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NHL · Final

Lightning Edge Jets in High-Scoring Affair

Thursday, October 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Winnipeg Jets 4, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Winnipeg Jets 6-4 at Benchmark International Arena on October 29, 2026.

Who was favored in Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -225 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.

In a thrilling encounter at the Benchmark International Arena, the Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Winnipeg Jets 6-4, showcasing an impressive offensive display. This matchup was notable as Tampa Bay entered the game with a solid home record of 8-3-1, while Winnipeg struggled with an away record of 4-6-3. The victory allowed the Lightning to extend their lead in the series, now standing at 2-0 against the Jets for the season.

Tampa Bay's recent form had seen them win seven of their last ten games, though they were on a two-game losing streak prior to this matchup. Their scoring average over the last ten games was 3.7 goals per game, while they allowed an average of 2.9 goals. In their last five games, they averaged 4.2 goals scored but also allowed 3.6, indicating a slight defensive vulnerability. The Lightning's recent results included wins against teams like the Vegas Golden Knights and Vancouver Canucks, but they faltered against the Utah Mammoth and Colorado Avalanche in their last two outings.

In contrast, the Winnipeg Jets have faced significant challenges, losing their last six games and only managing to secure three wins in their last ten. Their scoring average was a mere 2.2 goals per game, while they allowed 3.0 goals. The Jets' last five games were particularly troubling, as they averaged just 1.4 goals scored, highlighting their offensive struggles. Their recent losses included a 1-5 defeat to the Florida Panthers and a close 1-2 loss to the Montreal Canadiens.

Historically, this fixture has seen the Lightning perform well against the Jets, with Tampa Bay winning the last meeting 4-1 back on January 30, 2026. The teams had split their previous two matchups in the current season, adding an extra layer of competitiveness to this game.

In terms of injuries, the Lightning were missing Zemgus Girgensons due to a lower body issue and Yanni Gourde, who was placed on injured reserve with a hip injury. The Jets faced a more extensive injury list, with Vladislav Namestnikov, Nick Bjugstad, Josh Morrissey, and Garrett Brown all on injured reserve, impacting their lineup significantly.

The betting market, provided by DraftKings, favored the Lightning with odds of -225 on the moneyline and a spread of -1.5. The total for the game was set at 5.5, with the over priced at -135 and the under at 114. These odds reflected the Lightning's strong home performance and the Jets' struggles on the road.

The game conditions were typical for hockey, with both teams needing to adapt to the arena's atmosphere and the ice quality. Fans were treated to an entertaining contest, with multiple scoring plays highlighting the offensive capabilities of both teams.

The scoring opened in the second period with Conor Geekie finding the net for the Jets, but the Lightning quickly responded with four consecutive goals, including a deflected shot from Anthony Cirelli and a snap shot from John Carlson. Winnipeg managed to claw back with goals from Dylan Samberg and Neal Pionk, but Tampa Bay sealed the victory with a late goal from Pontus Holmberg.

Overall, this matchup showcased the Lightning's offensive firepower and the Jets' ongoing struggles, making it a significant game in the early NHL season.

What we said beforehand

The Tampa Bay Lightning are set to face the Winnipeg Jets at Benchmark International Arena on October 29, 2026, with the Lightning looking to improve on their recent form. Tampa Bay holds a home record of 7-3-1, while the Jets have struggled with an away record of 4-5-3. This matchup is particularly interesting as both teams have had contrasting performances in their last five games, with Tampa Bay winning three and losing two, while Winnipeg has lost all five.

In their last five games, the Lightning secured victories against the Seattle Kraken (4-3 OT), Vancouver Canucks (4-2), and Vegas Golden Knights (6-2), but faced defeats against the Colorado Avalanche (6-3) and Utah Mammoth (5-4 OT). This shows a scoring average of 4.2 goals per game over that stretch, but they have also allowed an average of 3.6 goals.

On the other hand, the Jets have been on a six-game losing streak, with their most recent loss being a 5-1 defeat to the Florida Panthers. Their last five games include losses to the Carolina Hurricanes (3-2), St. Louis Blues (2-1), Dallas Stars (3-2 OT), and Montreal Canadiens (2-1). Winnipeg has averaged just 1.4 goals per game during this stretch, while allowing an average of 3.0 goals.

At home, the Lightning have been strong, boasting a record of 5-0, while the Jets have struggled on the road with a 1-3 record. In terms of previous meetings this season, the teams are tied with one win each. Tampa Bay won their home game 4-1 on January 30, 2026, while the Jets took the victory in their away game on March 6, 2026, with a score of 4-1.

