Reading ticket percentages as if they were money
Ticket counts and handle are different quantities. Lines follow handle, and almost every published figure is a ticket count.
A line moves when enough money arrives to change the operator's exposure or its opinion. One large bet moves it; a thousand small ones on the other side frequently do not, and the ticket count records the thousand.
Handle percentages, where they are published, are genuinely informative — and the gap between the two figures is more informative still, because it is where the disagreement between small and large money shows up.
The problem arrives next. Ticket percentages are published constantly and handle almost never, which is the clearest available signal about which of the two is a marketing number.
What to do with it. Ignore any 'public betting' figure that does not state whether it is tickets or money, and treat that omission as an answer.
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