a loss to the Colorado Avalanche (3-2), a victory over the Avalanche in a subsequent game (3-2 SO), a commanding win against the Chicago Blackhawks (4-0), and a hard-fought overtime victory against the Boston Bruins (3-2 OT). This gives them a scoring average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while allowing an average of 1.8 goals against.

In contrast, the Jets have struggled recently, losing their last three games. Their last five results include a loss to the Anaheim Ducks (5-1), a win against the Minnesota Wild (5-2), a loss to the Chicago Blackhawks (4-3 OT), a loss to the Carolina Hurricanes (3-2), and a loss to the St. Louis Blues (2-1). This has resulted in an average of 2.4 goals scored per game and an average of 3.2 goals allowed in their last five games.

At home, the Stars have a record of 2-2, while they have performed better on the road with a 4-2 record. The Jets, on the other hand, have a home record of 2-4 and an away record of 2-2. The Stars have been particularly strong in their last ten home games, with a record of 6-4, and they are currently on a three-game winning streak at home, averaging 2.7 goals scored and allowing only 1.8 goals against.

Historically, the Stars have had the upper hand in their recent encounters with the Jets, boasting a perfect 4-0 record against them this season. Their previous meetings include a 3-0 victory on April 3, 2026, a 4-3 win on February 3, 2026, a 4-3 win on December 10, 2025, and a 5-4 win on October 10, 2025. This trend may give the Stars a psychological advantage heading into this matchup.

In terms of injuries, the Stars will be missing Esa Lindell due to a lower body injury, while Oskar Back, Matt Duchene, Luke Krys, and Cameron Hughes are all on injured reserve with various ailments. The Jets will also face challenges, as Josh Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury, Vladislav Namestnikov is out due to an undisclosed issue, and Connor Hellebuyck is on injured reserve due to suspension. Garrett Brown is also on injured reserve with a lower body injury.

The betting market reflects the Stars as the favorites, with DraftKings listing them at -205 on the moneyline, while the Jets are at +170. The spread is set at -1.5 for the Stars, with a total of 5.5 goals for the game. The odds for the over are -108.0, and for the under, they are -112.0.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for Mikko Rantanen, who leads the Stars with 5 goals and 6 assists for a total of 11 points, while Kyle Connor leads the Jets with 8 goals and 3 assists, also totaling 11 points. The performance of these key players could significantly impact the outcome of the game.