Injury concerns could impact both teams. The Lightning will be without Zemgus Girgensons due to a lower body issue and Yanni Gourde, who is on injured reserve with a hip injury. The Jets are facing significant injury challenges as well, with Vladislav Namestnikov, Nick Bjugstad, Josh Morrissey, and Garrett Brown all on injured reserve.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has the Lightning as the favorites at -218 on the moneyline, with a spread of -1.5. The total for the game is set at 5.5, with odds of -135 for the over and 114 for the under.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the performance of key players. For the Lightning, Brandon Hagel leads in goals with 7, while Nikita Kucherov leads in assists (10) and points (14). For the Jets, Kyle Connor has been their standout with 9 goals and 12 points, while Mark Scheifele has contributed 6 assists. The outcome of this matchup could hinge on how well the Lightning can capitalize on their home advantage and how the Jets respond to their recent struggles.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -225 5.5 o -135 / u +114 Winnipeg Jets +185 · Tampa Bay Lightning -225

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Zemgus GirgensonsOutLower BodyTampa Bay Lightning
  • Yanni GourdeInjured ReserveHipTampa Bay Lightning
  • Vladislav NamestnikovInjured ReserveUndisclosedWinnipeg Jets
  • Nick BjugstadInjured ReservePectoralWinnipeg Jets
  • Josh MorrisseyInjured ReserveWristWinnipeg Jets
  • Garrett BrownInjured ReserveLower BodyWinnipeg Jets

Leaders

  • GoalsPontus Holmberg1Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsPontus Holmberg3Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsPontus Holmberg4Tampa Bay Lightning
  • GoalsNeal Pionk2Winnipeg Jets
  • AssistsMark Scheifele3Winnipeg Jets
  • PointsMark Scheifele3Winnipeg Jets

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 7-3Streak L23.7 scored · 2.9 allowed per game5-0 at home

  • L4-5at Utah MammothOct 25
  • L3-6at Colorado AvalancheOct 24
  • W6-2at Vegas Golden KnightsOct 21
  • W4-2vs Vancouver CanucksOct 17
  • W4-3vs Seattle KrakenOct 15
  • L1-4at New York RangersOct 13
  • W5-3at New York IslandersOct 10
  • W3-2vs Minnesota WildOct 8
  • W4-1vs Philadelphia FlyersOct 5
  • W3-1vs Washington CapitalsOct 3

Winnipeg Jets

Last 10: 3-7Streak L62.2 scored · 3 allowed per game1-3 away

  • L1-5vs Florida PanthersOct 28
  • L1-2vs Montreal CanadiensOct 25
  • L2-3at Dallas StarsOct 23
  • L1-2at St. Louis BluesOct 21
  • L2-3vs Carolina HurricanesOct 17
  • L3-4at Chicago BlackhawksOct 16
  • W5-2vs Minnesota WildOct 14
  • L1-5vs Anaheim DucksOct 10
  • W3-2vs Colorado AvalancheOct 7
  • W3-2at Pittsburgh PenguinsOct 5

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Minnesota23209
Utah05189
Dallas14157
Colorado15157
Nashville53134
St. Louis16115
Winnipeg36114
Chicago0884
Boston13199
Tampa Bay13178
Montreal23167
Ottawa05168
Florida24167
Toronto26167
Buffalo34135
Detroit34135

Box score

StatWinnipeg JetsTampa Bay Lightning
Blocked shots1410
Hits2817
Takeaways21
Shots total2131
Power play goals01
Power play opportunities23
Power play pct0.033.3
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won4327
Faceoff percent61.438.6
Giveaways1116
Penalties32
Penalty minutes64

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Brayden Point Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (11), Jake Guentzel (6)
  2. 1st1-1Neal Pionk Goal (2) Slap Shot, assists: Cole Perfetti (4), Mark Scheifele (7)
  3. 2nd1-2Conor Geekie Goal (3) Backhand, assists: Dominic James (2), Jeff Viel (1)
  4. 2nd1-3Anthony Cirelli Goal (4) Deflected, assists: Pontus Holmberg (4), Gage Goncalves (2)
  5. 2nd1-4John Carlson Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Pontus Holmberg (5), Brandon Hagel (7)
  6. 2nd1-5Brandon Hagel Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (3), Pontus Holmberg (6)
  7. 3rd2-5Dylan Samberg Goal (1) Deflected, assists: Cole Perfetti (5), Mark Scheifele (8)
  8. 3rd3-5Neal Pionk Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Dawson Mercer (5), Kyle Connor (4)
  9. 3rd4-5Kyle Connor Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Mark Scheifele (9), Dylan Samberg (4)
  10. 3rd4-6Pontus Holmberg Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (4), Brandon Hagel (8)

Venue

  • Benchmark International ArenaTampa, FL
  • Attendance19092
  • OfficialsJean Hebert, Tommy Hughes, Libor Suchanek, Brandon Blandina

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.